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Old 10-21-2012, 08:55 PM   #26
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link don't click lol
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Old 10-21-2012, 08:58 PM   #27
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**** this thread, keep it in the WPR forum.
Off topics welcome during bye week, dumbass.
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Old 10-21-2012, 08:58 PM   #28
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Unless you live in one of seven swing states your vote does not count.
electoral college is stupid. ****ing stupid.
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:11 PM   #29
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electoral college is stupid. ****ing stupid.
I love the electoral college, there's a reason for it, too bad most people simply refuse to understand.
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:14 PM   #30
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local races ! besides I want to help ship him back to Hawaii !
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:15 PM   #31
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Poll results are fairly interesting. Including the two leaners choices, it is Romney 21, Obama 12.

Ofcourse the OP did not include an "other" option for those of us who are not voting for either gentleman.
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:16 PM   #32
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I love the electoral college, there's a reason for it, too bad most people simply refuse to understand.
Vote for the guy who you want to president. It doesn't matter if you live in Idaho or New York. Your vote counts.
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:19 PM   #33
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Aside from saying "ok" to approve a mission he had nothing to do with planning, what did he do to get bin laden?
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:19 PM   #34
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That's essentially true.

Although I think we'll have a pretty good clue what will happen early in the evening by looking at the numbers in a non-swing state. There's been some suggestion of serious movement in PA and this happens in almsot every campaign, although in the end it usually turns out to be a hoax. There have been a few respected polls that put it around 5 or below, though.

If on election night Obama wins PA by less than 4 points, he is toast nationally.
Nope, If Obama wins either Ohio or Florida it is over
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:22 PM   #35
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If on election night Obama wins PA by less than 4 points, he is toast nationally.


WTF is this

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Old 10-21-2012, 09:24 PM   #36
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If on election night Obama wins PA by less than 4 points, he is toast nationally.
Tell us more about Cutler and Shanny

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Old 10-21-2012, 09:25 PM   #37
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Nope, If Obama wins either Ohio or Florida it is over
I want to know who makes jeans for an ass like that.

I mean that is a 1 in a 1000 ass. Really small market.
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:28 PM   #38
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Tell us more about Cutler and Shanny

They are going to win a SB together.
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:30 PM   #39
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WTF is this

It goes to the likely turnout models and where the suburban vote is going. PA is a deep blue state and DEM victories are usually right at or over 5 points. Last time (08) it was about 10. It's prolly 3-5 points "bluer" than Ohio, which is the key battleground. It's a good gauge of what the turnout model looks like for the rest of the evening. If Romney is inside 4 points in PA, it means he is likely ahead in places alot more purple like OH, VA, and even WI.

That's a very early bellweather for election night....the margin of Obama victory in PA. Obviously, if Romney wins PA, then its a blowout. If he is inside 5 there, he has a slight edge nationally, if he's inside 1-2, he's in a strong position, if he wins PA, he wins easily and if Obama wins by 5-10, his GOTV operation is in good shape and he should be able to win nationally by 2-3.
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:30 PM   #40
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Originally Posted by SoCalBronco View Post
Poll results are fairly interesting. Including the two leaners choices, it is Romney 21, Obama 12.

Ofcourse the OP did not include an "other" option for those of us who are not voting for either gentleman.
I dont think the Mane is really a good representation of a cross section of America
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:30 PM   #41
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Romney/Ryan 2012
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:32 PM   #42
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im not sure how Nate Silver does it, but he's generally right http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...r/nate-silver/ He has Obama at a 67 percent chance of winning.
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:33 PM   #43
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Nope, If Obama wins either Ohio or Florida it is over
That is certainly true for Florida, it is likely true for Ohio, but I'm saying we'll get an early clue in PA, which will come out a little earlier in terms of results.

If Obama wins PA by like 1-3 points, that is a bad sign for their campaign for the battleground states. If its over 5, he's in pretty good shape.
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:34 PM   #44
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I dont think the Mane is really a good representation of a cross section of America
I agree with that. Actually, back around the very early stages of this board around 2002-ish, this was a very conservative board and has become much more moderate in the subsequent years. I agree that it is probably still a little more to the right than where the nation is.
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:35 PM   #45
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I dont think the Mane is really a good representation of a cross section of America
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:37 PM   #46
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Originally Posted by SoCalBronco View Post
I agree with that. Actually, back around the very early stages of this board around 2002-ish, this was a very conservative board and has become much more moderate in the subsequent years. I agree that it is probably still a little more to the right than where the nation is.
your killing me here..

just about choked when I read that crap..

this forum is so far to the left progressives might be center..
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:37 PM   #47
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SoCalBronco View Post
It goes to the likely turnout models and where the suburban vote is going. PA is a deep blue state and DEM victories are usually right at or over 5 points. Last time (08) it was about 10. It's prolly 3-5 points "bluer" than Ohio, which is the key battleground. It's a good gauge of what the turnout model looks like for the rest of the evening. If Romney is inside 4 points in PA, it means he is likely ahead in places alot more purple like OH, VA, and even WI.

That's a very early bellweather for election night....the margin of Obama victory in PA. Obviously, if Romney wins PA, then its a blowout. If he is inside 5 there, he has a slight edge nationally, if he's inside 1-2, he's in a strong position, if he wins PA, he wins easily and if Obama wins by 5-10, his GOTV operation is in good shape and he should be able to win nationally by 2-3.
Another bellweather indicator is New Hampshire.
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:38 PM   #48
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I agree with that. Actually, back around the very early stages of this board around 2002-ish, this was a very conservative board and has become much more moderate in the subsequent years. I agree that it is probably still a little more to the right than where the nation is.
It definitely leans right. I've certainly been in enough political arguments on this board where it feels like im the only one with my beliefs (I know thats not true, but im often outnumbered.) A lot of this board also comes from middle america, which of course leans right. And I think this bored is filled with alpha-males. Those tend to lean right as well.
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:39 PM   #49
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your killing me here..

just about choked when I read that crap..

this forum is so far to the left progressives might be center..
What board do you read? Seriously? You think a board with a Colorado/Utah/Montana/Oklahoma supported team leans LEFT? And look at the poll numbers, evidence to the contrary.
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Old 10-21-2012, 09:42 PM   #50
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your killing me here..

just about choked when I read that crap..

this forum is so far to the left progressives might be center..
It's moderate.

You just spend too much time obsessing over LABF and Roh's posts.
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