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Old 01-16-2013, 11:11 AM   #192
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I said Do It!

Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Lake Forest, Orange County, Calif.
Posts: 23,371

Simon Fletcher

Originally Posted by CEH View Post
Here is a different take maybe

With what Fox did he took the percentage of 93% and gave his defense the onus to win the game. He would not have left the offense any time to really do anything

Now with scenerio #2 you take a shot to win the game with the guy you brought in to do just that. If you fail you still have about a 90% chance to win the game and if they score you leave time for PFM to go down and kick a FG

Now we are just quibbling because as it turned out Denver had a 99% chance to win the game with Fox's scenrio
Actually, it was a 13% chance to score a TD at that time with field position and time on the clock. If we ran a pass play and it was incomplete, the Ravens chances of a touchdown was doubled to 26%.
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