Why Romney Already Lost

[SoCalBronco]

It appears PPP might be off. Stats suggest only about 5.5% of the vote in Ohio have been cast.

[lonestar]

Romney-Ryan ticket hits Obama admin on Ohio made tanks
Posted on October 14, 2012 by Conservative Byte

The Romney-Ryan campaign has seized on Vice President Joe Biden’s assertion during Thursday’s debate that Ohio-made M1 Abrams tanks are no longer needed. The GOP ticket began running radio ads and making automated phone calls in Ohio on Friday featuring the vice president’s quote, according to Republican state communications director Chris Maloney.

“The military says we need a smaller, leaner Army. We need more special forces. …We don’t need more M1 tanks. What we need is more UAVs,” Biden said while he sat opposite of Republican vice presidential nominee Rep. Paul Ryan, at the debate in Lexington, Ky. The vice president’s words, which broke no new policy ground, were a reminder of the Pentagon’s decision this year to halt the production line from 2014 to 2017 as the vehicle is redesigned.

Ohio is home to the only tank production site in the country, and M1 tanks were spotlighted during Ryan’s first joint appearance with Mitt Romney after the vice presidential debate.

Read more: http://conservativebyte.com/2012/10/...#ixzz29J4ClO00

Yep all is lost in OH10.

[nyuk nyuk]

Originally Posted by SoCalBronco

It appears PPP might be off. Stats suggest only about 5.5% of the vote in Ohio have been cast.

PPP is known to lean left, and McCain also had a huge lead in early voting in several states. It's not even a story. This means dick.

[SoCalBronco]

Originally Posted by nyuk nyuk

PPP is known to lean left, and McCain also had a huge lead in early voting in several states. It's not even a story. This means dick.

Tom Jensen at PPP is a pretty well respected pollster although yes they are used primarily by the Dems. Regardless...the data for early votes cast do not measure up with 19%. It appears to be around 6% instead.

[barryr]

In states that go democrat, usually the big cites go democrat and the remainder go republican. It all basically comes down to who votes more.

[nyuk nyuk]

Originally Posted by barryr

In states that go democrat, usually the big cites go democrat and the remainder go republican. It all basically comes down to who votes more.

Turds cluster in toilets. Core, Democrat-run cities are notorious for being run-down. Bad liberal policy much?

[L.A. BRONCOS FAN]

Originally Posted by barryr

In states that go democrat, usually the big cites go democrat and the remainder go republican.

That's because most of the educated and intelligent people live in cities while ignorant rubes like you and your BF EpicDramaNyuk live in BFE.

[lonestar]

Originally Posted by barryr

In states that go democrat, usually the big cites go democrat and the remainder go republican. It all basically comes down to who votes more.

Actually more like who votes twice or three times. Nobamas poll workers seem to have that down pat.

[L.A. BRONCOS FAN]

Originally Posted by lonestar

Actually more like who votes twice or three times. Nobamas poll workers seem to have that down pat.

Only if you listen to the professional liars who populate the right-wing media.

Meanwhile, here in reality, yours is the party with the documented history of actual voter fraud.

Just one more example of your despicable hypocrisy.

[L.A. BRONCOS FAN]

“One important change in the latest numbers: President Obama now leads among independents,” in the states surveyed, Purple pollsters wrote. It’s the first time Obama has led independent swing-state voters in seven months, the pollsters wrote.

http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/20...obama-lead.php

President Obama leads Mitt Romney in a new poll of 12 key swing states.

Obama leads 49 percent to 44 percent in the poll from Purple Strategies.

The poll is a combined sample of likely voters in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin, and also shows good news for Obama in over-sampled results for Ohio, Virginia, Florida and Colorado. Last month’s Purple Poll showed Romney with a slight edge in swing states, 47 percent to Obama’s 46 percent.

“One important change in the latest numbers: President Obama now leads among independents,” in the states surveyed, Purple pollsters wrote. It’s the first time Obama has led independent swing-state voters in seven months, the pollsters wrote.

