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Old 09-14-2006, 11:42 AM   #1
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Well, after the disaster of the St. Louis Rams game last week, it is safe to say that game planning and having two game films instead of the preseason info is entirely needed. Therefore, while I will do my best, just like last week this report will be incomplete.

CHIEFS SCOUTING REPORT:

When the Chiefs have the ball Overview: Obviously, the Chiefs offense struggled against Cincinnati's defense last week. The numbers say they actually out gained CIN in yards, but they were very ineffective and inconsistent from play to play. Larry Johnson had two long runs that contributed to the 4.0 yard average, but had many more gains under three yards and a few negative carries. Trent Green was only marginally effective until his Injury and Huard focused in on Gonzalez and screens and dump offs to Johnson for the tune of about 95% of his yards. Sammie Parker really struggled getting two offensive PI calls against and being the target of Green’s INT. Eddie Kennison was almost invisible save for the Clip on Geathers. Tony Gonzalez caught ten balls with 6 coming from Huard.

Passing game: The Chiefs are really going to struggle gaining any yards in the passing game this week. The OL was real shaky in pass protection before Green got hurt and they were not much better after. Expect KC to max Protect for Kennison and Gonzalez. Huard played it smart for the most part and did not try to do too much, but he will have to have a great game in order for KC to even have any resemblance of a passing attack.

What this means for the Broncos: DEN should try to pressure KC’s OL in the run and in the passing game and Make Huard make perfect throws deep downfield to average WR’s. Expect Gonzalez to draw a lot of Double Coverage in conventional sets and the Broncos to continue to play the Screens to Johnson tight. The DL does an outstanding job of covering the screens passes as Denver got burned on one last week where the Ram’s called a screen into a CB blitz. Do not expect the broncos to need to CB blitz in this game though.

Running game: The Chiefs are not totally dead up front. Johnson’s two long runs and the majority of his yards both came on inside trap plays against CIN without their TOP two LB’s in Pollack and Thurman. The Chiefs interior 3 OL are still one of the best in the game and if they expect to run the ball at all against the Broncos they better be able to pound it up the middle. The dreaded Stretch and sweep plays that haunted DEN in KC last year are a mere shadow of what they once were. Johnson had one run over three yards on those former staples. Dunn and Gonzalez are still very effective Blockers, but FB Ronnie Cruz is a shell of Richardson on the edge and in the passing game.

What this means for the Broncos: Again, I really expect the Defense to be aggressive against this OL, especially on first downs. I expect the DL to Stunt more from the DT position in order to not allow clean blocks for trap plays. I also expect Lynch and Ferguson to play in the box early and often. Expect Sam Brandon to also get a bunch of snaps in the Big Nickel on Gonzo. Heck, after DJ’s lack of performance last week will he do any worse in stopping the run?
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Old 09-14-2006, 11:46 AM   #2
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When the Broncos have the Ball Overview: KC contained a very good offense at home in the mud last week and forced them to become quite one dimensional running the ball. KC was ultra aggressive last week on first and third downs. The best part was the institution of the ZERO blitz package on third and longs. The Idea that KC would play a lot of Tampa Cover two was fiction last week and I believe it will not be the case this week either as they attempt to pressure Plummer and run Blitz to cover their own DL weaknesses. They also brought a 3-4 third down look that uses Tamba Hali as the fourth LB moving along the DL pre-snap. Do not be surprised if KC comes out with this predominantly on Sunday. Not only was it effective and there is very little tape on the actual play variations to study, Plummer’s reads have consistently been worse against 3-4 Defenses.

