AP Claims That Obama 'Seems' to Be Leading in Key State Early Voting But Offers Scant Proof - The Orange Mane

DAN_BRONCO_FAN · 11-05-2012, 08:42 AM

AP Claims That Obama 'Seems' to Be Leading in Key State Early Voting But Offers Scant Proof

By P.J. Gladnick | November 03, 2012 | 19:00
28 72 Reddit0 2
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I have remembered how to seem. ---King George III in "The Madness of King George."

This is a tale of two stories. The first story was an article your humble correspondent read in today's Miami Herald. The news couldn't be better for Mitt Romney because it reported that the Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll of likely voters showed the former Massachusetts governor leading Barack Obama in Florida by a comfortable 51 to 45 margin. However in the same edition of the Miami Herald there is also an Associated Press story stating that Obama "seems" to be leading in early polls in key states. Based on what? Apparently based on pixie dust since virtually no real proof is offered.

First the Miami Herald report chock full of facts which shows Romney with a solid lead:

Mitt Romney has maintained a solid lead over President Barack Obama in the latest Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll of likely voters who favor the Republican by six percentage points.

Romney’s strengths: independent voters and more crossover support from Democrats relative to the Republicans who back Obama, according to the survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.

...“I’m pretty convinced Romney’s going to win Florida,” said Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker, who conducted the 800-likely voter survey from Tuesday through Thursday.

And now to the AP report in which Obama "seems" to be leading the early voting in key states including Florida.

Florida

About 3.9 million people have voted, and 43 percent were Democrats and 40 percent were Republicans. For years ago at this time, Democratic early voters had a 9 percentage point lead over Republicans.

Obama won Florida's early vote by 10 percentage points in 2008, getting 400,000 more early votes than McCain, enough to offset McCain's advantage on Election Day.

Isn't the real story here the big drop in Democrat early votes this year in Florida compared to 2012? The AP's Stephen Ohlemacher becomes even more absurd when he somehow includes Colorado in the claim that Obama "seems" to be leading in early voting:

Colorado

About 1.6 million people have voted, and Republicans outnumber Democrats 37 percent to 35 percent. Those numbers are a reversal from four years ago at this time. Inevitably, Obama won the early vote by 9 percentage points in 2008, giving him a big enough cushion to win the state, despite narrowly losing the Election Day vote.

The case could also be made here that Romney is leading the early vote in Colorado yet Mr. Ohlemacher somehow thinks that Obama "seems" to be leading in that state.

The poll that dare not speak its name in this AP fantasy is the Gallup poll which reported at the end of October that Romney is leading early voting by a solid margin:

Romney currently leads Obama 52% to 46% among voters who say they have already cast their ballots. However, that is comparable to Romney's 51% to 46% lead among all likely voters in Gallup's Oct. 22-28 tracking polling.

Bottom line is that Obama is apparently way behind his early vote percentages of 2008 which is really the big story here but AP emphasizes that Obama "seems" to be leading in key state early voting

Read more: http://newsbusters.org/blogs/pj-glad...#ixzz2BMpbIZrM

DAN_BRONCO_FAN · 11-05-2012, 08:45 AM

poor little liberals here on the OM are upset i keep showing them the truth . now they say im just a troll and a spammer .
why because i enjoy showing them the truth and watch them go all postal . i bet atm they are begging the mods to ban me to suppress the truth.
they cant handle the truth.
do i need to tell you all the lies Obama has been saying the crap he has been shoving down our throats

peacepipe · 11-05-2012, 08:47 AM

funny cause every news outletfrom bussinessweek to usa today,just to name a couple, out their shows obama with a lead in early voting.

TonyR · 11-05-2012, 08:48 AM

Desperate thread after desperate thread, quoting desperate source after desperate source.

Quote:

"The first thing happens is, don't believe -- the public polls are wrong. That's the first sign of a campaign that's about to lose. The second thing, we're going to change the nature of the electorate, and you're not seeing it reflected in the polls. And the third thing is, the only poll that counts is Election Day. When you hear those things, you know you're about to lose."

- Matthew Dowd, Republican political strategist.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/20...g_to_lose.html

TonyR · 11-05-2012, 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DAN_BRONCO_FAN

...im just a troll and a spammer...

^ I couldn't have described you any better myself.

gunns · 11-05-2012, 09:14 AM

The fact that DAN is against Obama, links Rush Limbaugh to support any argument, makes me a huge fan of Obama's. Poor representation there DAN.

