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Old 09-25-2007, 06:08 PM   #101
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I hate huge lines, but I may have to take Dallas. The Rams suck, and are without Steven Jackson on top of it.
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Old 09-26-2007, 04:12 AM   #102
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When I go to Vegas (which is not often), I exclusively bet with super teasers. I have an ultra conservative strategy. Usually just the minimum 4 teamer. This is what I would think about this week if I were going to Vegas which unfortunately I am not (5 games, need to take it down to 4..all these spreads include the 6 pt. super teaser):

Louisville -3 at NC State
At Troy -6 La. Monroe (FREE MONEY)
Iowa State +28.5 At Nebraska

One of the following:
At Miami -17 Duke
At Washington +27 USC

Don't know which of the two would be safer, Washington is pretty decent this year...and generally play well at Husky Stadium, 27 is a healthy margin...however USC is a threat to go for 50 any game and I am fearful there. I feel good about my Canes being able to beat Duke by at least 17 (ties win) at the Orange Bowl, esp after last week's game against the Aggies. It's still not a lock, though, we did lay an egg at home vs. FIU with just a 23-9 win which was pathetic the week before A&M, I still think its an ok bet, but not as good as I feel about the above 3 in the superteaser (especially Troy......I know Louisville lost last week but I think they were just down about the UK game, I know their D is bad, but that offense will shred a really bad NC State team...Nebraska's D is horrible, they should have lost at home to Ball St., all ISU would need is about 25 points against that D to make it almost impossible for Nebraska to overcome the 28.5).

Slappy, what are your thoughts on these games?
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Old 09-26-2007, 10:44 PM   #103
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Delhomme is still doubtful, I think. Anyway:

Tampa Bay @ Carolina (-3.5) / 38.5
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Old 09-26-2007, 11:11 PM   #104
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Games I Like:
Baltimore -4
Pittsburgh -6
New England -7 (Might also want to take the over 52.5)

IFFY:
Dallas -13 (I hate big lines like this. However, Dallas most likely will demolish the Rams, who suck and will not have Steven Jackson running the ball. Oh and Bulger has broken ribs. Still might play, but he's hurting.)
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Old 09-29-2007, 02:45 AM   #105
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Deuce's game of the week: (season 1-2-0, 33%)
Chicago Bears (-3) over Detroit Lions.

Other games to consider: (season 8-5-2, 62%)
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions. Under 45
Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) over Houston Texans.
Oakland Raiders @ Miami Dolphins. Over 41
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers. Over 39.5
San Francisco 49ers WIN (+110) over Seattle Seahawks. <--- upset special

I will, probably, “throw” a small ‘just for fun’ bet on the Broncos to win (+380).

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Old 09-29-2007, 03:03 AM   #106
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Chicago Bears (-3) over Detroit Lions.

After the 2-0 start the Lions got back to earth last week. The Bears (even with the “new” QB) should handle them easily. The Bears defense should torture Kitna and the RBs, and the offense should do much better with Rex on the sidelines.


Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions. Under 45

The Bears should be able too shut most of the Lions offense on one side but will not be able to blow them out on the other. Score will be around 20-10.

Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) over Houston Texans.

This is what I call a “house bet”. The line looks to small and everyone is betting Houston here. Vegas is not stupid, yet the line doesn’t really move.

Oakland Raiders @ Miami Dolphins. Over 41

This game doesn’t appear to me as a defensive battle. Both teams will have few scoring drives and both teams might give some costly turnovers.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers. Over 39.5

Just a hunch.

