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#1 |
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Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Indian Rocks Beach
Posts: 1,115
Adopt-a-Bronco: Aaron Brewer |
This thread is for “stat geeks” (like myself). I used to run it every week in Broncomania (RIP) for the last two years (weeks 4-17)
The stat are broken down to 3 categories: Offense, defense and Special teams; there is also a section about penalties, and it is focused on the Broncos. For each stat category you'll see the score or average, NFL rank (1-32) change in rank since last week and also NFL 1st and last teams with their perspective scores. Scores that are ranked in the top or bottom five are highlighted. And AFCW teams are also indicated. There is also a summery of ‘Red Zone’ offense and defense success rates. The next post is about ‘Strength of Schedule” based only on games already played. I will also point out anything that I find interesting or unusual. For comparison, if you’re interested, last years final stat can be found here: 2006, 2005. Feel free to suggest more categories if you think they can be helpful or other ideas for improvement. |
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#2 |
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™
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Indian Rocks Beach
Posts: 1,115
Adopt-a-Bronco: Aaron Brewer |
Offense Code:
STAT SCORE RANK FIRST LAST -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- points / game 18.0 T20 == Cowboys(37.8) Rams(9.8) yards / game 382.5 5 == Cowboys(440.8) 49ers(213.2) 1st downs / game 20.5 7 == Patriots(26.2) 49ers(12.5) 3rd down conversions 47.9% 9 == Patriots(51.3%) 49ers(24.1%) 4th down conversions 60.0% 12 == (100.0%) (0.0%) time of possession 30:36 12 == Patriots(35:09) Browns(25:24) avg’ starting fp 24.7 31 == Steelers(34.7) Panthers(24.3) run / pass ratio 51.7% 9 == Titans(62.2%) Packers(31.7%) rush yards / game 155.5 5 == Raiders(194.2) Packers(54.2) rush attempts / game 31.0 T8 == Titans(39.0) (19.8) average yards / rush 5.0 2 == Raiders(5.3) Packers(2.7) pass yards / game 227.0 13 == Lions(312.8) 49ers(118.0) pass attempts / game 29.0 25 == Saints(43.3) Bucc's(23.5) completion percentage 64.7% 13 == Patriots(79.2%) 49ers(47.0%) avg’ yards / attempt 7.8 6 == Cowboys(9.5) 49ers(4.0) avg’ yards / completion 12.1 7 == Cowboys(16.0) Saints(7.8) total giveaway / game *** 2.0 20 == Colts(0.5) Bears(3.5) Intercepted / game *** 1.3 T21 == (0.0) Saints(2.3) fumbles lost / game *** 0.8 T12 == Jets(0.0) (1.5) total fumbles / game *** 1.5 T14 == (0.8) Bears(3.5) sacked / game *** 1.3 T5 == (0.8) Lions(5.3) sacked yards / game *** 4.5 2 == Colts(3.8) Bears(33.5) (*** indicates 1st is the lowest score / T = tied) Total 1st down inside opp’ 20: 15 Total Touchdowns: 7 (46.7% success) Total Field-Goals: 7 Total giveaways: 0 Turnovers on downs: 1 Kneel downs: 0 Defense Code:
STAT SCORE RANK FIRST LAST -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- points / game *** 23.8 T21 == Buccaneers(11.0) Saints(34.3) yards / game *** 295.9 6 == Patriots(226.0) Bills(430.2) 1st downs / game *** 18.8 T18 == Steelers(14.8) Browns(23.8) 3rd down conversions *** 43.4% 23 == Patriots(30.0%) Dolphins(51.8%) 4th down conversions *** 100% T24 == (0.0%) (100%) opp’ avg’ starting fp *** 33.1 26 == Falcons(25.6) Dolphins(34.6) run / pass ratio *** 63.0% 31 == Titans(32.0%) Dolphins(66.1%) rush yards / game *** 181.0 31 == Vikings(62.0) Dolphins(199.2) rush attempts / game *** 36.2 31 == Titans(18.3) Dolphins(41.0) average yards / rush *** 5.0 30 == Vikings(2.5) Bengals(5.3) pass yards / game *** 114.5 1 == Broncos(114.5) Bills(282.2) pass attempts / game *** 21.2 3 == Jaguars(20.3) Vikings(40.5) completion percentage *** 65.9% 25 == Steelers(52.6%) Bears(71.5%) avg’ yards / attempt *** 5.4 5 == Buccaneers(5.1) Saints(10.0) avg’ yards / completion *** 8.2 1 == Broncos(8.2) Saints(15.6) total takeaway / game 1.5 T21 == Lions(3.3) Saints(0.7) Interceptions / game 1.0 T12 == (2.3) Panthers(0.0) fumbles recovered / game 0.5 T24 == Panthers(1.5) Raiders(0.0) total fumbles / game 1.5 20 == Lions(3.5) (0.5) sacks / game 2.3 T14 == (4.0) Saints(0.0) sack yards / game 14.8 T16 == Lions(25.5) Saints(0.0) (*** indicates 1st is the lowest score / T = tied) Total 1st down inside Denver 20: 11 Total Touchdowns: 6 (54.5% success) Total Field-Goals: 3 Total takeaways: 1 Turnovers on downs: 1 Kneel downs: 0 Special Teams Code:
