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Old 01-20-2010, 10:31 AM   #1
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Default KIPER'S first mock draft for 2010!!!

Things will certainly change as the workout season commences, but it's time to get the ball rolling for the 2010 NFL draft. Remember that my Big Board and position group rankings (now adjusted so all declared players are grouped) are a good primer. That said, off we go.



Two things that stand out early in the first mock draft of the season are the degree to which the first round is dominated by underclassmen --they make up 21 of the 32 picks and how we're also seeinga truly deep class of defensive lineman. Even as many NFL teams now employ the 3-4, the options up front for either 4-3 or 3-4 defenses are pretty significant in this draft.

St. Louis Rams
Record: 1-15
Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska


Nobody questions that the top need for the Rams is a quarterback. But unless St. Louis trades down -- an extremely difficult proposition on multiple levels -- they shouldn't take a quarterback here. Suh is maybe the most dominating player at his position that I've seen in 32 years of doing this. He can be effective immediately for the Rams.

Detroit Lions
Record: 2-14

Gerald McCoy*, DT, Oklahoma


Getting McCoy both fits a big need for the Lions and is an extraordinarily good consolation prize for ny team unable to get Suh. McCoy makes his living in the opponents' backfield, and is such a talent he could have landed in this position last year had he declared as a redshirt sophomore.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Record: 3-13

Eric Berry*, S, Tennessee


This is a very high position to see a safety go off the board, but Berry is that kind of talent. A player compared often, but not unfairly to Ed Reed, Berry is a difference-making safety headed to a league that has seen those types (Reed, Troy Polamalu, Bob Sanders) become more and more notable in recent years.

Washington Redskins

Record: 4-12

Sam Bradford*, QB, Oklahoma


Mike Shanahan and the Redskins can get a quarterback here that may have been the top player taken had he opted to come out last year. The Redskins need to find their franchise quarterback, and when healthy, Bradford is an exceptionally accurate passer with an underrated arm. Shanahan also hit on his last QB selection, when he drafted Jay Cutler in Denver.


Kansas City Chiefs

Record: 4-12
Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State


I think the Chiefs could use help at safety as well, but Berry likely won't fall this far, and they'd be reaching on either of two other safeties with a first round grade. Okung could solve two problems, making him a good value. He can step in at LT and allow the Chiefs to move Brandon Albert to the right side. A pick that can pay immediate dividends for the Chiefs.



Seattle SeahawksRecord: 5-11
Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia TechMany in Seattle will view the offensive line as a greater need, but Morgan fills another huge hole for a team that simply couldn't get to the quarterback in 2009. He represents great value because he can rush the passer, is productive against the run and can even drop back -- a versatile talent. Pete Carroll knows defense and should love what Morgan can offer.

Cleveland BrownsRecord: 5-11
Joe Haden*, CB, FloridaI'm not convinced the Browns will be willing to draft a quarterback simply because the position is unsettled. In Haden they can't go wrong with by far the top CB on the board, a player who they can plug in from day one. A deft cover corner and great tackler, Haden is the complete package.

Oakland RaidersRecord: 5-11
Anthony Davis*, OT, RutgersDavis may not yet be the most complete tackle in the first round, but he is the most naturally gifted and should get better. Great feet, ideal size and he has the ability to maul defenders in the run game. After a whiff in the first round last year, the Raiders address a big need here.

Buffalo BillsRecord: 6-10
Jimmy Clausen*, QB, Notre DamePeople will debate the merits of Clausen long after he shakes the commissioner's hand, but he has continued to improve, showed toughness, has an NFL arm and perhaps most importantly, has experience under center in a pro-style offense. That was a key for Matthew Stafford and Mark Sanchez and is a huge consideration for scouts.

Denver Broncos (from Chicago)Record: 7-9
Dez Bryant*, WR, Oklahoma StateIn all likelihood, Brandon Marshall is headed elsewhere, so the Broncos here attempt to fill the void with the best deep threat in the draft. Bryant has great size and was unstoppable in the Big 12. He represents an immediate weapon in the passing game

Last edited by Ramathorn; 01-20-2010 at 10:41 AM..
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:33 AM   #2
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They won't take Dez Bryant, he's wasted in our quick-strike, bubble screen and 2 yard crossing pattern juggernaut of an offense.
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:34 AM   #3
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Jacksonville Jaguars

Record: 7-9


Jason Pierre-Paul*, DE, South Florida

This is no place to draft a guy like Tim Tebow just to sell tickets. Pierre-Paul is local enough, and could be the Mario Williams of this draft class, a raw talent, but one with remarkable athleticism and an incredible burst off the line. Could be a terror for QBs in the future.