San Francisco 49ers WIN (+110) over Seattle Seahawks. <--- upset special

The Seahawks are favorites by 1.5-2, which is almost a pickem. Both teams didn’t impress me yet, I’ll surrender the points and will go with the home team
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Old 09-29-2007, 01:00 PM   #107
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SoCalBronco View Post
When I go to Vegas (which is not often), I exclusively bet with super teasers. I have an ultra conservative strategy. Usually just the minimum 4 teamer. This is what I would think about this week if I were going to Vegas which unfortunately I am not (5 games, need to take it down to 4..all these spreads include the 6 pt. super teaser):

Louisville -3 at NC State
At Troy -6 La. Monroe (FREE MONEY)
Iowa State +28.5 At Nebraska

One of the following:
At Miami -17 Duke
At Washington +27 USC

Don't know which of the two would be safer, Washington is pretty decent this year...and generally play well at Husky Stadium, 27 is a healthy margin...however USC is a threat to go for 50 any game and I am fearful there. I feel good about my Canes being able to beat Duke by at least 17 (ties win) at the Orange Bowl, esp after last week's game against the Aggies. It's still not a lock, though, we did lay an egg at home vs. FIU with just a 23-9 win which was pathetic the week before A&M, I still think its an ok bet, but not as good as I feel about the above 3 in the superteaser (especially Troy......I know Louisville lost last week but I think they were just down about the UK game, I know their D is bad, but that offense will shred a really bad NC State team...Nebraska's D is horrible, they should have lost at home to Ball St., all ISU would need is about 25 points against that D to make it almost impossible for Nebraska to overcome the 28.5).

Slappy, what are your thoughts on these games?
I don't have really strong opinions on any of these games, but I think Troy and Washington are the best bets.

I kind of like Oregon -5 Vs Cal, but I'm feeling too lazy to drive to the sports book.
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Old 09-30-2007, 01:56 PM   #108
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Oak +4 @ Mia

Hou -2.5 @ Atl

SF +2 Vs Sea

Phi -2 @ NYG
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Old 09-30-2007, 02:00 PM   #109
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This is my 1:00 parlay...


3 Team Parlay
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 4
(205) Oakland Raiders +4 Sun@1:00p
Competitor: (206) Miami Dolphins



Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 4
(207) Houston Texans -3 (-105) Sun@1:00p
Competitor: (208) Atlanta Falcons



Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 4
(217) New York Jets -3˝ (-105) Sun@1:00p
Competitor: (218) Buffalo Bills
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Old 09-30-2007, 02:01 PM   #110
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Good luck guys!
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Old 10-01-2007, 04:43 PM   #111
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Well, good ol fashioned bet chasing. I bet my account (about 28 bucks and change) on over 53.5 tonight. If I win, it'll make me a winner this week, albeit only like 3 bucks. But still, being in the black would be nice for this week.
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Old 10-01-2007, 06:40 PM   #112
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Tough week. The Lions killed 2 of my picks in the 2nd half. I actually “got lucky” this week, I was celebrating my birthday on Saturday night and got home very late and drunk, never had a chance to place my bets… too bad the Broncos couldn’t surprise me with a present.

Quote:
Originally Posted by DeuceOfClub View Post
Deuce's game of the week: (season 1-2-0, 33%)
Chicago Bears (-3) over Detroit Lions.

Other games to consider: (season 8-5-2, 62%)
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions. Under 45
Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) over Houston Texans.
Oakland Raiders @ Miami Dolphins. Over 41
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers. Over 39.5
San Francisco 49ers WIN (+110) over Seattle Seahawks. <--- upset special
The Bengals, tonight, can join 6 other home underdogs that won their games ‘straight up (Browns, Lions, Falcons, Bills, Cardinals and Giants) and 2 road underdogs (Chiefs, Raiders).

The Broncos “improved” to 0-4 ATS, along with the Bears, Rams and Ravens.

