Redskins loss = Romney will win - Page 2 - The Orange Mane

razorwire77 · 11-05-2012, 09:41 PM

Even if Nate is off (which at this point I doubt), I tend to look at where the money is going.

Intrade has Obama at 67 percent.

Nearly every online gambling site has Obama getting reelected at anywhere from 65-80 percent.

Pseudofool · 11-05-2012, 09:43 PM

Electoral landslide for Obama. I think he wins two of Virginia, NC, FL to go along with the rest of the swing states. I see a popular vote around 3 or 4 points for Obama. If it's any closer than that, Romney really deserves a lot of credit because it certainly didn't look good before the first debate.

Pseudofool · 11-05-2012, 09:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rohirrim

Have fun with this.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...mid=tw-nytimes

Romney can win FL, Oh, NC, and Va and still lose. Yipes.

razorwire77 · 11-05-2012, 09:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pseudofool

Electoral landslide for Obama. I think he wins two of Virginia, NC, FL to go along with the rest of the swing states. I see a popular vote around 3 or 4 points for Obama. If it's any closer than that, Romney really deserves a lot of credit because it certainly didn't look good before the first debate.

I think the real surprise of the night is going to be when Obama takes Florida, in addition to Ohio and Virginia.

The electoral college route will be on at that point.

The popular vote will be close, but my guess is Obama takes it by roughly 1.5 percent.

All in all, a relatively close election, but not nearly the down the stretch horse race that the MSM is shoving down everybody's throat.

Rohirrim · 11-05-2012, 09:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by razorwire77

I think the real surprise of the night is going to be when Obama takes Florida, in addition to Ohio and Virginia.

The electoral college route will be on at that point.

The popular vote will be close, but my guess is Obama takes it by roughly 1.5 percent.

All in all, a relatively close election, but not nearly the down the stretch horse race that the MSM is shoving down everybody's throat.

If Ohio gets called early for Obama, they can start dressing up the fat lady.

24champ · 11-05-2012, 10:18 PM

Nate Silver and Morris are out to lunch.

Neither candidate will get 325 or over in EV.

BroncoBeavis · 11-05-2012, 10:24 PM

This place is gonna be epic tomorrow night when the stormin Mormon gives his victory speech.

lonestar · 11-05-2012, 10:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by razorwire77

I think the real surprise of the night is going to be when Obama takes Florida, in addition to Ohio and Virginia.

The electoral college route will be on at that point.

The popular vote will be close, but my guess is Obama takes it by roughly 1.5 percent.

All in all, a relatively close election, but not nearly the down the stretch horse race that the MSM is shoving down everybody's throat.

Wow thinking again. Please do not tax yourself.

L.A. BRONCOS FAN · 11-05-2012, 10:25 PM

From the only source (other than breitbart.com) wingnuts trust...

Fox Predicts Obama Victory

Earlier today Fox News contributor Lanny Davis published a piece entitled “My prediction — Obama will, and should, win on Election Day”.

Davis cites three reasons Pres. Obama will win.

First, President Obama won the battle of messages and Romney lost.

Davis notes that Obama’s core message — “I did the best I could on the economy; we were in a deep hole and I’ve made some progress getting out of it” — was, in his opinion, a more credible and persuasive message than Romney’s message: “President Obama failed on the economy and I can succeed by way of tax cuts and less government regulation.”

Second, polls show that Obama remains the more likable of the two candidates.

In support, Davis points out that Mitt Romney enhanced his “unlikability throughout the Republican primaries. There was the incredible moment when even conservative Texas Gov. Rick Perry asked him to “have a heart” when Romney criticized Perry for allowing illegal immigrants to pay lower in-state tuition costs in Texas to go to a state university”.

Third, and “maybe most importantly, Barack Obama remains the change candidate who excites and inspires (inevitably, less so than in 2008) the younger generation of Americans. He leads in the polls substantially among that younger generation — by margins of 20 to 30 percent. They are America’s future”.