Passing Game: The Chiefs have two excellent press man Corners and just watched the Broncos WR’s struggle mightily versus average CB’s against the Ram when Pressed. They will play press zone coverage unless they Zero blitz, and it becomes man. The Safeties have struggled Mightily in pass coverage in the past by being in the box so much against the Broncos running game. Derrick Johnson excels in space and Man Coverage but is fooled a lot with crossing patterns in zone. Mitchell is not natural in coverage and is better if the play is in front of him. His depth usually allows this unless the TE’s or twin WR’s get vertical up the seams. Bell is a mess in coverage and really bad against PA and Screens. The DL is below average all the way around except for Allen who has a great motor. Hali also has a nonstop motor, but will struggle reading the Broncos keys from the Zone blocking sets as they are much different from traditional reads and this will be his baptism in game speed. Edwards and Reed are below average pass rushers.

What this means for the Broncos: The Chiefs are going to bring pressure all day versus Plummer unless they actually implement some decent Max Protection schemes. The guys who could have a good day would be Scheffler and Alexander on Kendrell Bell. The RB’s are going to have to do Better in Pass Pro this week to allow Smith and Walker time to get off Press coverage. The Broncos do NOT press coverage with their defense at all and the WR’s looked like they had never faced it last week versus STL. I hope they got smacked around a lot in practice this week getting prepared to see it this week. OL is also going to have to do a lot better in blitz recognition.

Running game: The Chiefs DL is average versus the run and therefore compensates by run blitzing more than any other team in the NFL on first down. That trend was not disproved last week versus the Bengals. This means the run must be established early in order to have any effective PA or ability to Bootleg. I think the Chiefs Safeties are much better run supporters than Pass defenders and running the ball is going to be tougher than most think. That being said, running at Johnson and Mitchell and at Bell in space will probably give the best results. Johnson still struggles to get off blocks and so does Mitchell. Bell is good at getting off blocks, but not so good in space. Both CB’s show a willingness to support the run, but are average tacklers.

What this means for the Broncos: Look for the Broncos OL to assert themselves on stretch plays early and get some Confidence. Also, look for the reverse and fake reverse packages to keep the Chiefs defensive containment honest. Also, the reverse pass option play has been used against the Chiefs in the recent past. I would definitely expect Shanahan to initiate some trick plays early to get the offense a spark and get KC’s defense off balance. Then, pound the rock until the holes get bigger.

Potential Game plan for the Defense: I would bring the Blitz packages the broncos unveiled in TC early versus KC, getting a safety into the gaps between guard and tackle and a LB off the Edge of the Weak Side Tackle. Then, blitzing one or the other and another LB up the middle to occupy the Strength of the OL and allow free shots at RB’s or QB’s for Wilson and Lynch. Play some cover one shell’s out of this set with Gonzalez getting doubled by the extra safety.

Potential Game Plan for the Offense: Start out with Two TE, two RB sets. Split Scheffler out as a WR and Johnson as a Slot receiver. Check one of them or both into Power strong, weak, or traditional I formations and pound the Ball on stretch plays and inside zone. This allows Plummer to get better Pre-snap reads and allows the OL to set up their Zone blocking better. PA pass or max Protect for Scheffler and WR with RB’s having read routes. Throw in a few Screens, especially to the TE’s. Wash, rinse, repeat.
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Old 09-14-2006, 11:49 AM   #3
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Thanks, Med. Here's mine

Chiefs Defense:


Chiefs offense:
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Old 09-14-2006, 11:54 AM   #4
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Med, do you have the "DJ Williams Stiff-Arm Counter" up and running?

Ah, as always -- great stuff.
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Old 09-14-2006, 12:01 PM   #5
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Med, do you have the "DJ Williams Stiff-Arm Counter" up and running?

Ah, as always -- great stuff.
I have him blitzing more this week so he does not forget to take up at least a blocker and do SOMETHING
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Old 09-14-2006, 12:08 PM   #6
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This should be stickied. Brilliant.

Nice shot from Rosicky, btw.
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Old 09-14-2006, 12:21 PM   #7
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Great analysis Mediator! Now I know what to watch for...


