![]() |
![]() |
#1 | |||
I'm gay for the Broncos!
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Chicago
Posts: 3,352
Adopt-a-Bronco: all @ same time |
![]() Since espn is slow launching the new 538, I found an alternative: Sam Wang. He's not only more accurate, but has been compiling polls longer than Mr. Silver.
Here's his (very) early data on the 2014 midterms: http://election.princeton.edu/2013/1...ouse-majority/ Quote:
Quote:
Quote:
http://election.princeton.edu/ |
|||
![]() |
![]() |
Sponsored Links |
![]() |
#2 |
Ring of Famer
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 27,934
Adopt-a-Bronco: None |
![]() Wang also predicted a 74% likelihood you'd take the house in 2012.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/0...epresentatives Can fail get any more epic? ![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#3 |
I'm gay for the Broncos!
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Chicago
Posts: 3,352
Adopt-a-Bronco: all @ same time |
![]() Do you understand the concept of probability? Pointing out that there's a 50% chance that a quarter will come up heads doesn't mean "LULZ epic fail! Stupid neuroscientist ftl!" when it comes up tails.
Regardless, those early odds of 74% seem crazy high, maybe because that was right after the democratic convention. By the way, Sam Wang's final numbers on the house showed a democratic takeover chance of just 13%: http://election.princeton.edu/2012/1...diction-final/ I'm not a democrat. Last edited by Blart; 10-09-2013 at 10:33 AM.. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#4 | ||
Ring of Famer
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 27,934
Adopt-a-Bronco: None |
![]() Quote:
Quote:
|
||
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#5 |
I'm gay for the Broncos!
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Chicago
Posts: 3,352
Adopt-a-Bronco: all @ same time |
![]() The GOP still lost seats. It looks like the slide will continue.
At the very least, it's a good indicator of who the public is blaming for the shutdown, and who they will blame if we're thrown into another recession from a default. GOP favorability reaches record low. ![]() Last edited by Blart; 10-09-2013 at 01:53 PM.. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#6 |
Partisan
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Trumpville (like Potterville, but stupider)
Posts: 73,810
|
![]() I don't know if it matters. They've gerrymandered the country into control of the House. By popular vote, they would have lost the House in the last election, but popular vote doesn't count. I'm beginning to wonder if a parliamentary system wouldn't be more democratic; Representation based on percentage of vote.
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|