[lonestar]

Most likely cartoon boi has regurgitated something else. Double trouble cauldrons bubbles.

[DBruleU]

Originally Posted by L.A. BRONCOS FAN

“One important change in the latest numbers: President Obama now leads among independents,” in the states surveyed, Purple pollsters wrote. It’s the first time Obama has led independent swing-state voters in seven months, the pollsters wrote.

http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/20...obama-lead.php

Your three links are from Sept, Sept, and August! Well before Romney showed the nation that he isn't the caricature that Obama portrayed him as in his negative ads.

[W*GS]

Originally Posted by DBruleU

Your three links are from Sept, Sept, and August! Well before Romney showed the nation that he isn't the caricature that Obama portrayed him as in his negative ads.

You mean before Massachusetts Mitt cleverly kidnapped and hid Teabagger Mitt and took his place.

[DBruleU]

Originally Posted by W*GS

You mean before Massachusetts Mitt cleverly kidnapped and hid Teabagger Mitt and took his place.

Sure. Before that.

[pricejj]

The PPP poll is completely false, and is a blatant attempt to misinform or demoralize voters.

Here's a few facts:
1. Voter registration is down 20% in Cuyahoga County (Obama's only hope) since 2008. That number will not change because the voter deadline has past.
2. Total absentee ballots returned in Cuyahoga County = 31,000 (which is about 5% of expected voter turnout in that county).
3. Total absentee ballots requested in Ohio = 1.1 million (29% Democrat, 23.5% Republican).
4. Total number of people who have cast an early vote (in person), in Ohio: 56,000 (which is about 1% of expected total of votes cast in Ohio).

[pricejj]

1. What PPP did was to take the total amount of absentee ballots requested, so far, in Ohio (1.1M), and calculate that that was 18% to 19% of the total expected voter turnout...so far so good.

2. They then looked at the percentage breakdown of voter affiliation who have requested absentee ballots (not who have actually returned ballots, which is only about 5% of the total expected vote):
Democrat: 29%
Republican: 24%
Independent: 47%

3. The Obama campaign (which is what PPP really is), then added both Democrat and Independent absentee ballot requests together (29% + 47% = 76%)...and falsely claimed that they ALL voted for Obama. When, in fact, 95% of absentee ballots haven't been returned.

4. If you didn't catch it, basically PPP is claiming that every single independent absentee voter who has requested a ballot in Ohio has already submitted a vote for Obama.

[TonyR]

...if you were a low-information voter and watched the first debate with one man with energy and ideas (however deceptive) against a president who looked like he was making small talk with a bore at a cocktail party, you'd pick the challenger yourself. It turns out it wasn't the economy (it's been perking up lately) that's become the main challenge for Obama. Nor the Electoral College. Nor a motivated, radical GOP base. It turns out that the main challenge for Obama's re-election in the final stretch is Obama himself.

http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast....continues.html

[DBruleU]

The Romney Campaign Shredded A New Poll That Shows Obama Destroying Mitt Romney Among Early Voters

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/obama...#ixzz29O2Spydu

"First and foremost, only 5% of early voting has completed," Beeson wrote in the memo. "In 2008, nearly 16,000,000 votes were cast before Election Day in the swing states. So far this cycle, just over 950,000 votes have been cast – or 6.01%. Therefore, 94% of all early votes have not even been cast yet. To claim a “big advantage” based off of a phase that’s just 6% complete is almost as absurd as predicting the outcome of a baseball game after the second out."

The Romney campaign has a point. Reuters only found 361 voters that had already cast a ballot out of the 6,704 people sampled in total. When broken down by swing state, too, that sample crumbles to a small handful of voters.

Reuters/Ipsos' defense is that the poll lines up with its credibility interval, which it uses to determine the accuracy of polls. Still, it's difficult to make a broad determination on the all-important battleground states with samples of as few as two people in some states. Ipsos didn't respond to an immediate request for furhter comment.

"Despite what this poll has claimed, it is clear that Governor Romney is poised to over-perform among those who will vote before Election Day," Beeson wrote.