REP
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Old 09-14-2006, 12:21 PM   #8
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Great job Med. How about we get you and SoCal to come to town and teach us the playbook
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Old 09-14-2006, 12:43 PM   #9
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ugh

so basically all a team has to do is show a 3-4, regardless if they can do much with it and they'll confuse the hell out of Plummer

I guess it took teams 3 years to figure out how to totally shut him down

if we keep losing, we might have to put Cutler in anyway
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Old 09-14-2006, 12:48 PM   #10
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I'd like to make a couple of points of note.

Parker's 2nd Offensive PI last week was complete crap. He was guilty of the first and it was a good call. His worst play, was allowing a ball to go through his hands and result in an int. He's going to have to step his game up, or he'll be losing a job at some point. Rod Gardner won't be ready this week, but hopefully will be pushing him in 2-3 weeks.

Kevin Sampson should be back at RT....anytime HWY65 is on the field is a detriment to the offense. Sampson is a pretty solid Run blocker, but his legs and footwork are a little iffy...he's almost top heavy. I think speed rushers present him with a problem, but he's an improvement. Given the state of the Denver Dline...thats a bonus.

For whatever Reason, herm-Gunther won't start Key Fox instead of Bell. He's faster and much more of a playmaker in space. Bell's only ability seems to be to tackle a lead blocker.

I think its quite possible you'll see Jerod Page or Bernard Pollard starting at safety. Knight was benched after missing some assignments last week, and the Defense improved immediately afterwards.

Given the issues with the Oline last week, the Chiefs have got to work more with 3 step drops, slants, quick outs and fire routes to the flats. Huard probably isn't going to be able to throw deep on your corners.

There is alot more speed at DE in KC now, and it appears that Hali has better play recognition than Hicks ever did. I think he'll do MUCH better at defending the Bootleg and I predict a sack when he'll beat Foster.....and I'm calling my shot....with a spin move. Its wicked fast. Cinci has 2 very, very good DEs and probably one of the better dline's in the Afc.
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Old 09-14-2006, 12:51 PM   #11
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Also, What you're calling a 3-4 is technically, but hali is lining up in the "falcon" position, which was invented for DT. It allows him to "roam" and determine the weakness in the line....sometimes he'll have a hand down like a 4-3 rush, and sometimes it'll be a hands up stance.

Walls did a good job covering Chad Johnson last week, and definitely plays the outside WR.....with Surtain coming inside in the nickle. Sapp did come in and play nickle also.
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Old 09-14-2006, 12:52 PM   #12
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Good post Med... but judging from the past success of the bootleg, reverse, and toss... I don't think the Chief's will ever learn what containment is.
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Old 09-14-2006, 12:53 PM   #13
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Thanks Med. Good work. I'm just counting on the Broncos getting the early lead and then burning up the clock on the ground, forcing the Cheffies into the passing game and away from LJ. I have a feeling the Broncos will not be in a good mood this Sunday, after having spent the week with a very pissed off Shanahan.
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Old 09-14-2006, 12:57 PM   #14
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I'm also of the opinion that playing Fox at OLB will help vs the bootleg also, due to his speed and ability to cover ground from sideline to sideline.

I think the Donks are likely to win this game, with green out, but last week did show that they're not invincible. I think the corners will do fine containing the wrs. The key for the Chiefs D will be to contain that effing denver Bootleg, and Put pressure on plummINT and cause some turnovers. It'd also be helpful if the Bell-brigade give up their complimentary fumble.
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Old 09-14-2006, 01:27 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowanian View Post
I'd like to make a couple of points of note.

Parker's 2nd Offensive PI last week was complete crap. He was guilty of the first and it was a good call. His worst play, was allowing a ball to go through his hands and result in an int. He's going to have to step his game up, or he'll be losing a job at some point. Rod Gardner won't be ready this week, but hopefully will be pushing him in 2-3 weeks.

