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View Poll Results: Who should be the top pick in the fantasy drafts for 2011?
Adrian Peterson 21 39.62%
Arian Foster 16 30.19%
Ray Rice 4 7.55%
Jamaal Charles 2 3.77%
Chris Johnson 6 11.32%
Other. Please indicate who. 4 7.55%
Voters: 53. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 08-23-2011, 03:10 PM   #1
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Default Fantasy Football musings....top player is?

If you had the top draft spot in your fantasy league, who's your selection?

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Old 08-23-2011, 03:13 PM   #2
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Peterson or CJ. I lean to Peterson.
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Old 08-23-2011, 03:14 PM   #3
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Why isnt Michael Vick on more of these lists? Simply because theres a bias against QBs? Its not out of the question to see him get 800-900 yds 8-9 tds ON THE GROUND
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Old 08-23-2011, 03:15 PM   #4
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Quote:
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Why isnt Michael Vick on more of these lists? Simply because theres a bias against QBs? Its not out of the question to see him get 800-900 yds 8-9 tds ON THE GROUND
Or to see him get leg snapped or complacent and lazy or etc
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Old 08-23-2011, 03:15 PM   #5
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Quote:
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Why isnt Michael Vick on more of these lists? Simply because theres a bias against QBs? Its not out of the question to see him get 800-900 yds 8-9 tds ON THE GROUND
because most leagues you only get 4 points for a passing TD. scoring is usually greared to favor rb's over qb's, plus the difference between the top rb's compared to how deep you can be productive at QB is a wide range
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Old 08-23-2011, 03:28 PM   #6
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AP, not too sure about Foster again. I'm thinking Mendenhall and McFadden will both have a good year, but you never know.
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Old 08-23-2011, 03:30 PM   #7
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Seriously, Matthew Berry has Vick at #1 but I think I'd go Foster since he's in the ZBS under Kubes, who has already turned him into a monster.
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Old 08-23-2011, 03:31 PM   #8
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AP, not too sure about Foster again. I'm thinking Mendenhall and McFadden will both have a good year, but you never know.
I drafted Ben Tate at the bottom of the draft for WHEN Foster goes down
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Old 08-23-2011, 03:34 PM   #9
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I would not want to have top pick. I am not sure about Peterson this year he will be seeing a lot of 8 and 9 man boxes and I don't think his offensive line is as good as it was. I don't like that CJ is still holding out and I don't think Foster can repeat. Right now I would go with Steven Jackson.

In the middle of the 1st I really like Charles and Mcfadden, MJD and Turner.
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Old 08-23-2011, 03:40 PM   #10
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I would not want to have top pick. I am not sure about Peterson this year he will be seeing a lot of 8 and 9 man boxes and I don't think his offensive line is as good as it was. I don't like that CJ is still holding out and I don't think Foster can repeat. Right now I would go with Steven Jackson.

In the middle of the 1st I really like Charles and Mcfadden, MJD and Turner.
I've got my eye on Turner but he's got a guy that takes carries from him in the redzone. MJD's knee is bone on bone, so I think we'll see less carries outta him. Jackson's 28 and not nearly as productive as he once was, but he's probably gonna get 300 touches.

If not Foster, it's gonna be CJ, IMO.
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Old 08-23-2011, 03:49 PM   #11
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Quote:
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Peterson or CJ. I lean to Peterson.
you must REALLY like patrick peterson if you would take him #1 overall.


jk
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Old 08-23-2011, 03:50 PM   #12
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I have the #7 pick in my draft and I LOVE it. I'm taking Vick. My reasoning:

If I had the 1-4 pick, I think I'd have to take Foster, Peterson, CJ, or Jamaal. Those guys are locks for 1-4 of every projection I see. But at around 7-10, you could pick a second tier RB, or the BEST player in fantasy - Vick.

Most people don't pick a QB until 2nd round at the earliest. If you pick at 1-5, there is no way you are going to get Vick or Aaron Rodgers....you might be lucky to get Brees, Brady, or Rivers.

But the point swing between Vick/Rodgers and the next tier of QB's is almost DOUBLE what the point swing is between Peterson et al and the next tier of RB's that will be available after you pick your stud QB in the first round.

My two cents...
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Old 08-23-2011, 04:09 PM   #13
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You really think Jamaal Charles will still put up big numbers with the Chiefs harder schedule this year?
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Old 08-23-2011, 04:13 PM   #14
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Foster and take Tate late in draft to hand cuff him. He has looked great in preseason and we know that system produces numbers.
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Old 08-23-2011, 04:13 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gyldenlove View Post
I would not want to have top pick. I am not sure about Peterson this year he will be seeing a lot of 8 and 9 man boxes and I don't think his offensive line is as good as it was. I don't like that CJ is still holding out and I don't think Foster can repeat. Right now I would go with Steven Jackson.