No bets tonight, but I really like the Under.
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Old 10-01-2007, 09:47 PM   #113
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^ Happy belated birthday
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Old 10-03-2007, 01:27 AM   #114
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Default Week 5 lines

Arizona @ St. Louis (+3) / 41
Atlanta @ Tennessee (-8) / 40.5
Carolina @ New Orleans (-3) / 44
Cleveland @ New England (-16.5) / 49
Detroit @ Washington (-3.5) / 46
Jacksonville @ Kansas City (+2) / 36
Miami @ Houston (-5.5) / 43.5
N.Y. Jets @ N.Y. Giants (-3.5) / 41
Seattle @ Pittsburgh (-6) / 39
Tampa Bay @ Indianapolis (-10) / 46
Baltimore @ San Francisco (+3) / 35.5
San Diego @ Denver (-1) / 42.5
Chicago @ Green Bay (-3) / 40.5
Dallas @ Buffalo (+10) / 44.5
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Old 10-03-2007, 11:16 AM   #115
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Arizona -3
Jacksonville @ Kansas City under 36
Dallas -10


Games I like so far
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Old 10-03-2007, 11:38 AM   #116
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At the moment I'm loving Dallas there.

I also like

Arizona

Houston

Giants

Denver

and Green Bay
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Old 10-06-2007, 08:35 AM   #117
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I have

Denver Broncos -1
Pittsburgh Steelers -6
Houston Texans -5,5
Kansas City Chiefs +2
Cleveland Browns +16,5
Arizona Cardinals -3,5
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Old 10-07-2007, 09:32 AM   #118
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Deuce's game of the week: (season 1-3-0, 25%)
Seattle Seahawks @ Pittsburgh Steelers. Under 40.

Other games to consider: (season 10-8-2, 56%)
Kansas City Chiefs (+2) over @ Jacksonville Jaguars.
Chicago Bears (+3) over Green Bay Packers.
San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos. Over 43
Atlanta Falcons (+8) over Tennessee Titans
N.Y. Jets WIN (+170) over N.Y. Giants. <--- upset special
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Old 10-07-2007, 03:35 PM   #119
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This is what I have going on so far for this week...

Date placed:
Oct 07, 2007 11:27a 3 Team Parlay
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 5
(426) Indianapolis Colts -10 (EVEN) Sun@4:05p
Competitor: (425) Tampa Bay Buccaneers



Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 5
(428) Denver Broncos +1 Sun@4:15p
Competitor: (427) San Diego Chargers



Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 5
(432) Green Bay Packers -4 (-105) Sun@8:15p
Competitor: (431) Chicago Bears



Risk $5.00 to win $32.27

Date placed:
Oct 07, 2007 11:26a 4 Team Parlay
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 5
(409) Jacksonville Jaguars -2 Sun@1:00p
Competitor: (410) Kansas City Chiefs



Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 5
(416) Houston Texans -6 (-105) Sun@1:00p
Competitor: (415) Miami Dolphins



Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 5
(419) Cleveland Browns +17 (-115) Sun@1:00p
Competitor: (420) New England Patriots



Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 5
(424) New York Giants -4 (-105) Sun@1:00p
Competitor: (423) New York Jets



Risk $5.00 to win $63.02
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Old 10-07-2007, 04:01 PM   #120
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Ugh. Houston screwed me in the 1 o'clock games.
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Old 10-07-2007, 04:06 PM   #121
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No parlays for me for the considerable future. Maybe next week again ..lol

anyway, I really, really deserve to lose my money I put on the Chiefs
Yep, Houston money is gone as well for me.
Steelers were good for me, Browns look good and Arizona is right now still good, but I don't have a good feeling there.
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Old 10-07-2007, 04:21 PM   #122
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wow, Browns money gone as well.. by a half point .. dang.. but Arizona is looking better now.
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Old 10-07-2007, 04:29 PM   #123
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****, ****, ****.. I'm screwing myself..lol now the Cardinals look like **** as well..oh my
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Old 10-08-2007, 03:47 PM   #124
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If I was a “gambler” I would take my ‘winning money’ from yesterday and parlay it on the Bills (+10.5) / Under 45.

But since I’m not, I’ll just keep quite about it.
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Old 10-08-2007, 05:04 PM   #125
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Well I put 10 bucks on the 'boys tonight -11.5 so hurry and bet on the bills. They're sure to win now.
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