|01-06-2006, 12:25 PM||#1|
Join Date: Mar 2004
Week 16 playoffs or earlier?
I wanted to have this discussion primarily for the keeper league but I wanted to include discussions for geek and NPN/OM leagues as well.
Here is an article I found from askthecommish.com addressing this issue. Should the playoffs be in week 17, 16, or 15, or sooner?
It's becoming increasingly clear that strange things can happen in the final weeks of the NFL regular season when it comes to Fantasy Football.
In a great number of leagues the Fantasy Super Bowl comes in Week 16. Conventional wisdom has always been to avoid Week 17 fantasy contests because of the murkiness of so many playoff-bound teams deciding to rest their starters for the tournament - while the teams that have been eliminated often eschew playing to win in favor of player development. However, recent trends have shown that these concerns are manifesting themselves earlier than they ever have before. For, despite, the parity that we are supposedly seeing around the league, the top teams from the past three seasons have all finished with records as fine as 14-2 -- and many division winners have set their eventual playoff seed as early as Week 15.
This year, for example, by Week 16 the Colts were already beginning to take it easy with their premium starting players such as Edgerrin James, Peyton Manning, and Marvin Harrison. Fantasy owners who had ridden the coattails of any one (or more) of these players to their championship game had to aimlessly watch as their hopes of winning the big prize were irrecoverably dashed. What makes this situation even more difficult is that having a stud player's backup doesn't even necessarily guarantee you success, since the starter in this situation often DOES play as much as half of a game, leaving his backup to finish out the remainder.
A quick glance at the top 5 fantasy QBs in Week 16 reveals the following:
Three of these players had started the season as backups, while the other two were trigger-men for ineffective offenses. It's a guarantee that if you relied on one of these guys to win you your fantasy championship, well, you probably never even made it to the fantasy playoffs to begin with!
So what to do? Well, there are a couple of things that you can try in your league.
1. Shorten the length of your fantasy league's regular season. The regular season for many leagues ends after Week 13, leaving three rounds for the playoffs from weeks 14-16. If you end the regular season at, say, Week 11, then your playoffs would occur in weeks 12-14, which should dispel any of the risks that I alluded to above.
2. Shorten the playoffs to a single round. That's right: we're talking college bowl championship here. After 13 weeks, assuming you have a two-division system, the winner of one division matches wits against the other for a single game championship.
Of course, the drawback to either of these ideas is that, in making weeks 15 and 16 null and void, you are taking the thrill - at least from a fantasy perspective - out of the final 3 weeks of the NFL season.
Still, it beats the alternative of losing your FFL Super Bowl to the owner who went with Kelly Holcomb as his fantasy starting QB for the big game.
|01-06-2006, 11:39 PM||#2|
Livin the dream
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Smoggy SoCal
I'm all for an even more drastic move by eliminating playoffs and going with a overall season record being donned champ. It rewards the strongest team and doesnt let those flukey type of week 15-17 games even factor in unless they are already in a tight battle for Conference supremacy.
But then again, as CHAMPION of the Orangemane/Neck Pony League, I cant complain too much with my week 15-17 run
Sitting on a beach, earning 20%