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Old 08-11-2013, 09:50 AM   #22
spdirty
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Quentin Jammer
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Here you go Bacchus. From the footballguys rate my team app.

QB: Cam Newton, Joe Flacco
RB: Adrian Peterson, Maurice Jones-Drew, LeVeon Bell, Chris Ivory, Ahmad Bradshaw, Ronnie Hillman
WR: Julio Jones, Danny Amendola, Eric Decker, Steve Johnson
TE: Jermichael Finley, Owen Daniels
TD: Green Bay Packers

Overview:

Old school!

Make no mistake about it: this team is about strength at the running back position. And we think it will be among the top teams in the league. Somewhere Marshall Faulk is smiling.

Nonetheless, we'd be remiss if we didn't at least mention the relative lack of strength at quarterback and receiver. These are usually survivable weaknesses, but we'd feel better if we knew you were committed to zealously scouring the waiver wire for this year's emergent players at QB and WR. Getting a breakout player at one or both of those positions would take your already-good team to the next level.

Players we particularly like on this team include Owen Daniels and LeVeon Bell. We have both these guys ranked ahead of where they are typically being drafted.
Bottom line:

With great inseason management, we think you have about a 80 percent chance of making the playoffs.
With good inseason management, we think you have about a 65 percent chance of making the playoffs.
With average inseason management, we think you have a 51 percent chance of making the playoffs.

In any event, we wish you the best of luck. Here's hoping all your weeks are like week 13 of 2010:
Adrian Peterson vs. BUF: 108 combined yards, 3 TD
Chris Ivory vs. CIN: 117 combined yards, 2 TD
Ahmad Bradshaw vs. WAS: 105 combined yards, 2 TD
Maurice Jones-Drew vs. TEN: 190 combined yards

QB Summary:

We expect Cam Newton to be a solid starter. According to our projections, he's the #4 QB, so you should be better off than most teams in the starting quarterback slot.

As of now, we're not buying Joe Flacco as a viable backup quarterback. Even though Newton should be starting for you most weeks, we'd recommend an upgrade here if possible (we'll make some specific suggestions at the end of the report).

Incidentally, Flacco has what we project as a good matchup (BUF) during Newton's bye.

RB Summary:

Your starting running back group is a strength, particularly Adrian Peterson as a top running back. Our projections have Peterson ranked at #1 and Maurice Jones-Drew ranked at #18.

Your bench also looks good. We love LeVeon Bell as a third running back. Likewise, Chris Ivory should be excellent at RB4.

Since you're strong at the position, you probably don't absolutely need to roster more than four players here. Of your remaining guys, we like Ahmad Bradshaw the best, but you should keep the one you think has the best chance of putting up starter numbers. The rest might be considered expendable if you find you need roster space elsewhere.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Maurice Jones-Drew is ranked #4 by some of our writers, which would make him a great second running back and even a legitimate RB1. Jeff Tefertiller reasons, "I am very high on Jones-Drew this season, even with the recent news off the field. he should be fully recovered from the foot injury and ready to produce. The Jaguars will rely on their stud back once again."

WR Summary:

Your starting receivers should be adequate but not great. They don't stand out as difference-makers, but both should be OK. Julio Jones is our sixth ranked WR, and we have Danny Amendola at #16.

Eric Decker should serve as a very solid third receiver; he's a likely flex starter. Steve Johnson should also be solidly above average at WR4.

We might suggest adding a bit more depth here. See the end of the report for some suggestions on who to pick up.

Note that the above "thoughts" were generated by David Dodds's projections. Others have different takes:

Some members of our staff have Julio Jones ranked as high as second, which would make him an above average first receiver. Jeff Pasquino defends his high ranking as follows: "One of the most dynamic receivers in the NFL, the only things that keep him from being the top receiver overall are Calvin Johnson being THAT good and Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez stealing chances from Jones. Jones should be a dominant Top 3 wide receiver this year and for years to come."

Some of our staffers have Danny Amendola as high as #10, which would make him a great second receiver and even a legitimate WR1. Mark Wimer's take: "Someone among the wide receivers has to become Tom Brady's favorite target - Amendola has a skill set similar to Wes Welkers, and I am not a big believer in either Donald Jones or Julian Edelman. Thus, I think Amendola becomes a top-15 receiver this year almost by default IF he stays healthy. He'll be on the borderline between WR #1 and WR #2 numbers (Amendola is more attractive in PPR leagues, where (if healthy all year - the big IF with this guy) he should comfortably land among the WR #1 range). "

TE Summary:

Though neither of them is elite, you have two viable starting tight ends in Jermichael Finley and Owen Daniels. If one of them breaks out, or if you play the matchups well, you'll probably get good production from the position.

Defense Summary:

The Packers are probably not a difference-maker at defense, but they should be OK.

