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Old 10-02-2009, 09:49 AM   #1
broncofan7
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Default Broncofan7's Week 4 picks (bet the OPPOSITE of what I say and you will win)

What a DREADFUL week last week for my picks-here goes NOTHING:

5 star PICK:

New Orleans (-7) to cover @ home over the NYJ
--I think that NE was not firing on all cylinders and TN shot themselves in the foot last week with 4-5 turnovers--the Jets won't be so lucky this week..Saints BIG over the Jets

4 star special:

TX Tech (-34) to cover at home VS New Mexico
--after TWO TOUGH losses on the road--Mike Leach comes out firing and the Red Raiders hang 60+ on New Mexico who are 0-4 and giving up 35 pts/game

3 star special

MINN/GB to go over 45
--I like both team's ability to score in this game (GB via the pass--MIN more balanced)--that is played in a DOME

2 star special
Miami (+7.5) to cover at home VS. OU--I like the Miami home field advantage and the fact that they have been tested in more games than OU (BYU)--plus Bradford isn't playing--gimme the U and the points

Upset special:

SMU (+28) to cover @ TCU--being a TCU alum (undergrad) it pains me to type this--but I think that their offense is too limited and June Jone's SMU offense will score enough to keep this within 14 points
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Old 10-02-2009, 09:55 AM   #2
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Quote:
Originally Posted by broncofan7 View Post
What a DREADFUL week last week for my picks-here goes NOTHING:

5 star PICK:

New Orleans (-7) to cover @ home over the NYJ
--I think that NE was not firing on all cylinders and TN shot themselves in the foot last week with 4-5 turnovers--the Jets won't be so lucky this week..Saints BIG over the Jets

4 star special:

TX Tech (-34) to cover at home VS New Mexico
--after TWO TOUGH losses on the road--Mike Leach comes out firing and the Red Raiders hang 60+ on New Mexico who are 0-4 and giving up 35 pts/game

3 star special

MINN/GB to go over 45
--I like both team's ability to score in this game (GB via the pass--MIN more balanced)--that is played in a DOME

2 star special
Miami (+7.5) to cover at home VS. OU--I like the Miami home field advantage and the fact that they have been tested in more games than OU (BYU)--plus Bradford isn't playing--gimme the U and the points

Upset special:

SMU (+28) to cover @ TCU--being a TCU alum (undergrad) it pains me to type this--but I think that their offense is too limited and June Jone's SMU offense will score enough to keep this within 14 points
I agree with the NO over Jets pick. Magic carpet ride is over.

Tx tech giving 34....Iffie...again too many points to make it a lock. How many teams that have been 30+ favorites have covered this year?

Minn Gb on the over..good
Miami at home ...good
Same for SMU /TCU
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Old 10-02-2009, 09:58 AM   #3
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All I can say is you are due..haha
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Old 10-02-2009, 10:03 AM   #4
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I don't think New Orleans covers.....the jets had a good defense before Ryan showed up.

honestly, I can't beleive the spread is that large
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Old 10-02-2009, 10:08 AM   #5
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Originally Posted by SoDak Bronco View Post
All I can say is you are due..haha
--you are telling ME! I actually won some money in a progressive parlay last week by using some of the suggestions from other posters in last week's thread and combining it with my own picks--last year--I RODE USC to a boatload of $$$--this year--I just have not felt comfortable on any particular game--but the TX Tech-NM tilt--I sort of have that feeling again--Tech has played GREAT in losing tough games @ UT and Houston--and now are coming home to play a team that is 0-4, gives up 35.5pts/game and scores in the teens--I like Tech to win around 63-14...so I put a little more $$ on that game in a straight wager---I mostly do $5 and $10 parlays if I don't feel strong about a game
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Old 10-02-2009, 10:57 AM   #6
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I do not believe a word you say
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Old 10-02-2009, 11:15 AM   #7
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south fla -6.5
va tech - 17
tenn -2

NFL
cincy - 5.5
giants - 8.5
tampa +7
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Old 10-02-2009, 11:16 AM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by broncofan7 View Post
What a DREADFUL week last week for my picks-here goes NOTHING:

5 star PICK:

New Orleans (-7) to cover @ home over the NYJ
--I think that NE was not firing on all cylinders and TN shot themselves in the foot last week with 4-5 turnovers--the Jets won't be so lucky this week..Saints BIG over the Jets

4 star special:

TX Tech (-34) to cover at home VS New Mexico
--after TWO TOUGH losses on the road--Mike Leach comes out firing and the Red Raiders hang 60+ on New Mexico who are 0-4 and giving up 35 pts/game

3 star special

MINN/GB to go over 45
--I like both team's ability to score in this game (GB via the pass--MIN more balanced)--that is played in a DOME

