Last Chance! Pick a Winna!

[TonyR]

Originally Posted by Mr.Meanie

Wow. No forecasting models, no empirical data supporting his argument... just pure fantasy. I think that blog post is the perfect encapsulation of what Bill Maher talks about when he describes these guys living in The Bubble.

Right!?! For that matter, a fairly good encapsulation of the current GOP in general. He's right, just because he says so!

[TonyR]

Originally Posted by spdirty

By Dick Morris...

I haven't been dumb enough to offer a prediction this election season, although I long ago said that the economic fundamentals favor Romney, even after the most cynical, hollow campaign I have witnessed since Atwater's destruction of Dukakis. And every hack deserves a break in an election this close. But a few individuals have stood out for the sheer chutzpah of their certainty. If they were managing someone's money and were off by the amount they may be, they would be fired. And this does not count for those simply inferring results from all the polls, state and national. They're not predicting as such, based on their brilliant intuition. They're adding numbers up. If all the numbers are wrong, as so many among the GOP believe, then the pollsters will require a reckoning, not those simply taking them at face value.

But there are a handful whose predictions have been so out there, so beyond polling expectations, they either will deserve rapturous applause or, in my opinion, oblivion, if they are proven wrong. Dick Morris's clear prediction of a Romney 325 Electoral Vote landslide is the most obvious

http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast....countable.html

[Old Dude]

FWIW, ridiculously heavy turnout in Adams County at 2 pm.

[Beantown Bronco]

Scary that things appear so bad to people that the guy who would've come in 4th four years ago now all of a sudden supposedly has a chance to win it all after four years of doing nothing of any real substance.

[Rohirrim]

Originally Posted by Beantown Bronco

Scary that things appear so bad to people that the guy who would've come in 4th four years ago now all of a sudden supposedly has a chance to win it all after four years of doing nothing of any real substance.

He's been running for about twenty years. He won the top spot by attrition. One thing you can say about Mitt, he's tenacious.

[elsid13]

Extremely heavy turnout in northern Virgina today. I was in line for over 2 hours and that was common to everyone I talked to. And yes NOVA leans heavy Democratic.

[Cito Pelon]

Originally Posted by Mecklomaniac

Unfortunately too true. Whether Romney or Obama wins congress will likely still be split. Obama would have to learn to get along with Boehner (not likely) Romney would have to try and work with the feckless Reid. Both parties will be grand standing for the 2014 senate and 2016 presidential campaigns which are only a week away.

Who has time to govern when we are in perpetual campaign mode. Politicians need time to fund raise, demagogue, distort, lie and blame.

I think Obama and Boehner can work to overcome their differences. Romney and Reid, not so much.

I don't have a clue about most everything though, learned that over the years, and been told so many times.

[Smiling Assassin27]

Originally Posted by SoCalBronco

Obama based on most recent data.

I'm gonna alter my pick to this as well.

[razorwire77]

I said the election would get called by 10 MST. I was wrong. It's going to get called by 9.

[DBruleU]

Originally Posted by Kaylore

My heart says Romney, but my head says Obama. I say Romney wins popular but Obama wins the electoral college.

You were right. Good call.

[gunns]

Originally Posted by DBruleU

You were right. Good call.

No he's not. Obama now has the popular vote too.

[houghtam]

Originally Posted by 24champ

Deal.

Although I would agree with you that PA is going Obama. It will be within 5 points though.

Well sir, you had balls of brass to bet the way you did. I was never concerned about losing.

I'll give some thought to your avatar and get back to you.

[Blart]

17 OM posters read Nate Silver's blog

[24champ]

Originally Posted by houghtam

Well sir, you had balls of brass to bet the way you did. I was never concerned about losing.

I'll give some thought to your avatar and get back to you.

[Jekyll15Hyde]

Originally Posted by gunns

No he's not. Obama now has the popular vote too.

After all the tallies, it will be approaching 2%

[Jekyll15Hyde]

Originally Posted by Blart

17 OM posters read Nate Silver's blog

Nate is the new gold standard in predictions. His model was perfect in terms of state count and was quite good on the margins.

We could only so lucky if Rassmusen, aka Pulse Opinion Research, is run out of town, now being known to all as a biased pollster. But I expect Fox to continue to highlight his work wherever.

The sad part was I watched coverage in the last few days on Fox and they cherry picked their data left and right to try and tell their audience that Romney was really in it. Sad that their viewership wont hold them accountable

[BowlenBall]

Congrats to Arkie, Beantown Bronco, Blart, BowlenBall, Crushaholic, houghtam, Mr.Meanie, Paladin, peacepipe, Pseudofool, Rohirrim, ScottXray, spdirty, Traveler, and W*GS for being smarter than 68% of this board....

[L.A. BRONCOS FAN]

Originally Posted by Beantown Bronco

Scary that things appear so bad to people that the guy who would've come in 4th four years ago now all of a sudden supposedly has a chance to win it all after four years of doing nothing of any real substance.

If this is true, then what does it say about your party's failures?

You chose not to look in the mirror in 2008.

Will you repeat your folly in 2012?

[L.A. BRONCOS FAN]

Originally Posted by 24champ

Hopefully it won't be an image of Paul Pierce hoisting the Larry O'Brien trophy.

[Beantown Bronco]

Originally Posted by L.A. BRONCOS FAN

If this is true, then what does it say about your party's failures?

You chose not to look in the mirror in 2008.

Will you repeat your folly in 2012?

not my party

[24champ]

Originally Posted by L.A. BRONCOS FAN

Hopefully it won't be an image of Paul Pierce hoisting the Larry O'Brien trophy.

Its supposed to be an avatar of the President. Lets hope its not him wearing a Celtic jersey.

[DBruleU]

Originally Posted by gunns

No he's not. Obama now has the popular vote too.

I know. I spoke too soon and went to bed drowning in my tears.

[Mr.Meanie]

It looks like Obama just Florida too. 332 to 206 EC, over 50% of the popular vote and over 50% of the vote in every battleground state except NC.

I think it was never really even that close with the incredibly sophisticated voter registration/turnout machine constructed over the last 6+ years in the battleground states by Obama. Brilliant strategy and execution all the way through... I think what Obama's team did will be the electioneering bible for future presidential campaigns.

[L.A. BRONCOS FAN]

^

The Greedy Old Party can expect similar shellackings in the future unless they can find new ways to prevent women, minorities, immigrants, gays, elderly and young people from voting.