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Old 08-06-2009, 04:56 PM   #1
lex
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Default Apparently mock drafts are serious business

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news;_yl...yhoo&type=lgns

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Normally, the unpredictable football decisions of Al Davis adversely affect only the team he owns, the bumbling Oakland Raiders.




Rookie Michael Crabtree is threatening to sit out the 2009 season if the Niners don’t give him a deal guaranteeing more than $23.5 million. Shutdown Corner’s take
(Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images)
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The NFL’s other 31 teams often benefit from his strange personnel moves, which allow talented draft picks and free agents to slide to them.

In April, the cross-bay San Francisco 49ers rejoiced when the Raiders selected wide receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey(notes) seventh overall. It allowed the Niners to select Michael Crabtree(notes), a pass-catching machine out of Texas Tech, at No. 10. Predraft hype rated Crabtree higher than Heyward-Bey.

Now the Niners’ dream pick has turned nightmare. In a convoluted strategy, Crabtree is threatening to sit out the 2009 season by negotiating off mock drafts which didn’t occur rather than the real one that did.

Crabtree has decided that he shouldn’t have to be paid less because – based on all the made-up, predicted drafts – Al Davis made a mistake. He wants to be paid more than Heyward-Bey, demanding his contract reflect that it was actually he who was the higher selected receiver.

It’s a ground-breaking, if intellectually bankrupt, concept.

Crabtree’s camp said Thursday that he is even willing to sit out the year and re-enter the draft next spring unless he gets more than the $23.5 million the Raiders guaranteed Heyward-Bey. The news was first reported by profootballtalk.com. Anything less than that stratospheric number is “unacceptable.”

“We are prepared to do it,” David Wells, a cousin of Crabtree, told ESPN. “Michael just wants fair market value. Michael is one of the best players in the draft, and he just wants to be paid like one of the best players.”

The ridiculousness of a guy who’s never caught a professional pass deeming $20-something million “unacceptable” is a testament to the troublesome way the NFL pays its rookies. A sense of youthful entitlement combines with a flawed structure so that the unproven rookie often makes more than the veteran All-Pro.

While NFL players tend to earn their money – a disturbing percentage leave the game as near-cripples dealing with neurological problems – Crabtree would be best served getting to camp and focusing on the tens of millions he will earn rather than the few more he may not.

More intriguing, however, is what Crabtree is trying to pull. Contract negotiations and holdout threats aren’t new. This is. It isn’t just an unorthodox attempt to bypass the traditional (if unofficial) slotting of rookie salaries. It’s putting real value on the unreal speculation that surrounds the buildup to the draft.

Crabtree is trying to get paid off perception, not reality.

Pre-draft hype has grown exponentially over the years. What was once the domain of only hard-core fans has taken on a life of its own. All forms of media dedicate enormous resources to it. The Internet is awash in mock drafts. The draft itself has become a major event in its own right. Next April, the first round will move to Thursday prime time – where it will, no doubt, pull monster television ratings.

Still, as fun and harmless as it is to follow the various prognostications, all of it remains conjecture.

Perhaps Crabtree isn’t aware that even though ESPN will deem sportswriter speculation on “Who will the Raiders pick?” a “Cold Hard Fact,” it is, in fact, not.

Not only is none of the pre-draft coverage “real” – there is no reason to believe it is accurate.

Since there is virtually no benefit for a team to publicly disclose their honest opinions of players, teams blatantly lie about their plans. Why wouldn’t they? Everything you hear should first be assumed inaccurate, not something you can later use in contract negotiations.

The rest of the coverage and discussion that lead up to the draft is opinion – opinion based mostly on pathetically thin research.

Crabtree may indeed be a better player than Heyward-Bey, however much of the public and media sentiment to that regard is because Crabtree played on a high-profile Texas Tech team and scored a dramatic touchdown to upset Texas. Heyward-Bey, meanwhile, played on a fairly anonymous Maryland club.

Just because fans and media – very few of whom watch even a smidgen of tape, have access to team scouting reports or even comprehend the game of football all that well – were more excited about Crabtree means absolutely nothing.

Even if you could prove (and you can’t) that 31 NFL teams felt the same way, it wouldn’t matter. The draft isn’t about consensus opinions; it’s about the decision of each individual franchise.

In this case, the Raiders believed Heyward-Bay was better than Michael Crabtree and they put an oversized contract behind it. That was the only actual, factual thing that occurred. Whether everyone disagreed with Al Davis or whether his recent track record is sketchy doesn’t matter.

The pick is the pick.

Crabtree apparently operates in a world ruled by Mel Kiper Jr. He wants to be paid based on what was wrongly predicted to occur rather than what actually did. In his mind, he was the first receiver drafted, even if he wasn’t.

Talk about your mock drafts.

