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State models show up to 33k COVID-19 cases in Colorado

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  • State models show up to 33k COVID-19 cases in Colorado

    From Channel 7:

    Scott Bookman, the Colorado Department of Health and Environment’s COIVD-19 incident commander, said those numbers are based off what state and university health officials in Colorado are modeling based off data from other states and countries.

    That would mean, according to Bookman’s estimate, that there could currently be between 13,000 and 33,000 cases of COVID-19 in Colorado.

    Of course then the death figures that have been thrown around are skewed as expected. As of today, April 2, 2020, Colorado has had 97 COVID-related deaths. (I say related because as a friend who works at Denver Health Medical Center told me, everyone in that hospital that has died with the disease also had a laundry list of comorbidities. These are the types of people that have been known to die in droves from anything from the seasonal flu to urinary tract infections. Their health is already fragile and failing. In such people, COVID isn't the killer so much as the straw that broke the camel's back in a body with already compromised immune and organ systems.)

    Using these numbers, if 13,000 is the accurate figure the 0.75% is the Colorado death rate. If 33,000 is the more accurate, then it's .29%. That's down from the hysteria-inducing 10% estimate from January into February. Estimates for the seasonal flu are around 0.1%. Those are merely estimates since only a small number of people that get seasonal viruses actually get tested by a doctor to verify they have it.

    And this is assuming, of course, the virus hasn't been around longer than people think and that countless other people haven't already had it. Personally I think it's been around a good while and has already swept through a good chunk of the population.

    For the record, I was "exposed" to it by a co-worker a week ago. According to the CDC's exposure categories, I'm below even low risk for contracting it and I've been fine. It's not as easy to get it as has been presented. As per protocol of my employer, I am and have been monitoring myself for symptoms. So far nada.



  • #2
    We cant believe anything they are telling us.
    Attached Files

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    • #3
      To date Colorado has 3728 cases and 97 deaths while Utah has 1177 cases 7 deaths.... Co has 5.7M people and 3.2M people live in Ut. We may want to investigate why the infection rate is 3.5x in CO and death rate is 10x.

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      • #4
        Originally posted by rmsanger View Post
        To date Colorado has 3728 cases and 97 deaths while Utah has 1177 cases 7 deaths.... Co has 5.7M people and 3.2M people live in Ut. We may want to investigate why the infection rate is 3.5x in CO and death rate is 10x.
        I'm guessing the difference is the smoking rate per state. Whatever you do, don't look at the stimulus package on a per death basis.


        ***Edit. Just so happens UT is the healthiest state when it comes to smoking.

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        • #5
          Originally posted by rmsanger View Post
          To date Colorado has 3728 cases and 97 deaths while Utah has 1177 cases 7 deaths.... Co has 5.7M people and 3.2M people live in Ut. We may want to investigate why the infection rate is 3.5x in CO and death rate is 10x.
          What about AZ?

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          • #6
            Originally posted by OmegaBronco13 View Post

            I'm guessing the difference is the smoking rate per state. Whatever you do, don't look at the stimulus package on a per death basis.


            ***Edit. Just so happens UT is the healthiest state when it comes to smoking.
            I think you’re on to something vaping nicotine and weed are much bigger in Colorado. All else is very similar in terms of population, age, health, etc... usually Utah and Colorado are both ranked top 5-10 healthiest states in the country.

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            • #7
              Originally posted by DENVERDUI55 View Post

              What about AZ?
              There are a lot more elderly in AZ like Florida so a more difficult comparison. Their deaths and sicknesses scale with Colorado 1769 cases and 41 deaths with a population of 7 mill. So far less sicknesses per capita as well as deaths compared with Colorado.

              the other issue is Colorado had a bunch of early cases spread is vail and aspen due to international tourists skiing not sure Arizona has a similar dynamic.

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              • #8
                Originally posted by rmsanger View Post

                I think you’re on to something vaping nicotine and weed are much bigger in Colorado. All else is very similar in terms of population, age, health, etc... usually Utah and Colorado are both ranked top 5-10 healthiest states in the country.
                More like vaping and cigarettes. But yeah. It makes a big difference.

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                • #9
                  Originally posted by rmsanger View Post

                  There are a lot more elderly in AZ like Florida so a more difficult comparison. Their deaths and sicknesses scale with Colorado 1769 cases and 41 deaths with a population of 7 mill. So far less sicknesses per capita as well as deaths compared with Colorado.

                  the other issue is Colorado had a bunch of early cases spread is vail and aspen due to international tourists skiing not sure Arizona has a similar dynamic.
                  AZ crushes CO for tourists in Jan to March. Bowl games, marathon, PGA event (700k attendance), Spring Training, Car shows, Bike Week and Trump rally. For whatever reason we have seemed to avoid getting smashed even with the high elderly population. Less deaths than CO.

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                  • #10
                    According to 9 News in Colorado, Most of the people dying in Colorado already had major health problems to begin with and covid-19 exacerbated the problem.

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                    • #11
                      I'm still waiting for some Friedman economist to come up with the formula that expresses how many dead bodies equal one point of the Dow. If we had that, we could more easily work out some of these pandemic vs. economics equations. Hopefully, Trump puts Kushner on it soon.

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                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Rohirrim View Post
                        I'm still waiting for some Friedman economist to come up with the formula that expresses how many dead bodies equal one point of the Dow. If we had that, we could more easily work out some of these pandemic vs. economics equations. Hopefully, Trump puts Kushner on it soon.
                        I seriously can't stop laughing: Kushner self-owns like the silver-spoon nitwit he is

                        Oh, irony. You had a good run. You even survived a big stretch of the COVID-19 crisis, but you could not survive Jared Kushner:



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                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Garcia Bronco View Post
                          According to 9 News in Colorado, Most of the people dying in Colorado already had major health problems to begin with and covid-19 exacerbated the problem.
                          Yep that's the usual for all coronaviruses and influenza also. When I worked at a Denver hospital back circa 2014 (?) there was a bad flu season and we had lots of folks on isolation. We had overflow from internal medicine into our surgical unit and I recall backorders on PPE.

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                          • #14
                            Originally posted by Rohirrim View Post
                            I'm still waiting for some Friedman economist to come up with the formula that expresses how many dead bodies equal one point of the Dow. If we had that, we could more easily work out some of these pandemic vs. economics equations. Hopefully, Trump puts Kushner on it soon.
                            Amusing since socialism has killed tens of millions and you ho hum and point the finger at the other.

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                            • #15
                              Originally posted by nyuKKK

                              Amusing since socialism has killed tens of millions and you ho hum and point the finger at the other.
                              L0L.

                              According to your simpleton reasoning, everything that's ever gone wrong as a result of corrupt or failed leadership in a capitalist system is "because capitalism."

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