Kevin Sampson should be back at RT....anytime HWY65 is on the field is a detriment to the offense. Sampson is a pretty solid Run blocker, but his legs and footwork are a little iffy...he's almost top heavy. I think speed rushers present him with a problem, but he's an improvement. Given the state of the Denver Dline...thats a bonus.

For whatever Reason, herm-Gunther won't start Key Fox instead of Bell. He's faster and much more of a playmaker in space. Bell's only ability seems to be to tackle a lead blocker.

I think its quite possible you'll see Jerod Page or Bernard Pollard starting at safety. Knight was benched after missing some assignments last week, and the Defense improved immediately afterwards.

Given the issues with the Oline last week, the Chiefs have got to work more with 3 step drops, slants, quick outs and fire routes to the flats. Huard probably isn't going to be able to throw deep on your corners.

There is alot more speed at DE in KC now, and it appears that Hali has better play recognition than Hicks ever did. I think he'll do MUCH better at defending the Bootleg and I predict a sack when he'll beat Foster.....and I'm calling my shot....with a spin move. Its wicked fast. Cinci has 2 very, very good DEs and probably one of the better dline's in the Afc.
CIN has an above average DL. Justin Smith and Robinson are simply above average to me. Smith and Allen are basically clones with neither being fast or lightening quick but high motor energy guys who wear OL down.

As for Speed, I hope you do not mean Allen and Hali. Both Are HIGH 4.8's. Hali is quicker than that and Allen not so much. They play at game speed better than those number's, but I would call neither fast in the NFL.

Plus, Denver is likely to heavy cover under and DARE Huard to throw intermediate and Deep routes. I expect a lot of Cover one robber on the Side where Gonzo Lines up.

Last edited by Mediator12; 09-14-2006 at 01:29 PM..
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Old 09-14-2006, 01:29 PM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowanian View Post
Kevin Sampson should be back at RT....anytime HWY65 is on the field is a detriment to the offense. Sampson is a pretty solid Run blocker, but his legs and footwork are a little iffy...he's almost top heavy. I think speed rushers present him with a problem, but he's an improvement. Given the state of the Denver Dline...thats a bonus.
Im hoping elvis plays and can give the chiefs o line some trouble
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Old 09-14-2006, 01:41 PM   #17
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8 in the box. Huard better beat someone or LJ won't get 50 yards.
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Old 09-14-2006, 03:52 PM   #18
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nice analysis med.

but, how did you do with your predictions with the Rams?

just curious.
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Old 09-14-2006, 05:21 PM   #19
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nice analysis med.

but, how did you do with your predictions with the Rams?

just curious.
I did not predict anything with the Rams, I just offer a scouting report of the strengths and weaknesses I see in teams. STL was real difficult because they were really an unknown quantity with the new staff and schemes and they did a whole bunch of stuff they have never ran before against the Offense.

The defense played as I predicted except for those long runs in the fourth quarter thanks to DJ blowing assignments they pretty much made Jackson a non factor. As for the offense, the running game was about what I said but I tried not to give Plummer grief for being horrid on opening day games. Still, who would have predicted the offense would have five straight possessions averaging 3 plays a peice and three straight TO's in the scoring zone
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Old 09-14-2006, 05:26 PM   #20
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Old 09-14-2006, 08:53 PM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kaylore View Post
Thanks, Med. Here's mine

Chiefs Defense:



Wow I guess we have something in common as that looks exactly like the Broncos QB play.
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Old 09-14-2006, 10:20 PM   #22
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Default Denver against KC: By the numbers

Chiefs Offense

Offensive Tendencies:

3+ WR-51% (11th in NFL)
4+ WR-16% (7th)
2+ TE-39% (3rd)
Single back-57% (8th)
Run with FB-60% (28th—goodbye Tony Richardson)
Run with 2+ TE-48% (4th)
Max protect-11% (20th)
Screen passes-7% (5th)

Running Game

The strength of this Chiefs team is the ground game and probably will be for as long as Larry Johnson is in KC. Despite the loss of Willie Roaf, they are still a dangerous running team thanks to their tough interior (Shields, Waters, Wiegmann).

