Originally Posted by spdirty
Because there isn't a very big dropoff between the highest scorer last year, Drew Brees, and say Tony Romo, who's basically the 10th-12th ranked QB this year. The difference between those 2 last year was actually about 5 points per week. This year Brees costs a 2nd rounder, while you can get a guy like Romo in the 8th-10th round. And you have guys like Ryan, Manning, Rodgers, RG3, Luck, Brady, Cam Newton, Kaepernick, Stafford, etc. all in between. There isn't much value there in getting the top QB anymore. Plus, in 99% of leagues you only start 1 QB.
Then you look at running backs, and every league you have to start 2-3 running backs, and there are only like 12 of them that can really be counted on. Good solid bellcows are pretty damn scarce anymore. So you really need to spend your first 2 picks, and 3 of your first 5 picks on a running back.
And actually what I've been doing in mocks this year thats given me the best looking results is going running back in rounds 1-3, and wide receiver in rounds 3-6. Then going with Romo and a high ceiling guy in RG3 or even wait longer and get another low risk high ceiling guy in Vick in the 10th-12th round, and like Bennett and Myers for my tight ends in rounds 9-10. Or even blow a 2nd on Graham if he gets to you there, then running back in rounds 1, 3, and 4. Your wideouts will still be OK in the 5th and 6th rounds, and you can still get your solid starter and high ceiling guy later on.
What you say is true. My plan was to get Matt Ryan or best available QB in the 5th round. I thought Cam would be gone by then and I had to choose. Ryan would have been the much safer pick so I am hoping I didn't mess up.
Getting Peterson in the 1st I figured I would be able to select the best WR available in the 2nd. Especially since it is the bottom of the second and I saw Jones there I was suprised. I then had the pick at the top of the third and grabbed MJD. Thereby solidifying the RBs barring injury of course.
If I would have had the last pick in the round and the first pick in the next round I think I would have gone two RBs. I looked at Graham's stats last year and he did not dominate and really didn't seem to be much more than average so I could not see spending a 2nd rounder on hkim. Maybe he'll bounce back.