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Old 09-24-2013, 07:14 PM   #1
G6matty
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Default 2013 Gambling Discussion

im not sure if there is a place for this type of this . if so mods feel free to move this.

im looking at the thursday night game and to me it seems so easy.

i want to take 49ers -3.

9ers are down Aldon Smith , Patrick Willis , and Vernon Davis. but thats ok. im not a believer in bradford at all. they wont run against them and the only play maker they have is jared cook. tavon austin has done nothing in the league so far.

if dallas just ran through this defense i see the 9ers repeating that performance. st louis front 7 is above average but the 9ers oline is top 5. i think they will get back to more read option stuff since the pass game has been non effective since week 1. i think kaepernick comes out pissed off and lights up the score board. rams have been blown out and came back in the fourth quarter the first two weeks the games were not as close as the score made it seem. they actually stole one from arizona.

so all in all my thinking is this : i cant see the rams scoring many points against the 9ers and i see kaepernick coming out with something to prove. 9ers run the ball down their throats final score 27-13ish

whats everybody elses take on this game.
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Old 09-25-2013, 07:36 AM   #2
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Niners should cover, but they should have vs indy too. I wouldnt touch Niners game til Kaep figures out how to play again.
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Old 09-25-2013, 07:48 AM   #3
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If the Niners get their running game going (take pressure off Kaep) they will be fine. I'm not sure why the moron genius Harbaugh can't figure this.
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Old 09-25-2013, 07:49 AM   #4
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**** you bro. Come at me. Come at me BRO! **** YOU and **** THAT ****! BRO!

#swag
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Old 09-25-2013, 08:05 AM   #5
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**** you bro. Come at me. Come at me BRO! **** YOU and **** THAT ****! BRO!

#swag
YOLO
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Old 09-25-2013, 08:23 AM   #6
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Trying to pay off that $200K judgement? Gambling is the answer! You can never lose!
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Old 09-25-2013, 08:28 AM   #7
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Trying to pay off that $200K judgement? Gambling is the answer! You can never lose!
He hasn't replied because he's busy looking up pics of your kids
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Old 09-25-2013, 08:31 AM   #8
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i still think of you and all the **** you put me through, and i know now that you were wrong....
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Old 09-25-2013, 10:42 AM   #9
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The Rams were 4-1-1 against NFC West teams last year. Be careful. With the 49'ers banged up and in bad shape, I would not be surprised to see the Rams win that game by a TD.
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Old 09-26-2013, 02:00 AM   #10
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Nobody knows it except class 3 degent that the Rams were the 3rd best team ATS last year. I lost my ass betting against them early on before I finally rode them out the last few weeks of the season. I actually like the Rams getting points in the game on thursday night.
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Old 09-27-2013, 03:55 AM   #11
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Good call on the -3. The game was never in doubt. I figured the 49ers D would get back on track. The Rams offense just looks out of sync this year.

Any thoughts on this weekend''s games? I'm kind of liking Houston +3 , Buffalo +3.5, and New Orleans -6.5.

I'll sprinkle a little on the Broncos -11.5 cause I'm a homer and that's what we do, but I don't like this spot for us. Even with their terrible defense, having that long week to prepare for them and the short week for us worries me.
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Old 09-27-2013, 06:02 AM   #12
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Why the f*#k are the Lions favored -3 over the Bears? Is there something I'm missing here?
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Old 09-27-2013, 06:30 AM   #13
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Why the f*#k are the Lions favored -3 over the Bears? Is there something I'm missing here?
Well they think the teams in peoples eyes are pretty even and the home team always lays 3 points. Remember the lines are all about getting even money bet on both teams. I don't think that the line is that far off. Chicago has 2 last min wins that they didn't look that impressive in and even Pittsburgh got back into the game last week.
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Old 09-27-2013, 06:49 AM   #14
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Over/under line of flax seed induced flatulence passings necessitating fresh underwear is set at 2.5
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Old 09-27-2013, 07:06 AM   #15
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Over/under line of flax seed induced flatulence passings necessitating fresh underwear is set at 2.5
Sucker's bet. I wouldn't touch that line. Give me the over for the chia seeds though.
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Old 09-27-2013, 07:25 AM   #16
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I will bet that hopechest won't be posting today.
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Old 09-27-2013, 08:45 PM   #17
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The Lions are in a good spot but because Burleson is out that kind of worries me . Feeling NYG +4.5 and ATL -2.5 as well now.

That -11.5 for the Broncos seems inflated...not that i see the Eagles making a serious challenge but they aren't to me a double digit dog against any team. Too much talent with players like Shady and DeSean. I say we win between 7-10. But as a homer I will bet us at -11.5.=
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Old 09-27-2013, 09:18 PM   #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cackalacky B View Post
The Lions are in a good spot but because Burleson is out that kind of worries me . Feeling NYG +4.5 and ATL -2.5 as well now.

That -11.5 for the Broncos seems inflated...not that i see the Eagles making a serious challenge but they aren't to me a double digit dog against any team. Too much talent with players like Shady and DeSean. I say we win between 7-10. But as a homer I will bet us at -11.5.=
It's so weird, those are the two bets I seem to be getting the most flack from my buddies over. I see both of those happening. I think KC has just want NYG needs to break out it's slump after they got schilacked in Carolina.
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Old 09-28-2013, 08:26 AM   #19
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Pittsburgh, Buffalo, Jets
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Old 09-28-2013, 08:37 AM   #20
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Quote:
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I will bet that hopechest won't be posting today.
I like the fact there was a lot of wishy washy gamblers on the -3 49ers. Hopefully Hopechest didn't like the uncertainty and bailed out on making money.
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Old 09-28-2013, 04:09 PM   #21
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I could post my picks here. Then you guys could bet the exact opposite of my picks and make a sh*tload of money. But I'm an a-hole.
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