KC has been 3rd in the league in Adjusted Line Yards (4.62 last year) for the last three years. They are an efficient running team and they can also ram it down your throat (solid numbers in power situations) if need be.

If you had to guess, which side of the line would you say was the most productive? If you guessed Jordan Black on the right end, you’d be wrong. Obviously, Willie Roaf was the catalyst of that offensive line. He was an elite tackle in many aspects of the trade. Running behind Roaf, the Chiefs averaged over 5 YPC last year and over 4.8 YPC for the last three years. Losing ol’ Willie will undoubtedly hurt their running attack, but how much it will remains to be seen. As Mediator hinted towards, LJ was more or less a non-factor last Sunday. I would agree with him though when he says that one game is not a big enough sample size. Get back to me midway through the season.

As I said earlier, the KC interior consists of three above average players. All three players ranked in the top ten in blocking success percentage as well as YPA at their respective positions.

Larry Johnson was the best Iso runner in the league last year, averaging nearly 8 YPC over 22 isolation plays. He was also a strong sweep runner with 6.8 YPC over 76 sweep runs. However, according to Med, KC struggled on outside runs last Sunday. If the futility on the outside continues, it makes it that much easier to limit Johnson overall.

Both TE’s can hold their ground as blockers, but Jason Dunn is perhaps the best run blocking TE in the game. He had a top 5 blocking success percentage in 2005, and his size and power give him an advantage matching up against LB’s and DB’s. What’s interesting though is that Gonzalez had more POA attempts than Dunn did. Obviously, Gonzo doesn’t hurt the running game as a blocker.

Bottom line—KC is still a dangerous running team. Don’t let one game sway your opinions.

Passing Game

Well, there isn’t much to be said about Damon Huard. The man had thrown only one regular season pass over the past 5 years before Sunday. So, there isn’t much in the way of metrics or traditional statistics.

However, we all now that KC is home to two dangerous receivers in Tony Gonzalez and…Eddie Quiterson (did I spell that right?). As much as we hate the man, we must respect him as an offensive threat. He is an explosive receiver (16.2 YPC) who succeeds in the deep area of the field (tied for 4th in deep success percentage), but he also ranked 13th in success percentage in the short zone. He had an above average catch rate as well, catching 63% of the balls thrown his way. Kennison is a legit threat, one who is complemented by another legit threat in Tony Gonzalez (or is it the other way around…hmmm).

Tony Gonzalez is the definition of a complete TE. He ranks in the top 10 in success percentage in all depths (short, medium, deep). He was targeted more than any other KC receiver last year, and he caught 67% of passes thrown his way—also above average. He was surprisingly ineffective in the red-zone last year, catching only 2 TD’s on the year. People hint at a falloff, but I think you can look at the guy’s track record and say that last year was an aberration. As was mentioned earlier, his blocking elevates him into the complete TE status.

Samie Parker and Dante Hall combine to form an adequate platoon at the no. 2 receiver spot. They combined for just under 1,000 yards and they caught 3 TD’s each. Surprisingly, Hall had a much higher play-by-play value than Parker did.

Larry Johnson was a dangerous receiver out of the backfield last year as well. Over 30 catches and an astounding 11 YAC…danger Denver defense, DANGER!

As far as Pass Protection, the Chiefs were rather mediocre using Adjusted Sack Rate and they ranked 15th in the league in that category. Losing Roaf certainly doesn’t help the situation. Just going from what I saw last week, Kyle Turley didn’t look too hot as a replacement either.

Also, Jordan Black (favorite OL of one Trevor Pryce) just sucks. He was blown out of the water last year in both pass pro and run blocking. I am unaware of Black’s status, but I doubt he sees the field this Sunday. For the sake of competitiveness, hopefully that’s the case. Just had to get a little bash in there…

Bottom Line—I expect a heavy dose of Larry Johnson on Sunday.