Miami Dolphins

Record:7-9


Rolando McClain*, LB, Alabama

A potential home run for Miami, who needs an inside linebacker, and could get the best one in the whole draft after the top ten. The Dolphins you could also see go after Bryant if he were to fall to them here.


San Francisco 49ers

Record: 8-8


Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma

I consider the right tackle position a big need for the 49ers, and getting Williams here should strengthen them immediately both in the run game and as they look to further develop a potentially dangerous passing game with Michael Crabtree and Vernon Davis.


Seattle Seahawks (from Denver)

Record: 5-11


C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson

He's not an offensive lineman, but Spiller could be a Reggie Bush-like option for the Seahawks. For a coach uniquely familiar with what Bush can do, Spiller is a missing home run threat in the run game, a good receiver and a valuable returner. He has elite speed.


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Old 01-20-2010, 10:35 AM   #4
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New York Giants

Record: 8-8

Carlos Dunlap*, DE, Florida
This is a high value pick for the Giants, who I feel have had their depth on the defense line overstated. There are makeup questions surrounding Dunlap, but for much of the year he was considered the premier pass rusher in the college game. He has the potential to be like a Jevon Kearse.

San Francisco 49ers (from Carolina)

Record: 8-8


Earl Thomas*, S, Texas

The 49ers need help in pass coverage, and Thomas fits because he's a great value here, whereas reaching for a CB at No. 16 wouldn't represent good value at all. Thomas isn't a huge guy, but can cover a tremendous amount of real estate.


Tennessee Titans

Record: 8-8


Everson Griffen*, DE, USC

Pierre-Paul likely won't fall this far, so the Titans get a gifted underclassmen that looked like a pro coming out of high school who is now living up to his potential. He already has an NFL frame, and when Griffen is consistent, he's a strong pass rusher.


Pittsburgh Steelers

Record: 9-7


Bryan Bulaga*, OT, Iowa

Pittsburgh clearly needs help up front if they want to return to power running and protecting the quarterback, and Bulaga is an emerging tackle with great feet from a pro-style system. They improve immediately, and he wears the black and gold well already.


Atlanta Falcons

Record: 9-7


Sergio Kindle, OLB, Texas

The Falcons could use some help at OLB, and Kindle's continued improvement throughout the season is appealing. He's not quite in the class of Brian Orakpo, but he's a similar type of player, and has also proven to be very physical.


Houston Texans

Record: 9-7


Brian Price*, DT, UCLA

Price is hidden away a bit in such a deep class of defensive lineman, but he's a disruptive force who utilizes great leverage. He should add depth to an improving defense
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:36 AM   #5
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Cincinnati Bengals

Record: 10-6


Aaron Hernandez*, TE, Florida

They need to give Carson Palmer options in the passing game aside from what's there, and Hernandez is the most athletic TE available, a guy with surprising run-after-catch ability. The favorite target of Tebow at Florida, he could offer immediate help in the passing game.

New England Patriots

Record: 10-6


Ricky Sapp, OLB, Clemson

The Patriots clearly need help when it comes to getting to opposing quarterbacks, and Sapp is an ideal fit on the edge in the 3-4. He's the kind of athlete that can adjust to being upright and flat out knows how to get to the quarterback.


Green Bay Packers

Record: 11-5


Taylor Mays, S, USC

If you told Green Bay they could get Mays at No. 23 overall in August, they'd have been thrilled. An extraordinary athlete, Mays may have suffered against expectations, but the Pack hit a home run with Clay Matthews Jr. out of USC last year and Mays both fills a need and has great potential.


Philadelphia Eagles

Record: 11-5


Navorro Bowman*, OLB, Penn State

The Eagles have a need for an athletic OLB, and they get a lot of value by landing Bowman here. Bowman lacks size, but any parsing on measurables can't overcome his great play on film. Could end up as the best at his position in this class.


Baltimore Ravens

Record: 9-7


Jermaine Gresham*, TE, Oklahoma

Gresham is so good that while he sat out his junior year, I left him on the Big Board the whole time. Now healthy, he's a great find this late in the first and a perfect target for Joe Flacco as an heir to Todd Heap. At a hair over 6-6 and 262 pounds, he's the total package at TE
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:36 AM   #6
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Arizona Cardinals

Record: 10-6


Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee

I see this position as the second-biggest need for the Cardinals and Williams is a great value here. Tremendously strong in the lower body, Williams is a disruptive force against the run.

Dallas Cowboys

Record: 11-5


Bruce Campbell*, OT, Maryland

Jerry Jones knows he needs to address the tackle position after the debacle he witnessed against Minnesota in the playoffs and Campbell, while still learning, is a tremendous talent at this position.


