[eddie mac]

Originally Posted by WhoIsJohnGalt

not quite correct. the #2 seed has to be a division winner. Indy has basically wrapped up #1 and NE can't challenge for #2, so the #2 seed is between the AFC West winner and the AFC North winner. Denver wins the 2nd tie breaker over Cincy right now. looking at the remaining schedules for all teams, the probabilities favor Denver for #2, which is precisely what i wrote. however, if both teams finish 3-1, then Cincy could win the 1st tie breaker over Denver. that's why Shanny needs to play all 4 games to win... no resting of starters. no doubt about it, Sunday's loss to KC could end being a big problem if Denver doesn't take care of the rest of their divisional schedule.

Denver has these games to play: Bal, @Buf, Oak, @SD
Cincy has these games to play: Cle, @Det, Buf, @KC

Denver has 1 divison loss. Cincy has 1 division loss. that would be the 1st tiebreaker if both finish with the same records. the 2nd tie breaker would be win/loss % over common opponents.

WRONG.

The 1st tiebreaker in seeding playoff teams is head to head the second is results in AFC Conference games not divisional games. Currently Denver is 6-2 and Cincy 6-3. How can you compare divisional games when neither team is in the same division?