Davis breaks down his predicted voting results as follows:

Popular Vote
Obama — 50 percent
Romney — 49 percent
Obama — Electoral votes = 281
Romney — Electoral votes = 257
——————
OBAMA STATES — ELECTORAL VOTES

ST Solid States = 142
Likely —
Connecticut (7)
Maine (3)
New Jersey (14)
New Mexico (5)
Washington (12)
ST: 41
Lean
Maine CD2 (1)
Oregon (7)
Minnesota (10)
ST: 18
ST: TOTAL 201
Battleground states
Iowa (6)
Nevada (6)
New Hampshire (4)
Ohio (!!!) (18)
Pennsylvania (20)
Wisconsin (10) (!!!)
Michigan (16)
ST: 80

Total electoral votes/Obama: 281

==========

ROMNEY STATES — ELECTORAL VOTES

ST: Solid 127 (including Nebraska 3 electoral votes)
Likely
Georgia (16)
Indiana (11)
Missouri (10)
Nebraska (CD2) (1)
South Carolina (9)
South Dakota (3)
ST: 50
Lean
Arizona (11)
Montana (3)
ST: 14
TOTAL 191
Battlegrounds
Colorado (9)
Florida (29)
North Carolina (15)
Virginia (13)
ST: 66

Total Electoral votes/Romney: 257

Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/...#ixzz2BNvJdbdI

lonestar · 11-05-2012, 10:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BroncoBeavis

This place is gonna be epic tomorrow night when the stormin Mormon gives his victory speech.

Not sure I even want to see them wailing about it being a fixed election. See you then. For awhile

L.A. BRONCOS FAN · 11-05-2012, 10:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BroncoBeavis

This place is gonna be epic tomorrow night when the stormin Mormon gives his victory speech.

L0L!

In what parallel right-wing universe is this predicted to happen?

This post will be fun to bump, at any rate.

lonestar · 11-05-2012, 10:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by L.A. BRONCOS FAN

From the only source (other than breitbart.com) wingnuts trust...

Fox Predicts Obama Victory

Earlier today Fox News contributor Lanny Davis published a piece entitled “My prediction — Obama will, and should, win on Election Day”.

Davis cites three reasons Pres. Obama will win.

First, President Obama won the battle of messages and Romney lost.

Davis notes that Obama’s core message — “I did the best I could on the economy; we were in a deep hole and I’ve made some progress getting out of it” — was, in his opinion, a more credible and persuasive message than Romney’s message: “President Obama failed on the economy and I can succeed by way of tax cuts and less government regulation.”

Second, polls show that Obama remains the more likable of the two candidates.

In support, Davis points out that Mitt Romney enhanced his “unlikability throughout the Republican primaries. There was the incredible moment when even conservative Texas Gov. Rick Perry asked him to “have a heart” when Romney criticized Perry for allowing illegal immigrants to pay lower in-state tuition costs in Texas to go to a state university”.

Third, and “maybe most importantly, Barack Obama remains the change candidate who excites and inspires (inevitably, less so than in 2008) the younger generation of Americans. He leads in the polls substantially among that younger generation — by margins of 20 to 30 percent. They are America’s future”.

Davis breaks down his predicted voting results as follows:

Popular Vote
Obama — 50 percent
Romney — 49 percent
Obama — Electoral votes = 281
Romney — Electoral votes = 257
——————
OBAMA STATES — ELECTORAL VOTES

ST Solid States = 142
Likely —
Connecticut (7)
Maine (3)
New Jersey (14)
New Mexico (5)
Washington (12)
ST: 41
Lean
Maine CD2 (1)
Oregon (7)
Minnesota (10)
ST: 18
ST: TOTAL 201
Battleground states
Iowa (6)
Nevada (6)
New Hampshire (4)
Ohio (!!!) (18)
Pennsylvania (20)
Wisconsin (10) (!!!)
Michigan (16)
ST: 80

