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#101 |
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Go Broncos, Nuggets, Rox
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Back In The 303!
Posts: 14,850
Adopt-a-Bronco: Ty Lawson |
I hate huge lines, but I may have to take Dallas. The Rams suck, and are without Steven Jackson on top of it.
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#102 |
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Nixonite
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Arcadia, CA
Posts: 33,508
Adopt-a-Bronco: D.J. Williams |
When I go to Vegas (which is not often), I exclusively bet with super teasers. I have an ultra conservative strategy. Usually just the minimum 4 teamer. This is what I would think about this week if I were going to Vegas which unfortunately I am not (5 games, need to take it down to 4..all these spreads include the 6 pt. super teaser):
Louisville -3 at NC State At Troy -6 La. Monroe (FREE MONEY) Iowa State +28.5 At Nebraska One of the following: At Miami -17 Duke At Washington +27 USC Don't know which of the two would be safer, Washington is pretty decent this year...and generally play well at Husky Stadium, 27 is a healthy margin...however USC is a threat to go for 50 any game and I am fearful there. I feel good about my Canes being able to beat Duke by at least 17 (ties win) at the Orange Bowl, esp after last week's game against the Aggies. It's still not a lock, though, we did lay an egg at home vs. FIU with just a 23-9 win which was pathetic the week before A&M, I still think its an ok bet, but not as good as I feel about the above 3 in the superteaser (especially Troy......I know Louisville lost last week but I think they were just down about the UK game, I know their D is bad, but that offense will shred a really bad NC State team...Nebraska's D is horrible, they should have lost at home to Ball St., all ISU would need is about 25 points against that D to make it almost impossible for Nebraska to overcome the 28.5). Slappy, what are your thoughts on these games?
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ITS A PLAYOFF HOCKEY NIGHT IN PITTSBURGH! Last edited by SoCalBronco; 09-26-2007 at 04:28 AM.. |
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#103 |
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™
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Indian Rocks Beach
Posts: 1,115
Adopt-a-Bronco: Aaron Brewer |
Delhomme is still doubtful, I think. Anyway:
Tampa Bay @ Carolina (-3.5) / 38.5 |
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#104 |
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Go Broncos, Nuggets, Rox
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Back In The 303!
Posts: 14,850
Adopt-a-Bronco: Ty Lawson |
Games I Like:
Baltimore -4 Pittsburgh -6 New England -7 (Might also want to take the over 52.5) IFFY: Dallas -13 (I hate big lines like this. However, Dallas most likely will demolish the Rams, who suck and will not have Steven Jackson running the ball. Oh and Bulger has broken ribs. Still might play, but he's hurting.) |
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#105 |
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™
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Indian Rocks Beach
Posts: 1,115
Adopt-a-Bronco: Aaron Brewer |
Deuce's game of the week: (season 1-2-0, 33%)
Chicago Bears (-3) over Detroit Lions. Other games to consider: (season 8-5-2, 62%) Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions. Under 45 Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) over Houston Texans. Oakland Raiders @ Miami Dolphins. Over 41 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers. Over 39.5 San Francisco 49ers WIN (+110) over Seattle Seahawks. <--- upset special I will, probably, “throw” a small ‘just for fun’ bet on the Broncos to win (+380). Last edited by DeuceOfClub; 09-29-2007 at 02:47 AM.. |
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#106 |
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™
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Indian Rocks Beach
Posts: 1,115
Adopt-a-Bronco: Aaron Brewer |
Chicago Bears (-3) over Detroit Lions.
After the 2-0 start the Lions got back to earth last week. The Bears (even with the “new” QB) should handle them easily. The Bears defense should torture Kitna and the RBs, and the offense should do much better with Rex on the sidelines. Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions. Under 45 The Bears should be able too shut most of the Lions offense on one side but will not be able to blow them out on the other. Score will be around 20-10. Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) over Houston Texans. This is what I call a “house bet”. The line looks to small and everyone is betting Houston here. Vegas is not stupid, yet the line doesn’t really move. Oakland Raiders @ Miami Dolphins. Over 41 This game doesn’t appear to me as a defensive battle. Both teams will have few scoring drives and both teams might give some costly turnovers. Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers. Over 39.5 Just a hunch. San Francisco 49ers WIN (+110) over Seattle Seahawks. <--- upset special The Seahawks are favorites by 1.5-2, which is almost a pickem. Both teams didn’t impress me yet, I’ll surrender the points and will go with the home team |
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#107 | |
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Ring of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 31,895
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Quote:
I kind of like Oregon -5 Vs Cal, but I'm feeling too lazy to drive to the sports book. |
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#108 |
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Ring of Famer
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 31,895
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Oak +4 @ Mia
Hou -2.5 @ Atl SF +2 Vs Sea Phi -2 @ NYG |
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#109 |
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LP.org/L4L.org
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: 'I guess he'd rather be in Colorado'
Posts: 8,723
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This is my 1:00 parlay...
3 Team Parlay Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread NFL - WEEK 4 (205) Oakland Raiders +4 Sun@1:00p Competitor: (206) Miami Dolphins Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread NFL - WEEK 4 (207) Houston Texans -3 (-105) Sun@1:00p Competitor: (208) Atlanta Falcons Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread NFL - WEEK 4 (217) New York Jets -3˝ (-105) Sun@1:00p Competitor: (218) Buffalo Bills |
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#110 |
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LP.org/L4L.org
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: 'I guess he'd rather be in Colorado'
Posts: 8,723
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Good luck guys!
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#111 |
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Go Broncos, Nuggets, Rox
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Back In The 303!
Posts: 14,850
Adopt-a-Bronco: Ty Lawson |
Well, good ol fashioned bet chasing. I bet my account (about 28 bucks and change) on over 53.5 tonight. If I win, it'll make me a winner this week, albeit only like 3 bucks. But still, being in the black would be nice for this week.
