Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Patholgy professor: COVID-19 likely to burn itself out this summer

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Patholgy professor: COVID-19 likely to burn itself out this summer

    Coronavirus expert says he knows when the virus 'will burn itself out,' according to leaked analysis

    "Three things the virus does not like: 1. Sunlight, 2. Temperature, and 3. Humidity," Nicholls said in response to a question about when he thinks confirmed cases will peak.

    "Sunlight will cut the virus' ability to grow in half so the half-life will be 2.5 minutes and in the dark it's about 13 to 20 [minutes]," Nicholls said. "Sunlight is really good at killing viruses."

    For that reason, he also added that he doesn't expect areas such as Australia, Africa and the Southern hemisphere to see high rates of infection because they are in the middle of summer.

    Regarding temperatures, Nicholls said the warmer the better for stopping the spread of the virus, according to the transcript of the conference call...

    Similar to a common cold, the surrounding environment of the outbreak plays an important role in determining the survivability and spreadability of the virus, he continued. Because of the impending shift in seasons, Nicholls said he expects the spread of the virus to be curbed in a matter of months.

    "I think it will burn itself out in about six months," Nicholls said.


  • #2
    Premature’ to assume heat will stop COVID-19


    ... health experts aren’t so sure that COVID-19, which has infected more than 83,000 people since officials first discovered the disease in December, can be stopped by the onset of summer.

    Dr. Nancy Messionnier of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, warned against assuming the number of cases will slow as the weather warms. “I think it’s premature to assume that,” she said during a call with reporters on Feb. 12. “We haven’t been through even a single year with this pathogen.”

    Other health experts that TIME spoke to agree that it’s too early to say if warmer weather will impact the virus’s spread. McGraw, of Penn State University, says there will likely be many factors that determine when and how the outbreak ends. “Rate of virus spread, effectiveness of infection control practices, weather and human immunity will likely all play a role in determining its future,” she says

    Additionally, because COVID-19 is so new, “there is no natural immunity in the population and thus all bets are off,” says John Nicholls of the University of Hong Kong.

    Looking at two other deadly members of the coronavirus family, severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS), could, Bollyky says, help us understand how COVID-19 may act in the summer heat.

    “Past coronavirus outbreaks, SARS and MERS, haven’t really exhibited clear evidence of being seasonal,” Bollyky says.”The SARS outbreak did end in July, but it is not clear that weather. MERS does not show any sign of being seasonal.”

    https://time.com/5790880/coronavirus...eather-summer/

    Comment


    • #3
      I don't suppose in all your reading, you've come up with an answer to the question I asked you repeatedly in this thread: https://www.orangemane.com/forum/jib...27#post2580971

      asking you to define "successful" in this context of this statement:

      Originally posted by nyuk nyuk View Post

      there was no example of a successful socialist economy in history
      You don't have to respond here; feel free to provide your defining criteria in the thread I linked above.

      Comment


      • #4
        Same thing happens with the flu, the increase in vitamin d in everyone from the sun pretty much kills it every summer.

        Comment


        • #5

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by TonyR View Post
            And there is the scary part. What does one do if they have a stroke and ICU is overrun with C19? This affects everyone, no doubt

            Comment


            • #7
              Disaster preparedness expert on WH coronavirus response: 'Absolute gross amateur-hour incompetence'

              Click image for larger version

Name:	GettyImages-1204820623.jpg?1583251387.jpg
Views:	152
Size:	65.2 KB
ID:	2582380


              Dr. Irwin Redlener, director of the National Center for Disaster Preparedness at Columbia University, joined MSNBC anchor Yasmin Vossoughian yesterday to discuss the Trump administration’s handling of the COVID-19 crisis.

              Vossoughian asked Redlener whether the U.S. was adequately prepared for the outbreak, especially considering we’ve known about the virus for more than two months.

              Needless to say, Redlener doesn’t think Donald Trump’s glowing orange visage was warning enough:

              VOSSOUGHIAN: “Do you think the United States, the federal government, was adequately prepared to deal with an outbreak of the coronavirus?”

              REDLENER: “That’s the last way I would think about describing it. This is the most egregious level of incompetence in an administration that I think we’ve witnessed, at least in my memory. We have problems with how the government responded to Katrina. That was minor league compared to this. It’s extraordinary when you contrast the level of what we’re dealing with as a public health challenge and the absolute gross amateur-hour incompetence coming out of the White House. It’s actually stunning. It has nothing to do with politics. It has to do with a kind of an objective assessment of what we’ve been doing, when we got started, why we haven’t involved the private sector a long time ago, the fact that we’ve done maybe a thousand, maybe a little bit more tests, when South Korea has done 75,000, 100,000 tests. This whole thing is out of control. … Preparedness is not just about developing a vaccine and giving it to people and the appropriate drugs. It’s also about, are we prepared for a major national, international emergency in terms of preserving our economic stability and confidence of the public and so on?”

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by 69bronco View Post
                Same thing happens with the flu, the increase in vitamin d in everyone from the sun pretty much kills it every summer.
                You're illiterate.

                “Past coronavirus outbreaks, SARS and MERS, haven’t really exhibited clear evidence of being seasonal,” Bollyky says.”The SARS outbreak did end in July, but it is not clear that weather. MERS does not show any sign of being seasonal.”

                https://time.com/5790880/coronavirus...eather-summer/

                Comment


                • #9
                  ‘It ended in July’

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    The majority of virologists have no idea if this outbreak is seasonal. One opinion is just that, an opinion not demonstrable clinical evidence.

                    We are barely able to get testing kits delivered despite knowing we would likely need them last Dec; confidence in this administration is as low as a snake's armpit..

                    Trump and his cult are trying to downplay this outbreak. A 'Democratic hoax'?? Idiots!! This virus doesn't care about political ideology.

                    So keep holding your rallies, Mr. President, you'll all be safe, it's all a big hoax. Hold your unwashed hands and then grab those pussies!!

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by 69bronco View Post
                      ‘It ended in July’
                      SARS - not covid-19. Like I said, you're illiterate.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by DenverBrit View Post
                        The majority of virologists have no idea if this outbreak is seasonal. One opinion is just that, an opinion not demonstrable clinical evidence.

                        We are barely able to get testing kits delivered despite knowing we would likely need them last Dec; confidence in this administration is as low as a snake's armpit..

                        Trump and his cult are trying to downplay this outbreak. A 'Democratic hoax'?? Idiots!! This virus doesn't care about political ideology.

                        So keep holding your rallies, Mr. President, you'll all be safe, it's all a big hoax. Hold your unwashed hands and then grab those pussies!!
                        tRump and his cult followers only care about how tRump's abysmal handling of the crisis might impact tRump's political fortunes.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Read up on the Spanish flu (1918). Far deadlier second wave started in August with October being the deadliest month. That would be a frightening scenario with implications to the election. Who knows why kind of shenanigans Trump would try to pull in order to delay/cancel the election.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by MplsBronco View Post
                            Read up on the Spanish flu (1918). Far deadlier second wave started in August with October being the deadliest month. That would be a frightening scenario with implications to the election. Who knows why kind of shenanigans Trump would try to pull in order to delay/cancel the election.
                            President Hamberder is running for re-election to avoid prison, so there's probably nothing he wouldn't do.

                            Comment


                            • #15

                              Comment

                              Working...
                              X