|10-28-2005, 10:02 PM||#1|
Join Date: Oct 2004
Week 8 game predictions and analysis
My predictions last week were obviously off because i picked Denver to win it. To evaluate my predictions from last week...
I guessed the score would be 24-13 Denver. It was 23-24 New York.
The score had Denver stopped New York though, of course would've been 23-14. Which would've continued my streak of 1 point off predictions hehe..
Numbers I predicted vs. Real ones...
NY Giant Standouts:
Tiki Barber - 18 rushes 67 yards TD, 4 rec, 57 yards, 1 fumble
vs. 19 car, 84yd, TD, 1 fumble, 6 rec 24 yards
Eli Manning - 22/37, 247 yards, TD, INT vs. 23/42, 214 yards 2TD, INT
Jeremy Shockey - 6 rec, 72 yards, TD vs. 3 rec, 44 yards
Champ Bailey - 1 INT, 3 tackles vs. 1 INT, 3 tackles
Ashley Lelie - 4 receptions 97 yards vs. 5 rec 64 yards
Tatum Bell - 14 carries 77 yards vs. 8 car, 60 yards
Mike Anderson - 12 carries, 67 yards vs. 24 car, 120 yards
Al Wilson - 6 tackels, 1 fumble forced vs. 7 tackles
DJ Williams - 11 tackles, 1 PD vs. 6 tackles, 1 ff
I was way off on Anderson and his 120 yard game, pretty accurate on Tiki and Eli, and I called Lelie having a good game. I was dead wrong about the reverses though, I thought Denver would run them... not New York. Eli did play catchup, i thought he would fail, he succeeded, kudos to him.
Thats how i did last week, with my credibility in mind, be it go or bad to you guys, you can read these predictions but more importantly, put down yours!
Eagles on Offense:
Denver has done a great job with the two premier receiving tightends it has faced this year including Tony Gonzales and Jeremy Shockey, expect the same performance vs. elusive pass catcher LJ smith who has quitely shouldered the heavy passing load along with Westbrook and Owens.
The spotlight going into this week has been on Terrel Owens, but don't look for him to put up big numbers in this one. Champ Bailey has been spectacular against Terrel Owens in the past, limiting him to under 50 yards receiving combined in the two games the Redskins met with the Vikings, not to mention Champ had an interception their second meeting aswell. Look for Denver to help Champ out with Double teams to make sure that Owens does not shake loose in the secondary.
With two guys on Owens and a heavy blitzing scheme, look for the big producer in this Philly passing offense to be Brian Westbrook who may very well be challenged to make plays on quick dump offs and flares. The Denver linebackers will have to chase the speedy westbrook down the sideline where he is most dangerous and with a safety pinned on Owens, he could break a few plays open.
Look for the Eagles to motion TO over to the left side of the field and run to their formational strong side. Linebacker Ian Gold was sealed inside on several plays last week that sprung runningback Tiki Barber into the secondary. Ian is undersized and if gets sealed a few times this game by LJ Smith, Westbrook may break off a few first downs.
Look for the eagles to run the toss and the stretch a few times in a switch up to their passing offense.
Denver on Offense:
Passing: Eagles corner Lito Shephard is probable this week and Denver may try to take advantage of this with widereceiver Ashley Lelie comming off a good game. Lelie is a streaky player by history and look for him to use the Giants game as a springboard into a good stretch.
Jim Johnson loves to stack the line and play containment on the outer edges while blitzing. Look for Denver to try and sneak fullback Kyle Johnson into the second level against a slightly slower Jeramiah Trotter who can be a liability in the matchup.
Also Watch out of Putzier and Alexander on Bootlegs, it is most likely Denver attacks the linebacking core in this game as opposed to the Eagle's stand out secondary.
Both teams lack bulk on the interior line. The Eagles however, have a great linebacker in Trotter to anchor the interior run support. Denver's fullback Kyle Johnson however, has shown equally impressive play as a lead blocker, springing Anderson on a long run vs. the Giants last week.
Do not look to the Eagles play against Sandiego as a measurement of how well they play vs. the Broncos this week. The zone scheme Atlanta Utilized is a more accurate template. In all likely hood, Denver will run the ball against this Eagles Defense and throw to its backs and Tightends more than anything else throughout each offensive series.