11-05-2012, 08:42 AM	#1
DAN_BRONCO_FAN golden knife winner winner of the golden knife award Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: colorado springs area Posts: 2,822 Adopt-a-Bronco: ray lewis knife	AP Claims That Obama 'Seems' to Be Leading in Key State Early Voting But Offers Scant Proof AP Claims That Obama 'Seems' to Be Leading in Key State Early Voting But Offers Scant Proof By P.J. Gladnick \| November 03, 2012 \| 19:00 28 72 Reddit0 2 A A I have remembered how to seem. ---King George III in "The Madness of King George." This is a tale of two stories. The first story was an article your humble correspondent read in today's Miami Herald. The news couldn't be better for Mitt Romney because it reported that the Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll of likely voters showed the former Massachusetts governor leading Barack Obama in Florida by a comfortable 51 to 45 margin. However in the same edition of the Miami Herald there is also an Associated Press story stating that Obama "seems" to be leading in early polls in key states. Based on what? Apparently based on pixie dust since virtually no real proof is offered. First the Miami Herald report chock full of facts which shows Romney with a solid lead: Mitt Romney has maintained a solid lead over President Barack Obama in the latest Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald poll of likely voters who favor the Republican by six percentage points. Romney’s strengths: independent voters and more crossover support from Democrats relative to the Republicans who back Obama, according to the survey conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. ...“I’m pretty convinced Romney’s going to win Florida,” said Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker, who conducted the 800-likely voter survey from Tuesday through Thursday. And now to the AP report in which Obama "seems" to be leading the early voting in key states including Florida. Florida About 3.9 million people have voted, and 43 percent were Democrats and 40 percent were Republicans. For years ago at this time, Democratic early voters had a 9 percentage point lead over Republicans. Obama won Florida's early vote by 10 percentage points in 2008, getting 400,000 more early votes than McCain, enough to offset McCain's advantage on Election Day. Isn't the real story here the big drop in Democrat early votes this year in Florida compared to 2012? The AP's Stephen Ohlemacher becomes even more absurd when he somehow includes Colorado in the claim that Obama "seems" to be leading in early voting: Colorado About 1.6 million people have voted, and Republicans outnumber Democrats 37 percent to 35 percent. Those numbers are a reversal from four years ago at this time. Inevitably, Obama won the early vote by 9 percentage points in 2008, giving him a big enough cushion to win the state, despite narrowly losing the Election Day vote. The case could also be made here that Romney is leading the early vote in Colorado yet Mr. Ohlemacher somehow thinks that Obama "seems" to be leading in that state. The poll that dare not speak its name in this AP fantasy is the Gallup poll which reported at the end of October that Romney is leading early voting by a solid margin: Romney currently leads Obama 52% to 46% among voters who say they have already cast their ballots. However, that is comparable to Romney's 51% to 46% lead among all likely voters in Gallup's Oct. 22-28 tracking polling. Bottom line is that Obama is apparently way behind his early vote percentages of 2008 which is really the big story here but AP emphasizes that Obama "seems" to be leading in key state early voting Read more: http://newsbusters.org/blogs/pj-glad...#ixzz2BMpbIZrM

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11-05-2012, 08:45 AM	#2
DAN_BRONCO_FAN golden knife winner winner of the golden knife award Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: colorado springs area Posts: 2,822 Adopt-a-Bronco: ray lewis knife	poor little liberals here on the OM are upset i keep showing them the truth . now they say im just a troll and a spammer . why because i enjoy showing them the truth and watch them go all postal . i bet atm they are begging the mods to ban me to suppress the truth. they cant handle the truth. do i need to tell you all the lies Obama has been saying the crap he has been shoving down our throats

11-05-2012, 08:47 AM	#3
peacepipe Ring of Famer New to the Forum Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 5,767 Adopt-a-Bronco: None	funny cause every news outletfrom bussinessweek to usa today,just to name a couple, out their shows obama with a lead in early voting.

11-05-2012, 09:14 AM	#6
gunns I WANT DEFENSE! Defense, defense, defense Join Date: Dec 2002 Location: Always Hoping Posts: 11,661 Adopt-a-Bronco: Defense	The fact that DAN is against Obama, links Rush Limbaugh to support any argument, makes me a huge fan of Obama's. Poor representation there DAN.