San Diego Chargers

Record: 13-3


Jonathan Dwyer*, RB, Georgia Tech

With the possible departure of LaDainian Tomlinson on the horizon, Dwyer represents the player that can handle 20-plus carries in an offense that already has a great speed-back in Darren Sproles. Dwyer has ideal size and also shows explosiveness.


New York Jets

Record: 9-7


Golden Tate*, WR, Notre Dame

The Jets must give Mark Sanchez some weapons in the passing game, and while Tate has question marks on his ability to separate, he's more physical than many think and has always been a playmaker. In the mold of a Laveranues Coles.


Minnesota Vikings

Record: 12-4


Patrick Robinson, CB, Florida State

Need meets value here. Robinson is the second-best corner in the draft and Minnesota should be happy to grab him this late. Robinson has the chance to step in and contribute.
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:36 AM   #7
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Did this really warrant three exclamation points?
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:37 AM   #8
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New Orleans Saints

Record: 13-3


Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State

Odrick is an ideal pick here for the Saints, who are looking to add stability to the rush defense. His presence helped standout LBs Bowman and Sean Lee run free, and the Saints will ask for the same.

Indianapolis Colts

Record: 14-2


Brandon Graham, DE, Michigan

Graham was a one-man show for the Wolverines, leading the nation in tackles for loss. Always in the backfield, he's a guy that can learn under master pass-rushers in Indy and build on the tradition.
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:38 AM   #9
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1st one I have seen that DOESN'T have us taking McClain.
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:39 AM   #10
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Bryant would be appealing. I wouldn't mind us taking him, and then trading up to grab what's his face (G) later in the round.
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:41 AM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TwinCitiesBronco View Post
Did this really warrant three exclamation points?
yes
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:42 AM   #12
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I'd trade Alphonso Smith back for C.J. Spiller and knowing we took Brian Cushing over Moreno in a heartbeat.

Woulda coulda.
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:42 AM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by terrelway View Post
they won't take dez bryant, he's wasted in our quick-strike, bubble screen and 2 yard crossing pattern juggernaut of an offense.
I almost fell out of my chair laughing so hard. Great take.
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:43 AM   #14
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don't be shocked when it happens, how awesome will it be to have a speed guy we can't use
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:44 AM   #15
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don't be shocked when it happens, how awesome will it be to have a speed guy we can't use
He can hurry 20 yards down field to wait for Orton's floater. Awesome. Simply awesome.
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:44 AM   #16
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Shanahan also hit on his last QB selection, when he drafted Jay Cutler in Denver.

Hit what, a pothole?
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:44 AM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TerrElway View Post
They won't take Dez Bryant, he's wasted in our quick-strike, bubble screen and 2 yard crossing pattern juggernaut of an offense.
are you referring to the same bubble screen offense that never threw the ball downfield in NE? perhaps we simply didn't have the deep threat to challenge defenses like NE had in Randy Moss (before he mailed it in) and tried to play to our strengths . . . if Bryant adds the explosive dimension to our offense then great! But I think we have more pressing needs on defense and I'm about as sold on WR 1st round talent as I am on RB 1st round talent.

All in all, I'd rather see fresh legs at LB or a real 3-4 DE emerge.
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:44 AM   #18
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Quote:
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Bryant would be appealing. I wouldn't mind us taking him, and then trading up to grab what's his face (G) later in the round.
Iupati? Absolutely. Thing is, this draft is loaded with premier talent all over the place, so I could almost care less what they address at this point in time as long as the value is respectable. The fact that some of those players are falling that far in the draft or are projected where they are at is awesome. If there is ever a year to have a lot of picks, this is it. Hopefully we'll get some more.
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:45 AM   #19
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Ed reed
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:45 AM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RaiderH8r View Post
He can hurry 20 yards down field to wait for Orton's floater. Awesome. Simply awesome.
this place will be unbearable during the draft and after
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:45 AM   #21
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Quote:
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don't be shocked when it happens, how awesome will it be to have a speed guy we can't use
roflmao
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:47 AM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rohirrim View Post
Shanahan also hit on his last QB selection, when he drafted Jay Cutler in Denver.

Hit what, a pothole?
Two 1st round picks, a 3rd and Kyle Orton.
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:47 AM   #23
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Are there any slow, short, midget CB's they can trade the 10 pick for?
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:49 AM   #24
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Just doesnt make sense to me to trade your top 5 receiver just to draft another one. Build your ****ing lines or front 7
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Old 01-20-2010, 10:50 AM   #25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Requiem View Post
Iupati? Absolutely. Thing is, this draft is loaded with premier talent all over the place, so I could almost care less what they address at this point in time as long as the value is respectable. If there is ever a year to have a lot of picks, this is it.
Well, I know I'm stoked the Broncos are one pick shorter than they had to be.

I wouldn't hold my breath on the team getting value either.
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