Dan Wetzel is Yahoo! Sports’ national columnist.
Unbelievable.
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Old 08-06-2009, 04:57 PM   #2
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wow- That is ridiculous!!!
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Old 08-06-2009, 05:08 PM   #3
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What would be really great is if they instituted a rookie pay scale next year prior to the draft. I would not stop laughing at Crabtree for at least a week and it would be well deserved.
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Old 08-06-2009, 05:09 PM   #4
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Teh Internets. Serious Business.
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Old 08-06-2009, 05:14 PM   #5
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I've heard that Crabtree is one of the best french fry cooks around. Maybe BK and MacDonald's can get in a bidding war over him.
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Old 08-06-2009, 05:45 PM   #6
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There is actually another problem with players putting too much weight on mock drafts. In the pre-draft period, as many as 100 different players will at one point or another make it into the 1st round of a mock draft. I have heard rumors of several players who are horribly disappointed when they are drafted in the 2nd or 3rd round because they have seen mock drafts where they are drafted in the 1st round.

Most players of course get over it in short order, but some players keep a chip on their shoulder for years because they feel they were disrespected or underrated because they were not drafted as high as they expected based on mock drafts.



I read a comment from Crabtrees cousin who seems to somehow have finagled some blood relations into a cozy job, saying that Crabtree wanted to be paid as one of the best players in the draft because he was one of the best players in the draft. By that logic, he should take a contract that is entirely based on incentives and performance bonuses, since the only way he can really prove he was one of the best players is to play like one of the best.
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Old 08-06-2009, 05:49 PM   #7
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what a fuggin dumbass this guy is just retarded you can't be paid like a top 5 pick when your not a top 5 pick...........Idiot
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Old 08-06-2009, 06:02 PM   #8
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Another wanker footballer. League is full of them nowadays.
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Old 08-06-2009, 06:06 PM   #9
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exactly what would it take to institute a rookie payscale and how quick could it possibly happen ?

40 million guaranteed to Stafford who hasn't thrown one pass in a regular season game? thats absurd.
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Old 08-06-2009, 06:14 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cutler_to_marshall View Post
exactly what would it take to institute a rookie payscale and how quick could it possibly happen ?

40 million guaranteed to Stafford who hasn't thrown one pass in a regular season game? thats absurd.
It would take for the players to realize a rookie wage scale is in their best interest and it will happen in the new CBA whenever it is ratified (a year or two).
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Old 08-06-2009, 06:24 PM   #11
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This guy sits out a year and he'll drop out off the top 20, maybe out of the first round or farther. Regardless, he's not going to get drafted any higher... that's just insane.
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Old 08-06-2009, 07:02 PM   #12
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If I were Crabtree, I'd be pissed that Al Davis' stupidity cost me millions upon millions.
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Old 08-06-2009, 07:03 PM   #13
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Yeah they guy is getting some pretty bad advice.

“We are prepared to do it,” David Wells, a cousin of Crabtree, told ESPN. “Michael just wants fair market value. Michael is one of the best players in the draft, and he just wants to be paid like one of the best players.”

His cousin is his agent or manager or something, and I'm going to go out on a limb and assume he has zero experience at any of this, and somehow conned Crabtree into letting him run the show.

This is why you don't let hangers-on run your life.
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Old 08-06-2009, 07:55 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cutler_to_marshall View Post
exactly what would it take to institute a rookie payscale and how quick could it possibly happen ?

40 million guaranteed to Stafford who hasn't thrown one pass in a regular season game? thats absurd.
Hopefully not as long as it is going to take for you to change your handle.
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Old 08-06-2009, 08:04 PM   #15
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So if he is on the board in the second round does San Fran draft him?
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Old 08-06-2009, 08:40 PM   #16
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He wont sit for a year. But if he does, he wont get taken till 2nd rnd or later. Why would anyone waste a pick on him knowing he will want top 10 money even if he was picked in the late 20s or early 30s. He will sign, or screw his whole career. Look at that QB from 87 or 88 that held out for a year, what did he do again?
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Old 08-06-2009, 08:52 PM   #17
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Why don't you show up and produce first, he will only end up ****ing himself if he doesn't.

What would he go for next year, 2nd rounder?
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Old 08-06-2009, 08:55 PM   #18
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Knowshon's hold-out: normal.

This stuff: bat**** insane.
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Old 08-06-2009, 09:15 PM   #19
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If he sits out a year, he'll still be first round material. Somewhere around 20 I'd say.
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Old 08-06-2009, 10:01 PM   #20
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let him sit out, it only ****s him over. no chance in hell does he go top 10 next season if he sits out. he is a talented receiver, but in a good draft class he doesn't come close to top 10. 2nd round or later next season. and if he is stupid enough to sit out, he is going to forfeit millions.
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Old 08-06-2009, 10:05 PM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Broncobiv View Post
If he sits out a year, he'll still be first round material. Somewhere around 20 I'd say.
have you seen next years draft? next year is stacked with talent, and that isn't even including the inevitable 1 year wonders who come from out of nowhere and end up as 1st round picks.

if he sits out, he is not a 1st round pick next season. he doesn't have the elite size, speed or attitude necessary for a team to give him another chance as a 1st round pick. he has good hands, but in a good draft class(this years sucked) he is not a top 10 pick
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