Brian Westbrook - 13 carries 57 yards TD, 6 rec 67 yards
Terrell Owens - 7 rec 68 yards, TD
Donovan McNabb - 22/48 301 yards, TD, 2 INT
Carlos Emmons - 1 sack, 4 tackles
Brian Dawkins - 3 tackles, 2 assists, 1 pd, 1 ff
Tatum Bell - 14 carries, 77 yards, 1 fum, 1 fum rec
Mike Anderson - 15 carries, 87 yards
Ashley Lelie - 5 rec 69 yards
Rod Smith - 6 rec 80 yards
Kyle Johnson - 3 rec 24 yards, TD
Jeb Putzier - 4 rec 44 yards
Trevor Pryce - 2 tackles, 1 sack
Champ Bailey vs. Terrel Owens
Ian Gold vs. Philly Tackles
DJ Williams vs. LJ Smith
Nick Ferguson vs. Brian Westbrook
Kyle Johnson vs. Jeramiah Trotter
George Foster & Matt Lepsis vs. Jeavon Kearse
Tra Thomas vs. Trevor Pryce
Darwin Walker vs. Tom Nalen
Sheldon Brown vs. Rod Smith
Expect Denver to jump off to an early lead by forcing a turnover. The first Eagle series on offense may very well end in an interception as McNabb often makes bad throws in the first quarter. Denver's running game will manage the clock and the team will fire on all cylinders, thrwarting a late 3rd quarter rally by the Eagles.
Denver 27 vs. Eagles 17
Last edited by Willynowei; 10-28-2005 at 10:12 PM..
|10-29-2005, 12:53 AM||#2|
Ring of Famer
Join Date: Sep 2002
What's interesting is that the Philly-Denver 'series, such as it is, has a history of blow-outs...one way or the other.
I really think this is the first time they've met in a long while when both teams seem to be on about equal footing...so I see the game headed in one of three directions.
A) A blow-out: Traveling to Denver is more an arduous exercise than a statement game. Philly HAS to have it's eye on the upcoming three week stretch of division games in Washington, Dallas & the Giants, so there's a chance Denver can jump on 'em early & hang in...which they seem to like to do lately.
B) A 4 round Heavyweight Slugfest: Both teams find some things that work & manage to chug up & down the field...finding the end zone only rarely & relying on FGs...a BIG problem for the Eagles if it does come to this.
C) A war: Both teams hammer each other mercilessly while racking up few points. In the end the winner is more a survivor than a victor.
I'll bet on 'B', but only a small wager.
I suck at predictions, but I think I see this one coming...Denver 16 Philly 10..another nailbiter, excepting the squeals of laughter when the Eagles kicker-of-the-week lines up a long one.
|10-29-2005, 01:09 AM||#3|
RIP Darrent Williams
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Glendale, AZ
This game could go eitehr way.
Im scared of Westbrook and what hes capable of doing. TO will "get his", but if we can shut down Smith and the other cast mates the Broncos should be able to hang on.
|10-29-2005, 01:24 AM||#4|
...there ain't no devil
Join Date: Aug 2005
|10-29-2005, 03:56 AM||#5|
Long live the Mane!
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Silt, Colorado
I fear ourselves
, our pass defense is 26 in the L, you know that Philly's only strength this year is the pass. I only hope and pray that instead of pressuring the QB we can get some sacks or the will be much more funiture damage to my apartment.
|10-29-2005, 08:34 AM||#6|
Ring of Famer
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: New York
all I hope is with two minutes left they are not driving down the field for a tie or win.
Last edited by rbackfactory80; 10-29-2005 at 08:38 AM..
|10-29-2005, 08:37 AM||#7|
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: The Backside of the Internet
All I hope is that with two minutes left, even if they are driving down the field it's not going to matter.
|10-30-2005, 11:03 AM||#8|
Join Date: Oct 2004
we are in the top ten vs. Quarterbacks pass completion percentages, passer rating, passing yards per play and overall yards per play.
Also Denver's defense is among the front 10 defenses who have to defend the most plays.
Its really odd because our offense is a supposed to be a ball control offense but we get ahead so early that teams almost always resort to the pass very early.
i will agree however, that we are a 3 quarter team, lets hope we fix that this game.
|10-30-2005, 01:17 PM||#9|
Ring of Famer
Join Date: Mar 2005
I think that our big plays will be there, or certainly the opportunity to make the big play will be. What will make the difference is our execution. Had we beat NY, i think our execution would be a little lax, but since the team is a little angry and hopefully worked hard in practice all week, i think we will make the plays to blow this one open early. There is also the added emotion from the House situation. Hopefully it will be an inspiration like we are witnessing with the Giants today...
I will go out on a limb, though, and say that this starts off much like the KC game and ends much unlike the NY game.
Broncos 34 - Eagles 13 as Cortez quietly hits both field goal attempts from beyond 40.