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Old 10-01-2009, 06:35 PM   #1
Rock Chalk
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Default Expert Picks

CBS
Prisco SU: Dallas
Harmon SU: Denver
Prisco ATS: Dallas
Harmon ATS: Denver
Judge ATS: Denver
Urbano ATS: Dallas
Madden ATS: Denver
Richard ATS: Dallas

ESPN
Allen: Dallas
Golic: Dallas
Hoge: Dallas
Jaws: Dallas
Mort: Denver
Schefter: Dallas
Stink: Dallas
Wickersham: Denver
Accuscore: Dallas
Pick'em: Dallas

FoxSports (WhatIfSports)
Dallas: 69.8%
Schrager: Dallas

Yahoo Sports
Cole: Dallas
Robinson: Denver
Silver: Dallas
Yahoo Users: Dallas

Sporting News
Iyer: Denver
Greenberg: Dallas
Brown: Dallas
Breer: Dallas
RealScouts: Dallas
Lande: Dallas
Dillon: Denver

NFL Network
Sterling Sharpe: Denver
Brian Baldinger: Dallas
Joe Theisman: Denver

So of the picks Straight Up (which are all but the ATS picks from CBS), Denver has 8 votes of 28 total.

I get the skepticism, sorta. But why exactly is everyone so confident about Dallas? They haven't looked impressive to me.

So of the picks Straight Up (which are all but the ATS picks from CBS), Denver has 6 votes of 25 total.

I get the skepticism, sorta. But why exactly is everyone so confident about Dallas? They haven't looked impressive to me.
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Old 10-01-2009, 06:44 PM   #2
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Schefter picked Dallas. I want to see the rationale.
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Old 10-01-2009, 06:48 PM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rock Chalk View Post
CBS
Prisco SU: Dallas
Harmon SU: Denver
Prisco ATS: Dallas
Harmon ATS: Denver
Judge ATS: Denver
Urbano ATS: Dallas
Madden ATS: Denver
Richard ATS: Dallas

ESPN
Allen: Dallas
Golic: Dallas
Hoge: Dallas
Jaws: Dallas
Mort: Denver
Schefter: Dallas
Stink: Dallas
Wickersham: Denver
Accuscore: Dallas
Pick'em: Dallas

FoxSports (WhatIfSports)
Dallas: 69.8%
Schrager: Dallas

Yahoo Sports
Cole: Dallas
Robinson: Denver
Silver: Dallas
Yahoo Users: Dallas

Sporting News
Iyer: Denver
Greenberg: Dallas
Brown: Dallas
Breer: Dallas
RealScouts: Dallas
Lande: Dallas
Dillon: Denver


So of the picks Straight Up (which are all but the ATS picks from CBS), Denver has 6 votes of 25 total.

I get the skepticism, sorta. But why exactly is everyone so confident about Dallas? They haven't looked impressive to me.
c'mon Stink...
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Old 10-01-2009, 06:49 PM   #4
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NFL Network
Sterling Sharpe - Denver
Brian Baldinger - Dallas
Joe Theisman - Denver
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Old 10-01-2009, 06:49 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by McGcver2ver3 View Post
NFL Network
Sterling Sharpe - Denver
Brian Baldinger - Dallas
Joe Theisman - Denver
Damn I forgot about them and they were the reason I went and looked it all up.
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Old 10-01-2009, 06:50 PM   #6
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Same experts who had us at 0-3? Matt Millen school of thought I see.
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Old 10-01-2009, 06:52 PM   #7
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Dallas Cowboys (2-1) at Denver Broncos (3-0)
Line: Cowboys by 3. Total: 42.5.
Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 3):
Cowboys -3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 3): Cowboys -1.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

The Game. Edge: Broncos.
NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries | NFC Injuries

With the 2009 NFL Season underway, I'll be posting my Jerks of the Week on Wednesdays because I'll be tied up on Sundays. Jerks of the Week for Sept. 28, 2009 are up, so just click the link. This week's jerks are: 1) People Who Complain About Racism in Cartoons. 2) My Friend and Me. 3) Me.

DALLAS OFFENSE: The Cowboys' offense has looked great for one half this year. Tony Romo torched Tampa Bay's awful secondary two weeks ago. Since then, all he has done is throw interceptions and dumb passes across the field that most teams would turn into a pick-six. I can't really say that Romo misses Terrell Owens because Owens isn't doing anything this year, but something seems really off.

Luckily, Felix Jones and Tashard Choice bailed out Romo on Monday night against a horrific Carolina defense. Don't count on that again. I don't know how they're doing it, but the Broncos have done a phenomenal job shutting down the run thus far, holding opposing backs to 3.2 yards per carry.

It looks like Choice will be Dallas' primary ball-carrier this week. Marion Barber has swelling in his quad and Jones has a sprained PCL. I like Choice, but what if he gets banged up? Or what if he needs a breather? The Cowboys could be in trouble here.

If Dallas has problems running the ball and Romo is consequently in long-yardage situations, the Broncos' hectic pass rush (10 sacks) should be able to force him into a turnover or two.

DENVER OFFENSE: The Cowboys' problem this year is the same one they had at the end of last season. They cannot stop the run. They're giving up 4.9 yards per carry, and it makes you wonder what Jeff Davidson was thinking by giving DeAngelo Williams only 11 rushes.

The Broncos have run the ball a lot this year and have done so effectively with Knowshon Moreno leading the way. Denver's offensive line is arguably the NFL's best, so look for them to pound the rock for tons of big gains.

