I know we already have COVID-19 threads, but I want as many people to see this as possible. I did some simple research using simple statistics that suggests that the United States is on pace to have 100 million positive COVID-19 cases by April 23rd and I want as many people as possible to see this. If a moderator so chooses, feel free to move this to the WRP forum, merge with another thread, but, please bear with me here.

I use this AWESOME AWESOME website that do my simple study. This site has tons of information on COVID-19 cases, and is continuously updated all the time.

https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/#stat

So, I will walk you through how I came to the conclusion that the United States could have 100 million COVID-19 cases by April 23rd, if the continue rate of confirmed cases continues through this time period.

First, see the tabs at the very top... Summary, Map, News, Supplies, Trends, Videos. Make sure the Summary tab is selected, so you see a chart of United States Covid-19 cases.

There are 2 graphs, Cases, and Deaths. We are going to concentrate on cases here, although, you can do the same to predict the number of deaths over the next few weeks.

On the Cases graph, see the value/log option in the upper left corner? The value option shows the graph with intervals of equal amounts. But, click the log option. This is very important... click the log option. The log option shows the graph with intervals of powers of 10. So, the bottom line is 1, and each line going up is 10x that, so the next line is 10, then 100, then 1000, then 10,000 and so on.

Now, with the log option selected, you see the orange line showing the number of cumulative cases a steady and gradual trend upward, that is continuing through today.

â€‹Here are the facts, as presented by this graph in log format. On March 2nd, the United States reached the 100th cumulative case. On March 10th, the United State reached the 1000th cumulative case. On March 19th, the United State passed the 10,000th cumulative case. Today, late into March 24th, the United States has 55,000 cumulative cases and the line is continuing near the same gradual slope upward. If the current pace of cumulative cases holds, then the United States will reach 100,000 cumulative cases in the next 1 or 2 days.

So, again, let's look at the number of days passed that will go between reaching each logarithmic power of 10 scale:

March 2nd- 100 cases

March 2nd- March 10th- 8 days 1000 cumulative cases

March 10th to March 19th- 9 days 10,000 cumulative cases

March 19th to March March

Lets extrapolate this further if the logarithmic scale continues its current trend.... I'll just assume a conservative 9 days (as other logarithmic power of 10 jumps was 7 or 8 days), to reach the next power of 10 intervals

April 5th 1,000,000 cases

April 14th 10,000,000 cases

April 23rd 100,000,000 cases

Pretty scary, isn't it?

I use this AWESOME AWESOME website that do my simple study. This site has tons of information on COVID-19 cases, and is continuously updated all the time.

https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/#stat

So, I will walk you through how I came to the conclusion that the United States could have 100 million COVID-19 cases by April 23rd, if the continue rate of confirmed cases continues through this time period.

First, see the tabs at the very top... Summary, Map, News, Supplies, Trends, Videos. Make sure the Summary tab is selected, so you see a chart of United States Covid-19 cases.

There are 2 graphs, Cases, and Deaths. We are going to concentrate on cases here, although, you can do the same to predict the number of deaths over the next few weeks.

On the Cases graph, see the value/log option in the upper left corner? The value option shows the graph with intervals of equal amounts. But, click the log option. This is very important... click the log option. The log option shows the graph with intervals of powers of 10. So, the bottom line is 1, and each line going up is 10x that, so the next line is 10, then 100, then 1000, then 10,000 and so on.

Now, with the log option selected, you see the orange line showing the number of cumulative cases a steady and gradual trend upward, that is continuing through today.

â€‹Here are the facts, as presented by this graph in log format. On March 2nd, the United States reached the 100th cumulative case. On March 10th, the United State reached the 1000th cumulative case. On March 19th, the United State passed the 10,000th cumulative case. Today, late into March 24th, the United States has 55,000 cumulative cases and the line is continuing near the same gradual slope upward. If the current pace of cumulative cases holds, then the United States will reach 100,000 cumulative cases in the next 1 or 2 days.

So, again, let's look at the number of days passed that will go between reaching each logarithmic power of 10 scale:

March 2nd- 100 cases

March 2nd- March 10th- 8 days 1000 cumulative cases

March 10th to March 19th- 9 days 10,000 cumulative cases

March 19th to March March

**27th-****8 days**100,000 cumulative casesLets extrapolate this further if the logarithmic scale continues its current trend.... I'll just assume a conservative 9 days (as other logarithmic power of 10 jumps was 7 or 8 days), to reach the next power of 10 intervals

April 5th 1,000,000 cases

April 14th 10,000,000 cases

April 23rd 100,000,000 cases

Pretty scary, isn't it?

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