2 star special
Miami (+7.5) to cover at home VS. OU--I like the Miami home field advantage and the fact that they have been tested in more games than OU (BYU)--plus Bradford isn't playing--gimme the U and the points

Upset special:

SMU (+28) to cover @ TCU--being a TCU alum (undergrad) it pains me to type this--but I think that their offense is too limited and June Jone's SMU offense will score enough to keep this within 14 points
DONT LIKE Saints as a 5 star lock, and what have I told you about giving 30+
hahahahaha
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Old 10-02-2009, 11:48 AM   #9
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To be honest the only games I would touch on that list is no and the over in the pack game
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Old 10-02-2009, 12:20 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bfoflcommish View Post
College
south fla -6.5
va tech - 17
tenn -2

NFL
cincy - 5.5
giants - 8.5

tampa +7


Those seem too easy.
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Old 10-02-2009, 12:24 PM   #11
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i actually like the Browns in that cinncy bet.
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Old 10-02-2009, 12:26 PM   #12
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Quote:
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Those seem too easy.
havent looked at any current odds but thats what in the back of the denver post today. I thought the same thing
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Old 10-02-2009, 12:31 PM   #13
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Here's My Plays for the weekend:
Louisville +7
Washington +13
Penn. St. -7
Broncos +3
Giants -9
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Old 10-02-2009, 12:49 PM   #14
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Those Giants and Bengal lines are legit, slapped a decent bet on that as a double.
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Old 10-02-2009, 01:16 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by McSchism View Post
Those Giants and Bengal lines are legit, slapped a decent bet on that as a double.
Yeah, I know they're legit, I just can't believe they are that low.

Cinn-9.5 and NYG -13 is what I was expecting before the lines came out.
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Old 10-02-2009, 05:12 PM   #16
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Gotta love road favorites, you get that sweet "home field advantage" to drive it lower.

Broncofan7, I'm wondering if those picks you "borrowed" last week were mine. Then again, I don't remember if I posted them or not but I won on 3 separate parlays, one being a 5-team.

It was a good week.

P.S. Thank you Jay Cutler and Carson Palmer.

oh, my picks this week:

NYG -8.5
Cin -6
Buff -1
Bal +2
SD +6.5
NO -7, and the over
Ten -3
SF -9.5

act now, thank me later
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Old 10-02-2009, 06:10 PM   #17
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No way the Saints cover that...no way. I'd take the Saints straight up, but I wouldn't giving anything more than three points.
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Old 10-02-2009, 06:19 PM   #18
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I put a larger-than-normal bet on Cincy -6.5. I can appreciate that they're on the road, but Cleveland is just awful.
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Old 10-02-2009, 06:24 PM   #19
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No way the Saints cover that...no way. I'd take the Saints straight up, but I wouldn't giving anything more than three points.
I would have agreed with you until I saw this:



That, coupled with the fact that New Orleans is at home tells me the Jets are going to have some problems in coverage. But hey, it's all about what you are willing to put your money on.. i know where mine is.
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Old 10-02-2009, 06:26 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by McChamp View Post
Gotta love road favorites, you get that sweet "home field advantage" to drive it lower.

Broncofan7, I'm wondering if those picks you "borrowed" last week were mine. Then again, I don't remember if I posted them or not but I won on 3 separate parlays, one being a 5-team.

It was a good week.

P.S. Thank you Jay Cutler and Carson Palmer.

oh, my picks this week:

NYG -8.5
Cin -6
Buff -1
Bal +2
SD +6.5
NO -7, and the over
Ten -3
SF -9.5

act now, thank me later
I also had a great week last week, so i think he borrowed some of my picks but either way I like helping other people out!! Im thinking about a two game parlay with Cincy NYG with some BIG Money on it I like it up 350 gets you almsot 2,000. I also like the TN game
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Old 10-02-2009, 06:29 PM   #21
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I would have agreed with you until I saw this:
I'm still leery, especially since the Bills banged up D held them to no passing TD's. We'll see I guess.
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Old 10-02-2009, 09:51 PM   #22
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games ill probably be putting money on this weekend:
nfl
bengals -5.5
giants -9
saints -7 especially in the dome, and a jets injury riddled secondary.
Chargers +6.5
Packers +3

College
Alabama -16
Georgia tech -5.5
Washington st +35
Arkansas +1.5
USC -4.5
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Old 10-02-2009, 10:01 PM   #23
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Even a ........

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Old 10-02-2009, 10:32 PM   #24
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Are the saints really that good guys? They were tied with buffalo for most of the game last week. Torn on that one.
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Old 10-02-2009, 10:35 PM   #25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kane0730 View Post
Here's My Plays for the weekend:
Louisville +7
Washington +13
Penn. St. -7
Broncos +3
Giants -9
Joined 2.5 years ago, and this is your first-ever post?

Welcome, I guess?
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