When you don't have an elite defense, one option is a committee approach. That is, try to get two cheap defenses whose schedules fit well together. Here are a few teams who we think may be available and whose schedules fit best with the Packers', along with the combined schedule that each would create:

Packers + Browns = MIA | BAL | CIN | CIN | BUF | DET | CLE | KC | CHI | PHI | CIN | PIT | JAX | ATL | CHI | NYJ
Packers + Giants = DAL | WAS | CIN | KC | PHI | CHI | CLE | PHI | CHI | PHI | NYG | DAL | DET | SD | DAL | PIT
Packers + Buccaneers = NYJ | NO | CIN | ARI | DET | PHI | CLE | CAR | CHI | PHI | NYG | DET | DET | BUF | DAL | PIT

Is this a dynasty team? Click here to find out how it might look for 2014 season.

Schedule Analysis
Green means GO (good matchup), red means STOP (bad matchup). Main starters highlighted

At the bottom of the table, the Relative Strength row shows you how strong we project your team to be, relative to your usual strength, in that week. This accounts for byes and matchups.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Joe Flacco DEN CLE HOU BUF MIA GB PIT CLE CIN CHI NYJ PIT MIN DET NE
Cam Newton SEA BUF NYG ARI MIN STL TB ATL SF NE MIA TB NO NYJ NO

LeVeon Bell TEN CIN CHI MIN NYJ BAL OAK NE BUF DET CLE BAL MIA CIN GB
Ahmad Bradshaw OAK MIA SF JAX SEA SD DEN HOU STL TEN ARI TEN CIN HOU KC
Maurice Jones-Drew KC OAK SEA IND STL DEN SD SF TEN ARI HOU CLE HOU BUF TEN
Ronnie Hillman BAL NYG OAK PHI DAL JAX IND WAS SD KC NE KC TEN SD HOU
Chris Ivory TB NE BUF TEN ATL PIT NE CIN NO BUF BAL MIA OAK CAR CLE
Adrian Peterson DET CHI CLE PIT CAR NYG GB DAL WAS SEA GB CHI BAL PHI CIN

Danny Amendola BUF NYJ TB ATL CIN NO NYJ MIA PIT CAR DEN HOU CLE MIA BAL
Eric Decker BAL NYG OAK PHI DAL JAX IND WAS SD KC NE KC TEN SD HOU
Steve Johnson NE CAR NYJ BAL CLE CIN MIA NO KC PIT NYJ ATL TB JAX MIA
Julio Jones NO STL MIA NE NYJ TB ARI CAR SEA TB NO BUF GB WAS SF

Owen Daniels SD TEN BAL SEA SF STL KC IND ARI OAK JAX NE JAX IND DEN
Jermichael Finley SF WAS CIN DET BAL CLE MIN CHI PHI NYG MIN DET ATL DAL PIT

Green Bay Packers SF WAS CIN DET BAL CLE MIN CHI PHI NYG MIN DET ATL DAL PIT

Relative Strength 101 100 101 100 94 97 103 106 101 100 104 101 101 101 101 101

Schedule and Matchup Notes:

Please note that the Relative strength numbers above account for both byes and matchups.

Remember that you might have starters on bye in a given week, but still have a high relative strength. This could occur because of favorable matchups, or it might be because you are projected to be missing less production than an average opponent will (your opponents have to deal with byes too).

Week 5 presents moderate bye week issues: LeVeon Bell and Adrian Peterson are not playing.

Julio Jones is out in week 6, but your opponent will likely have comparable issues with byes.

In weeks 4, 7, 8, 9, and 10 you'll probably be better off than your opponent, as far as byes are concerned.

Potential Free Agents
Listed in order of preference. We don't know exactly who is available in your league, but here is a list of players who might be available and could be upgrades over some of your depth players, listed in order of preference. Your players are listed in red for comparison. Players who might not mesh well with the bye weeks of your key players are grayed out.

QB: Matt Schaub (8), Ben Roethlisberger (5), Sam Bradford (11), Jay Cutler (8), Philip Rivers (8), Ryan Tannehill (6), Joe Flacco (8), Carson Palmer (9), Jake Locker (8), Brandon Weeden (10).

RB: Ben Tate (8), Vick Ballard (8), Danny Woodhead (8), Jacquizz Rodgers (6), Fred Jackson (12), Bernard Pierce (8), Pierre Thomas (7), Ronnie Hillman (9), Jonathan Stewart (4), Bryce Brown (12).

WR: DeAndre Hopkins (8), Kendall Wright (8), Alshon Jeffery (8), Sidney Rice (12), Darrius Heyward-Bey (8), Greg Little (10), Malcom Floyd (8), Brandon LaFell (4), Rueben Randle (9), Rod Streater (7), Ryan Broyles (9), Andre Roberts (9), Markus Wheaton (5), Stephen Hill (10), Aaron Dobson (10), Jeremy Kerley (10).

TE: Greg Olsen (4), Jared Cook (11), Owen Daniels (8), Jordan Cameron (10), Fred Davis (5), Kyle Rudolph (5), Antonio Gates (8), Brandon Pettigrew (9), Martellus Bennett (8), Dustin Keller (6).

TD: we don't necessarily recommend any roster moves here.
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