Total electoral votes/Obama: 281

==========

ROMNEY STATES — ELECTORAL VOTES

ST: Solid 127 (including Nebraska 3 electoral votes)
Likely
Georgia (16)
Indiana (11)
Missouri (10)
Nebraska (CD2) (1)
South Carolina (9)
South Dakota (3)
ST: 50
Lean
Arizona (11)
Montana (3)
ST: 14
TOTAL 191
Battlegrounds
Colorado (9)
Florida (29)
North Carolina (15)
Virginia (13)
ST: 66

Total Electoral votes/Romney: 257

Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/...#ixzz2BNvJdbdI

Lanny Davis the left hand man of bill cliton. Sure I believe him back to IGGY. Not sure how I even saw this. I think the mods have modified my IGGY list.

Your way to dumb to waste my time reading.

L.A. BRONCOS FAN · 11-05-2012, 10:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lonestar

Your(sic) way to dumb to waste my time reading.

Nothing like intelligence smack from a grown man who reads and writes at a fifth grade level.

L.A. BRONCOS FAN · 11-05-2012, 10:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lonestar

Lanny Davis the left hand man of bill cliton. Sure I believe...

Not surprisingly, you made no attempt to challenge Davis' arguments - you simply lobbed an ad hominem and ran.

Ditto head SOP.

L.A. BRONCOS FAN · 11-05-2012, 10:37 PM

Heads up for AZ folks...GOP fraud alert:

Robocalls from GOP give false voting locations to Democrats

Calls from Republican Congressman Jeff Flake’s campaign in Arizona are instructing Democratic voters to cast ballots at the wrong polling locations in yet another flagrant attempt at voter fraud.

24champ · 11-05-2012, 10:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by L.A. BRONCOS FAN

L0L!

In what parallel right-wing universe is this predicted to happen?

This post will be fun to bump, at any rate.

Whats your prediction for tomorrow LABF? How do you see the EV breaking down?

L.A. BRONCOS FAN · 11-05-2012, 10:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 24champ

Whats your prediction for tomorrow LABF? How do you see the EV breaking down?

See Ro's "Pick a Winna" thread.

Jetland · 11-06-2012, 09:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by StugotsIII

Many people in the know are calling this for Romney and big...due to the democrat heaving polling used by many of the pollsters out there.

do tell us more

gunns · 11-06-2012, 09:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BroncoBeavis

This place is gonna be epic tomorrow night when the stormin Mormon gives his victory speech.

Gordon Gekko will be giving a concession speech and stormin off to obscurity.

L.A. BRONCOS FAN · 11-06-2012, 09:25 PM

Is Fox calling it for Romney? L0L.

Rohirrim · 11-06-2012, 09:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BroncoBeavis

This place is gonna be epic tomorrow night when the stormin Mormon gives his victory speech.

L.A. BRONCOS FAN · 11-06-2012, 09:38 PM

^

L0L!

Once again, America "just says no" to the regressive agenda.

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11-05-2012, 09:41 PM	#26
razorwire77 Tapenade Swagga Splotchy Headed Assassin Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: Albuquerque Posts: 3,265 Adopt-a-Bronco: Mario Fannin	Even if Nate is off (which at this point I doubt), I tend to look at where the money is going. Intrade has Obama at 67 percent. Nearly every online gambling site has Obama getting reelected at anywhere from 65-80 percent.

11-05-2012, 09:43 PM	#27
Pseudofool Cynic at Large Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: The Kingdom of Solipsism Posts: 2,886 Adopt-a-Bronco: Me?	Electoral landslide for Obama. I think he wins two of Virginia, NC, FL to go along with the rest of the swing states. I see a popular vote around 3 or 4 points for Obama. If it's any closer than that, Romney really deserves a lot of credit because it certainly didn't look good before the first debate.

11-05-2012, 10:18 PM	#31
24champ Livin' the dream! Methwolfe Alliance Captain Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: Southern California Posts: 18,547 Adopt-a-Bronco: DomCasual	Nate Silver and Morris are out to lunch. Neither candidate will get 325 or over in EV.