In the middle of the 1st I really like Charles and Mcfadden, MJD and Turner.
Steven Jackson + McDaniels = Brb Not Picking Him
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Old 08-23-2011, 04:13 PM   #16
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Peterson. Puts up great numbers even behind a rough offensive line. McNabb will hopefully keep defenses honest. Loss of Rice hurts, but AP is a special talent.
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Old 08-23-2011, 04:16 PM   #17
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Come on REV, CJ, he has not even spent 5 minutes in camp. He will be so far behind the offense if/when he shows up.

AP or Arian Nation are the top 2 in my book. No reason to think Foster will not have a great year and AP has seen 8 in the box since he arrived in Minnesota, McNabb might help get it down to 7 in the box.
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Old 08-23-2011, 04:24 PM   #18
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Quote:
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Come on REV, CJ, he has not even spent 5 minutes in camp. He will be so far behind the offense if/when he shows up.

AP or Arian Nation are the top 2 in my book. No reason to think Foster will not have a great year and AP has seen 8 in the box since he arrived in Minnesota, McNabb might help get it down to 7 in the box.

I concur on CJ. He won't need much time. It's not like he's a rookie, he knows the drill. Plus he's the most freakish of all the RB's, so I'm going with him if Arian ain't available.
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Old 08-23-2011, 04:25 PM   #19
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Vick.
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Old 08-23-2011, 04:28 PM   #20
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Quote:
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Steven Jackson + McDaniels = Brb Not Picking Him
Equals about 12 carries a game. I agree.
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Old 08-23-2011, 04:45 PM   #21
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Peterson
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Old 08-23-2011, 10:37 PM   #22
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This is more of an overall fantasy draft strategy response, but with some bearing on the responses so far.

I do NOT draft ANY QB in the first round AT ALL. Why? I assume most people reading this thread understand general fantasy strategies and logic to some degree. So, by drafting a QB in the first round, you absolutely KILL your RB/WR depth. Most (95%?) leagues start 1 QB and 5 WR/RB. By not taking one of the top RB/WR available with your first pick, you really set yourself back overall. Sure, you got one of the best QB's, but for the next 9 or 10 rounds, you'll be chasing RB's and WR's trying to catch up and make up for your crappy starters.

I will gladly give up one of the "stud" 4 or 5 top QB's in order to draft one each of the top 5 RB's and WR's in the first round and then again coming back in the second. I can get a decent QB many rounds later while still fielding a STELLAR RB/WR corps. To me, that is a winning formula for fantasy success.
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Old 08-23-2011, 10:39 PM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bfoflcommish View Post
because most leagues you only get 4 points for a passing TD. scoring is usually greared to favor rb's over qb's, plus the difference between the top rb's compared to how deep you can be productive at QB is a wide range
in mine you get six for a passing TD

As for his injury possibility, youre really trusting runningbacks to stay healthy all year long?
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Old 08-23-2011, 10:47 PM   #24
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Not sure how you pass a top 5 qb and the #15 rusher combined ine one pick.
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Old 08-23-2011, 11:19 PM   #25
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For me it's Arian Foster this year, no question. Last year's results speak for themselves, and I don't see any reason to doubt he can repeat them. His lack of proven consistency is really the only reason I see to downgrade him, and I've watched the ZBS too many years to consider it a fluke. That's what the scheme does, it generates big results from mediocre talent when run properly-- and right now, Houston's been running it longer with the same group of guys than anyone. They have a mostly young veteran line, molded by a very competent coach, and a back that obviously gets the system.

He has less mileage on his legs than either AD or CJ, and he looks built to take hits pretty well. He has the most stable QB situation, the best overall passing game, and by far the most dangerous WR out wide to take away some attention. And a playcaller who staunchly believes in the one-back system. Foster will get more goal line work than CJ, and he topped both CJ and AP in both receptions and receiving yards last year.

Of course, they're both proven great backs, and in the end I don't think there's any lock or consensus top pick this year. I've been a huge fan of Adrian Peterson since his college days, and you can never go wrong with him. And CJ's clearly a very legit pick as well, but I wouldn't take him higher than third until his contract situation is clarified. While I have to suspect that they'll cave and pay him before the sason starts, the time's already getting close. If they think they're going to sign him on Monday or Tuesday afternoon and give him twenty carries that Sunday, I am a little concerned about his conditioning and the possibility of injury if he basically hasn't been on a football field since around the first of the year. Right now I have the top five backs as Foster - Peterson - Johnson - Charles - Rice.
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