kind of takes the fun out of poker.... - The Orange Mane

ak1971 · 03-30-2007, 07:49 PM

There is a way to establish a analytical formula for the profitability of a player. The best way to find this formula for your playing style would be through a geometric means. What I would do is I would document what level you played, what you bought in for, what you left with, and how long you played, and then put all of that info into tables. You can then use formula finders, like Graphical Analysis, to determine the formula that describes your play. Using derivatives, you can find the maximums of your equation to determine peak profitability. Since you have 3 unknowns, you would probably need to use a computer to solve the maximums. Through the equation and the derivatives (and second derivatives in some instances), you can determine when you are most profitable based on level, buy in amount, and time played and you can adjust accordingly. I can guarantee, however, that the equation that describes your play is not a pretty one. Since poker is a game of luck intertwined with skill, you will most likely end up with a Gamma function. If you reach this point and you need help, message me and I can describe what a Gamma function is and how to manipulate it to something a little more modern like a Weibull or a Triangle function. Hope this helps.

(took this off the Cardplayer board)

broncocalijohn · 03-31-2007, 05:54 PM

HUH?

I just like knowing what my probable odds are at a time to call or fold. If you didnt study percentages in school, you better before getting involved in poker.

03-30-2007, 07:49 PM	#1
ak1971 uhhhh Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 5,550	kind of takes the fun out of poker.... There is a way to establish a analytical formula for the profitability of a player. The best way to find this formula for your playing style would be through a geometric means. What I would do is I would document what level you played, what you bought in for, what you left with, and how long you played, and then put all of that info into tables. You can then use formula finders, like Graphical Analysis, to determine the formula that describes your play. Using derivatives, you can find the maximums of your equation to determine peak profitability. Since you have 3 unknowns, you would probably need to use a computer to solve the maximums. Through the equation and the derivatives (and second derivatives in some instances), you can determine when you are most profitable based on level, buy in amount, and time played and you can adjust accordingly. I can guarantee, however, that the equation that describes your play is not a pretty one. Since poker is a game of luck intertwined with skill, you will most likely end up with a Gamma function. If you reach this point and you need help, message me and I can describe what a Gamma function is and how to manipulate it to something a little more modern like a Weibull or a Triangle function. Hope this helps. (took this off the Cardplayer board)

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Linear Mode Switch to Hybrid Mode Switch to Threaded Mode

03-31-2007, 05:54 PM	#2
broncocalijohn Famer of Rings My Dog Richard Join Date: Oct 2004 Location: Lake Forest, Orange County, Calif. Posts: 18,604 Adopt-a-Bronco: Simon Fletcher	HUH? I just like knowing what my probable odds are at a time to call or fold. If you didnt study percentages in school, you better before getting involved in poker.