Assuming Denver's ground attack is working, Kyle Orton's play-action fakes should be able to neutralize Dallas' pass rush. Orton still throws like a 12-year-old girl, but if all he has to do is convert a bunch of 3rd-and-2s and 3rd-and-3s, that's definitely not a problem.

RECAP: I can't believe I'm saying this because I've been down on them all offseason, but I love the Broncos here for three reasons:

First, this is a statement game for Denver. Every single media outlet (including this one) is saying that the team's 3-0 start is a fluke and that the Bengals should have won in Week 1. While that may be true, this is the Broncos' opportunity to let the nation know that they are for real.

Second, this is a classic matchup between overrated versus underrated. The public loves the overrated Cowboys in this game because of their offense. However, Dallas' defense is garbage and will be torn up by Denver's ground attack. The Broncos' defense has been amazing this season, so if they can keep it up, they'll win this game.

And third, this line is out of control. What have the Cowboys done to be 3-point favorites at Denver? Beat the horrific Buccaneers and squeak by the tanking Panthers? Dallas' two victories have come against teams that are a combined 0-6. We're getting a lot of value here with the Broncos because based on talent alone, this spread should be Denver -2 or -3.


The Psychology. Edge: Broncos.
The Broncos are 3-0, yet everyone (including myself) is saying that their record is a fluke and that they shouldn't have beaten the Bengals. While that may be true, this will definitely be a statement game for them against the Cowboys.


The Vegas. Edge: Broncos.
It should not surprise you that the public is all over the Cowboys.
Percentage of money on Dallas: 77% (13,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys. Cowboys are 10-5 ATS after a loss since 2006.
Tony Romo is 20-9 ATS as a starter before Dec. 1.
Tony Romo is 11-6 ATS on the road.
Wade Phillips is 1-3 ATS after a Monday night game.
Broncos are 17-10 ATS at home when the line is -3 to +3 the previous 25 instances.
Opening Line: Cowboys -3.
Opening Total: 43.5.
Weather: .
For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups or the Expanded NFL Analysis.


Week 4 NFL Pick: Broncos 23, Cowboys 13
Broncos +3 (5 Units)
Under 42.5 (.5 Units)
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Old 10-01-2009, 06:55 PM   #8
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I just got wood reading one of the snippets in the above post:

"the Broncos' hectic pass rush"

WHo ever would have thought hectic pass rush and Broncos would be in the same sentence?
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Old 10-01-2009, 07:36 PM   #9
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Cowboys players, today, were saying how the Denver defense reminds them of Baltimore in the way of confusion, giving a number of looks and attacking from different positions.
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Old 10-01-2009, 07:41 PM   #10
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No surprise re: the BSPN picks.
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Old 10-01-2009, 07:42 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by McRulon McVelvet McJones View Post
Cowboys players, today, were saying how the Denver defense reminds them of Baltimore in the way of confusion, giving a number of looks and attacking from different positions.
Was thinking the exact same thing earlier today. If fact, the whole team reminds me of the 2000 Ravens in many ways.
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Old 10-01-2009, 07:45 PM   #12
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i feel really good this weekend after dropping 200 on this game. Denver +3 against Dallas just screams free money to me.
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Old 10-01-2009, 07:46 PM   #13
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Second, this is a classic matchup between overrated versus underrated. The public loves the overrated Cowboys in this game because of their offense. However, Dallas' defense is garbage and will be torn up by Denver's ground attack. The Broncos' defense has been amazing this season, so if they can keep it up, they'll win this game.
^ this.
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Old 10-01-2009, 08:11 PM   #14
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respect is earned, not given.... huge statement game for this team.
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Old 10-01-2009, 08:24 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rock Chalk View Post
I just got wood reading one of the snippets in the above post:

"the Broncos' hectic pass rush"

WHo ever would have thought hectic pass rush and Broncos would be in the same sentence?
I thought it be a year or two, but good to see it back.
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Old 10-01-2009, 08:25 PM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wolf754life View Post
respect is earned, not given.... huge statement game for this team.

This phrase is quickly being overused.


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Old 10-01-2009, 08:49 PM   #17
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Defense = Perfect Storm.
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Old 10-01-2009, 08:52 PM   #18
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Quote:
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Schefter picked Dallas. I want to see the rationale.
He was asked who had the best restaurants.
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Old 10-01-2009, 09:04 PM   #19
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any town with Casa Bonita wins hands down.
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Old 10-01-2009, 09:06 PM   #20
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I just want to punch it down their throat. Continue to make Orton unimportant. Its just great watching them run the ball.
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Old 10-01-2009, 09:11 PM   #21
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Old 10-01-2009, 09:38 PM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iron Clady View Post
I thought it be a year or two, but good to see it back.
NeedAPassRush is going to have to change his name soon
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Old 10-01-2009, 09:39 PM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cutthemdown View Post
any town with Casa Bonita wins hands down.
You cant be serious. Casa Bonita is garbage.
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Old 10-01-2009, 09:43 PM   #24
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Quote:
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NeedAPassRush is going to have to change his name soon
I hope it comes to that, how about "haveapassrush"
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Old 10-01-2009, 10:00 PM   #25
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For the record: ESPN Sunday Countdown Experts:
Ditka: Dallas
MeShawn: Dallas
Carter: Dallas
Tommy Jackson: Denver (you betcha TJ, way to represent)
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