STAT SCORE RANK FIRST LAST -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- punts average 51.7 1 == Broncos(51.7) Titans(36.6) punts net average 34.3 26 == Raiders(44.1) Colts(29.1) kickoffs average 67.1 T7 == Chiefs(69.5) Dolphins(57.9) punts return average 4.6 28 == Bills(33.3) Raiders(2.1) kick return average 22.8 20 == Patriots(32.5) Saints(18.3) punts return (against) *** 24.0 31 == Patriots(0.0) Colts(29.5) kick return (against) *** 25.9 25 == Buccaneers(15.3) Jets(35.0) field goals percentage 72.7% 24 == (100.0%) Saints(33.3%) (*** indicates 1st is the lowest score / T = tied) Penalties Code:
STAT SCORE RANK FIRST LAST -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total penalties / game *** 4.8 8 == Saints(3.0) Ravens(8.3) penalties yards / game *** 33.3 7 == Buccaneers(23.0) Ravens(66.8) opponents penalties / game 5.0 T20 == Lions(9.8) Colts(3.5) opp' penalties yards / game 33.5 26 == Giants(71.8) Colts(26.8) (*** indicates 1st is the lowest score / T = tied) Last edited by DeuceOfClub; 10-03-2007 at 02:26 PM.. |
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#3 |
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™
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Indian Rocks Beach
Posts: 1,115
Adopt-a-Bronco: Aaron Brewer |
For each team you accumulate the opponent’s records.
(If a team played another team twice you add their record twice) Then subtract the games against the team in question. Then you calculate the percentage value. Example: Denver opponents: Buf (1-3), Oak (2-2), Jac (2-1), Ind (4-0). Combined record: 9-6. / 0.600 Removing the games against Denver (2-2). Combined record is 7-4. Or 0.636%. Just for reference, you have the “non adjusted SoS” (just the total W/L of the opponents). This is the way the NFL calculate it for ranking purposes. STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE Code:
Team OpW/L-adjusted non-adjusted (rank) 01 N.Y. Giants 9-2 0.818 11-4 0.733 (02) 02 New Orleans 6-2 0.750 9-2 0.818 (01) 03 Philadelphia 8-3 0.727 11-4 0.733 (02) 04 Tennessee 5-2 0.714 6-4 0.600 (11) 05 Arizona 8-4 0.667 10-6 0.625 (07) 05 Cincinnati 8-4 0.667 11-5 0.688 (04) 05 San Diego 8-4 0.667 11-5 0.688 (04) 08 Denver 7-4 0.636 9-6 0.600 (11) 09 Indianapolis 6-4 0.600 6-8 0.429 (23) 10 Buffalo 7-5 0.583 10-6 0.625 (07) 10 Chicago 7-5 0.583 10-6 0.625 (07) 10 Houston 7-5 0.583 9-7 0.563 (14) 10 Minnesota 7-5 0.583 10-6 0.625 (07) 10 Oakland 7-5 0.583 9-7 0.563 (14) 10 Seattle 7-5 0.583 8-8 0.500 (16) 10 St. Louis 7-5 0.583 11-5 0.688 (04) 17 Cleveland 6-6 0.500 8-8 0.500 (16) 17 Jacksonville 4-4 0.500 5-6 0.455 (20) 17 Pittsburgh 6-6 0.500 7-9 0.438 (21) 17 San Francisco 6-6 0.500 8-8 0.500 (16) 21 Miami 5-6 0.455 9-6 0.600 (11) 22 Green Bay 5-7 0.417 5-11 0.313 (27) 23 Atlanta 4-7 0.364 7-8 0.467 (19) 23 Tampa Bay 4-7 0.364 5-10 0.333 (26) 25 Baltimore 4-8 0.333 6-10 0.375 (24) 25 Carolina 4-8 0.333 6-10 0.375 (24) 25 Detroit 4-8 0.333 5-11 0.313 (27) 25 New England 4-8 0.333 4-12 0.250 (30) 25 N.Y. Jets 4-8 0.333 7-9 0.438 (21) 30 Dallas 3-9 0.250 3-13 0.188 (32) 30 Kansas City 3-9 0.250 5-11 0.313 (27) 32 Washington 2-7 0.222 3-9 0.250 (30) |
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#4 |
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***************
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Seattle
Posts: 25,440
Adopt-a-Bronco: QUANTERUS SMITH |
Meaty stuff. Nice........
