Originally Posted by pricejj
Exactly. It's not "luck" that NE is +24. They are coached to gang tackle and strip the ball. More guys around the ball + guys trying to strip the ball all the time = +24.
IAOFM are morons for trying to preach that it's just pure dumb luck.
don't be a moron, IAOFM is not saying turnover differential is luck, they are saying fumble recovery is luck.
though, yes, luck plays a large role in the former as well. look at the huge variations in turnover differential from year to year. San Francisco was +28 last year, they are +6 this year with the exact same team and the exact same coaching staff. It is not luck that Tom Brady never throws interceptions, but there is quite a bit of luck involved in difference between throwing 3 on the year, and throwing, say, 7. As one example.