Chiefs Defense

Defensive tendencies:

Sacks by LB-16% (22nd)
Sacks by DB-18% (8th)
Rush 6+-14% (5th)
Rush 7+-5% (3rd)
Rush 3-8% (11th)
CB1 on WR1-56% (6th)
Screens against-6% (5th)

Against the run

There are only two standout run defenders on the entire defense—those two being Jared Allen and Sammy Knight. Jared Allen had an overall Stop Rate of 90% last year which puts him in the top 10 of that category. One could make the conclusion that Allen’s effectiveness against the run was a result of his solid all-around play. I think that’s a fair assessment. However, Sammy Knight is another story. Knight made the plays against the run because no one in front of him (aside from Allen) could, consistently anyways. The man made more total plays from the safety position than two of the team’s starting LB’s and had a higher Run Stop Rate than the starting MLB! Knight is a solid defender against the run and often plays in the box, but I think the statistics are very telling in respect to KC’s weak interior defense. Although they’ve improved in terms of interior run defense, they still ranked in the middle of the pack last year in YPC. To quote KC Joyner, “On many if not most defensive lines, the defensive tackles have better numbers against the run than the defensive ends. That wasn’t the case in Kansas City last year.”

Kendrell Bell was just an absolute zero last year as the team’s weakside ‘backer. Despite playing on the right side of the D, he made only 41 total plays last year which accounted for a meager 5.4% of the defense’s total plays (100th among LB’s). To put that in perspective for us Denver fans, that’s worse than DJ’s disappointing ’05…and DJ played the strongside (supposedly)! Bell didn’t come through as a pass rusher either—his supposed strong suit. The other two starting LB’s were merely average in run defense last year (an average 58% Run Stop Rate for Mitchell), and the numbers suggest that both had a hard time avoiding blocks (especially Johnson—who made only 38 run plays as the SAM). Again, KC Joyner weighs in, “If there were another group of linebackers who had a lower combined success percentage than the Chiefs linebackers, I can’t imagine who it could be.” So, basically, KC’s LB’s had a hard time cleaning up the DL’s mess.

The secondary, for the most part, is poor against the run. Knight is definitely the best of the group, and he ranked 4th among safeties in Run Stop Rate. As a defensive unit, the Chiefs have ranked 25th or lower defending passes to running backs for four straight seasons. They’ve ranked 28th or lower for the last three seasons at allowing runs of 10+ yards. If a ball carrier gets in space, KC’s D has a hard time bringing them down.

Against the pass

What’s interesting though is Knight’s Run plays/pass plays ratio. He made slightly more plays against opposing passing games than he did in the run defense. What gives? He was targeted deep more times than any other strong safety in the league. He also didn’t hold up too well, ranking 22nd among run safeties in deep pass success percentage.

Greg Wesley simply is not a starting caliber player. He ranks poorly across the board against the pass and was markedly poor in run defense.

Patrick Surtain was solid in the short and medium area but was a liability against deep passes last year. He was left on an island quite a bit last year thanks to Gunther’s blitz-happy scheme, and he allowed almost 2/3 of deep attempts against him to be completed. Bottom line—when the blitz was picked up Surtain didn’t hold up.

If Kansas City continues with their press coverage on Sunday, Ty Law may be able to slow his decline…or at least hide it against Denver. I think it’s fair to say that Law was not his former self in NY last year, as he put up a sub par 41% Stop Rate. He was also the favorite target of opposing offenses despite not being matched up against the WR1 exclusively. He did pretty well against the no. 2 guys last year however, as NY’s defense as a group ranked 2nd overall in the league against no. 2 receivers.

It remains to be seen what he can do in KC with a below average pass rush--Kansas City ranked 29th in the NFL last year in Adjusted Sack Rate. They have only one player who is a threat as a pass rusher. According to Med, neither DT is an upgrade in that area either, so I don’t expect much to change for them this year. Tamba Hali's impact as a rookie remains to be seen.