Even after the Jacksonville TOP fiasco, we're still 12th in the league. 2nd to Fade in team ypc. Last edited by BroncoBuff; 10-03-2007 at 11:40 AM.. |
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#5 |
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Ring of Famer
Join Date: Jul 2002
Posts: 12,429
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Awesome posts. Keep it up.
Our rush defense has turned to a house of cards. My kingdom for a stud DT and healthy Al Wilson! |
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#6 |
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***************
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Seattle
Posts: 25,440
Adopt-a-Bronco: QUANTERUS SMITH |
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#7 |
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Ring of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: SoCal
Posts: 14,907
Adopt-a-Bronco: Jack Del rio |
My name is CBF1 and I am a stat junkie.
Best thread in a long time. I look forward to it each week. REP |
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#8 |
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Ring of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Monument, CO
Posts: 2,733
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Couldn't help notice this discrepency:
punts average 51.7 1 == Broncos(51.7) Titans(36.6) punts net average 34.3 26 == Raiders(44.1) Colts(29.1) Who cares what the punt average is? Net is what counts. |
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#9 |
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Stokley once...
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 7,244
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Good stuff.
How about avg. starting field possession. Do you have a way of tracking that? I can never find it. It's never with the usual stats you find everywhere. I'm guessing it would be right about the 20yrd line at this moment? I know we're at the bottom. |
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#10 |
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***************
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Seattle
Posts: 25,440
Adopt-a-Bronco: QUANTERUS SMITH |
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#11 |
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Perennial Pro-bowler
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Maryland
Posts: 982
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#12 | |
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™
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Indian Rocks Beach
Posts: 1,115
Adopt-a-Bronco: Aaron Brewer |
Quote:
I added average starting field positions on both sides (O/D). As you guessed, it’s not very good: Broncos’ average starting field position is on the 24.7-yards line, ranked 31st. Broncos’ opponents average starting field position is on the 33.1-yards line, ranked 26th. Football Outsider gathers lots of stat regarding drives, including average starting field position right HERE. |
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#13 | |
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™
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Indian Rocks Beach
Posts: 1,115
Adopt-a-Bronco: Aaron Brewer |
Quote:
Another point to consider: when you punt to the endzone (touchback), which happened too many times this year, there is automatically 20-yards difference between punt length and the punt net. On the other hand with our poor coverage that might not be a bad idea. |
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#14 |
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Athletic Supporter
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Mass
Posts: 19,049
Adopt-a-Bronco: Matt Prater |
People really need to look at the punting figures more closely. In the case here, the numbers really do lie. We've only punted 9 times. One of those punts was returned for a TD. That one punt totally skewed all the numbers.
Don't let that one punt fool you......since that one punt in game one, Sauerbraun has led the league in both gross and net punting. Another point to consider: when you punt to the endzone (touchback), which happened too many times this year.... All of his touchbacks have come from the Denver side of the field, so it's not like he's screwing up intentional pooch punts or anything. And why on earth, with the terrible coverage and tackling the Broncos have been exhibiting, would you ever want Sauerbraun keeping the punt in the field of play anyway? Nothing good can happen there. |
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#15 | |
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Orange
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Bend, OR
Posts: 8,038
Adopt-a-Bronco: dortoh |
Quote:
As always, stats and figures are only a a part of the picture! I love them, and they tell a good story, but it's only half the story if you don't know what actually happened! It's always good information to look at, though! I'd be interested in knowing the difference between top and bottom of the average starting position. I can't imagine it's a whole lot. What would be the most helpful would be to see how often we start behind our own 20! Just one good return (or the opposite) could skew those numbers. |
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#16 | |
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Stokley once...
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 7,244
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Quote:
you da man! btw last week I heard (on the tube) we were at 20.5 . Did we really improve that much in one game? It didn't seem like it. Last edited by Bronco Yoda; 10-03-2007 at 05:05 PM.. |
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#17 | |
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Stokley once...
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 7,244
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Quote:
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#18 |
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Ring of Famer
Join Date: May 2001
Location: ND
Posts: 37,952
Adopt-a-Bronco: Eddie Royal |
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#19 |
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Orange
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Bend, OR
Posts: 8,038
Adopt-a-Bronco: dortoh |
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#20 |
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Stokley once...
Join Date: Aug 2001
Posts: 7,244
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Sassy & STG
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