11-05-2012, 10:24 PM	#32
BroncoBeavis Just Draughted Lupus Methylphenthylaminus? Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 6,915	This place is gonna be epic tomorrow night when the stormin Mormon gives his victory speech.

11-05-2012, 10:25 PM	#34
L.A. BRONCOS FAN Mo' holla fo' yo' dolla! Join Date: Dec 2002 Location: In a bunker in an undisclosed location Posts: 52,694	From the only source (other than breitbart.com) wingnuts trust... Fox Predicts Obama Victory Earlier today Fox News contributor Lanny Davis published a piece entitled “My prediction — Obama will, and should, win on Election Day”. Davis cites three reasons Pres. Obama will win. First, President Obama won the battle of messages and Romney lost. Davis notes that Obama’s core message — “I did the best I could on the economy; we were in a deep hole and I’ve made some progress getting out of it” — was, in his opinion, a more credible and persuasive message than Romney’s message: “President Obama failed on the economy and I can succeed by way of tax cuts and less government regulation.” Second, polls show that Obama remains the more likable of the two candidates. In support, Davis points out that Mitt Romney enhanced his “unlikability throughout the Republican primaries. There was the incredible moment when even conservative Texas Gov. Rick Perry asked him to “have a heart” when Romney criticized Perry for allowing illegal immigrants to pay lower in-state tuition costs in Texas to go to a state university”. Third, and “maybe most importantly, Barack Obama remains the change candidate who excites and inspires (inevitably, less so than in 2008) the younger generation of Americans. He leads in the polls substantially among that younger generation — by margins of 20 to 30 percent. They are America’s future”. Davis breaks down his predicted voting results as follows: Popular Vote Obama — 50 percent Romney — 49 percent Obama — Electoral votes = 281 Romney — Electoral votes = 257 —————— OBAMA STATES — ELECTORAL VOTES ST Solid States = 142 Likely — Connecticut (7) Maine (3) New Jersey (14) New Mexico (5) Washington (12) ST: 41 Lean Maine CD2 (1) Oregon (7) Minnesota (10) ST: 18 ST: TOTAL 201 Battleground states Iowa (6) Nevada (6) New Hampshire (4) Ohio (!!!) (18) Pennsylvania (20) Wisconsin (10) (!!!) Michigan (16) ST: 80 Total electoral votes/Obama: 281 ========== ROMNEY STATES — ELECTORAL VOTES ST: Solid 127 (including Nebraska 3 electoral votes) Likely Georgia (16) Indiana (11) Missouri (10) Nebraska (CD2) (1) South Carolina (9) South Dakota (3) ST: 50 Lean Arizona (11) Montana (3) ST: 14 TOTAL 191 Battlegrounds Colorado (9) Florida (29) North Carolina (15) Virginia (13) ST: 66 Total Electoral votes/Romney: 257 Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2012/...#ixzz2BNvJdbdI

11-05-2012, 10:37 PM	#40
L.A. BRONCOS FAN Mo' holla fo' yo' dolla! Join Date: Dec 2002 Location: In a bunker in an undisclosed location Posts: 52,694	Heads up for AZ folks...GOP fraud alert: Robocalls from GOP give false voting locations to Democrats Calls from Republican Congressman Jeff Flake’s campaign in Arizona are instructing Democratic voters to cast ballots at the wrong polling locations in yet another flagrant attempt at voter fraud.

11-06-2012, 09:25 PM	#45
L.A. BRONCOS FAN Mo' holla fo' yo' dolla! Join Date: Dec 2002 Location: In a bunker in an undisclosed location Posts: 52,694	Is Fox calling it for Romney? L0L.

11-06-2012, 09:38 PM	#47
L.A. BRONCOS FAN Mo' holla fo' yo' dolla! Join Date: Dec 2002 Location: In a bunker in an undisclosed location Posts: 52,694	^ L0L! Once again, America "just says no" to the regressive agenda.