Conclusions

All righty...

I'd say Med, again, did an excellent job in summing up what needs to be done Sunday against the Chiefs, so I'll just offer up some basic, soft-toss stuff.

-Utilize Sam Brandon against Gonzo. Joyner calls Brandon one of the most valuable parts of Denver's D, and for good reason--Brandon has a top 3 overall success percentage against the pass in Joyner's Scientific Football 2006 publication.

-Set up the screens to RB's and TE's. Get our players out in space and force KC's secondary to make the plays.

-Make quick work of KC's soft DL and allow our elite second-level-blocking OL lead the way. POUND THE ROCK.

-Make sure Jake has time against Cunningham's blitz-heavy schemes.

-Rod and Javon...please, beat the press this week.

-Prey on Kendrell Bell's soul....muahahahahaha! Seriously, make him cover Scheff or somethin'.

-DJ can't make the stupid mistakes he made last week. Tackle like Champ. Don't run out of bounds on the far side of the field overpursuing a running play.

-Attack those poor OT's. Stack the middle.

Disclaimer-I'm unaware of any drastic scheme changes under Solari or even Herm Edwards. I'm assuming Solari won't change too much offensively, and from the sounds of it, Cunningham ran his style of defense on Sunday.

Basic Glossary of terms:

Stop Rate-percentage of plays that constitute a "stop," or preventing a success by the offense (45% of needed yards on 1st down, 60% on second down, 100% on third down). Run Stop Rate corresponds to "stopping" running plays. Pass Stop Rate corresponds to "stopping" pass plays where the player who was targeted either forces an incompletion, intercepts the pass, or stops the offensive player from meeting the "success" criteria.

Adjusted Line Yards-basically takes YPC and adjusts it using the team's efficiency in running the ball as well that the run defenses that were faced that year. Overall, it's a better indicator than the traditional YPC statistic.

Adjusted Sack Rate-according to Football Prospectus, "Some teams allow a lot of sacks because they throw a lot of passes; Adjusted Sack Rate accounts for this by dividing sacks by total pass plays. It is also adjusted for situation (sacks are much more common on third down, particularly third-and-long) and opponent." Again, a better indicator than raw sack totals. Works both ways, offense and defense--it's pass attempts faced when figuring defensive Adjusted Sack Rate.

Joyner's terms-success percentage for a pass defender in Joyner's book consists of incompletions and offensive penalties drawn while the defender is in primary coverage.

Everything seems to be rather self explanatory. Nevertheless, if you want help with something, if you think I missed something, or would like me to elaborate, just ask!

Sorry for being so darn late Med, but again, thanks for the invite. I love adding to the discussion.

Also, if you want to check out Prospectus (Football Outsiders) or Joyner's work, just click the linkies. Virtually every statistic comes from either source...

Last edited by WABronco; 09-14-2006 at 10:38 PM..
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Old 09-14-2006, 10:32 PM   #23
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Outstanding stuff, Med and WABronco.
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Old 09-14-2006, 10:36 PM   #24
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Kendrell Bell really does suck. It doesn't take a detailed stat breakdown to see that. I would anticipate we don't blitz as much this week. I think Hali will have some success against Foster. Although you never know, because Jake really doesn't show the ability to beat the blitz consistently.
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Old 09-14-2006, 11:18 PM   #25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bob's your Information Minister View Post
Kendrell Bell really does suck. It doesn't take a detailed stat breakdown to see that. I would anticipate we don't blitz as much this week. I think Hali will have some success against Foster. Although you never know, because Jake really doesn't show the ability to beat the blitz consistently.
Last year Jake Plummer was the only QB in the league who never threw an int when he was blitzed. Plummer's problems come from throwing into double coverage, not from being blitzed.

By the way, Bob. Still think this is the game you guys steal one from us at home?
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