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#112 | |
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™
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Indian Rocks Beach
Posts: 1,115
Adopt-a-Bronco: Aaron Brewer |
Tough week. The Lions killed 2 of my picks in the 2nd half. I actually “got lucky” this week, I was celebrating my birthday on Saturday night and got home very late and drunk, never had a chance to place my bets… too bad the Broncos couldn’t surprise me with a present.
Quote:
The Broncos “improved” to 0-4 ATS, along with the Bears, Rams and Ravens. No bets tonight, but I really like the Under. |
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#113 |
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LP.org/L4L.org
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: 'I guess he'd rather be in Colorado'
Posts: 8,723
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^ Happy belated birthday
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#114 |
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™
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Indian Rocks Beach
Posts: 1,115
Adopt-a-Bronco: Aaron Brewer |
Arizona @ St. Louis (+3) / 41
Atlanta @ Tennessee (-8) / 40.5 Carolina @ New Orleans (-3) / 44 Cleveland @ New England (-16.5) / 49 Detroit @ Washington (-3.5) / 46 Jacksonville @ Kansas City (+2) / 36 Miami @ Houston (-5.5) / 43.5 N.Y. Jets @ N.Y. Giants (-3.5) / 41 Seattle @ Pittsburgh (-6) / 39 Tampa Bay @ Indianapolis (-10) / 46 Baltimore @ San Francisco (+3) / 35.5 San Diego @ Denver (-1) / 42.5 Chicago @ Green Bay (-3) / 40.5 Dallas @ Buffalo (+10) / 44.5 |
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#115 |
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Time for Broncos Football
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Mile High
Posts: 3,320
Adopt-a-Bronco: Steve Atwater |
Arizona -3
Jacksonville @ Kansas City under 36 Dallas -10 Games I like so far |
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#116 |
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LP.org/L4L.org
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: 'I guess he'd rather be in Colorado'
Posts: 8,723
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At the moment I'm loving Dallas there.
I also like Arizona Houston Giants Denver and Green Bay |
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#117 |
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Single-Malt
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Stuttgart
Posts: 1,064
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I have
Denver Broncos -1 Pittsburgh Steelers -6 Houston Texans -5,5 Kansas City Chiefs +2 Cleveland Browns +16,5 Arizona Cardinals -3,5 |
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#118 |
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™
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Indian Rocks Beach
Posts: 1,115
Adopt-a-Bronco: Aaron Brewer |
Deuce's game of the week: (season 1-3-0, 25%)
Seattle Seahawks @ Pittsburgh Steelers. Under 40. Other games to consider: (season 10-8-2, 56%) Kansas City Chiefs (+2) over @ Jacksonville Jaguars. Chicago Bears (+3) over Green Bay Packers. San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos. Over 43 Atlanta Falcons (+8) over Tennessee Titans N.Y. Jets WIN (+170) over N.Y. Giants. <--- upset special |
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#119 |
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LP.org/L4L.org
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: 'I guess he'd rather be in Colorado'
Posts: 8,723
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This is what I have going on so far for this week...
Date placed: Oct 07, 2007 11:27a 3 Team Parlay Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread NFL - WEEK 5 (426) Indianapolis Colts -10 (EVEN) Sun@4:05p Competitor: (425) Tampa Bay Buccaneers Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread NFL - WEEK 5 (428) Denver Broncos +1 Sun@4:15p Competitor: (427) San Diego Chargers Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread NFL - WEEK 5 (432) Green Bay Packers -4 (-105) Sun@8:15p Competitor: (431) Chicago Bears Risk $5.00 to win $32.27 Date placed: Oct 07, 2007 11:26a 4 Team Parlay Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread NFL - WEEK 5 (409) Jacksonville Jaguars -2 Sun@1:00p Competitor: (410) Kansas City Chiefs Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread NFL - WEEK 5 (416) Houston Texans -6 (-105) Sun@1:00p Competitor: (415) Miami Dolphins Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread NFL - WEEK 5 (419) Cleveland Browns +17 (-115) Sun@1:00p Competitor: (420) New England Patriots Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread NFL - WEEK 5 (424) New York Giants -4 (-105) Sun@1:00p Competitor: (423) New York Jets Risk $5.00 to win $63.02 |
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#120 |
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LP.org/L4L.org
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: 'I guess he'd rather be in Colorado'
Posts: 8,723
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Ugh. Houston screwed me in the 1 o'clock games.
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#121 |
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Single-Malt
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Stuttgart
Posts: 1,064
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No parlays for me for the considerable future. Maybe next week again ..lol
anyway, I really, really deserve to lose my money I put on the Chiefs ![]() Yep, Houston money is gone as well for me. Steelers were good for me, Browns look good and Arizona is right now still good, but I don't have a good feeling there. |
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#122 |
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Single-Malt
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Stuttgart
Posts: 1,064
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wow, Browns money gone as well.. by a half point .. dang.. but Arizona is looking better now.
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#123 |
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Single-Malt
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Stuttgart
Posts: 1,064
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****, ****, ****.. I'm screwing myself..lol now the Cardinals look like **** as well..oh my
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#124 |
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™
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Indian Rocks Beach
Posts: 1,115
Adopt-a-Bronco: Aaron Brewer |
If I was a “gambler” I would take my ‘winning money’ from yesterday and parlay it on the Bills (+10.5) / Under 45.
But since I’m not, I’ll just keep quite about it. |
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#125 |
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LP.org/L4L.org
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: 'I guess he'd rather be in Colorado'
Posts: 8,723
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Well I put 10 bucks on the 'boys tonight -11.5 so hurry and bet on the bills. They're sure to win now.
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