Originally Posted by Gutless Drunk
I actually thought it would be a lot higher. I did the numbers to support the theory that we are too predictable on 1st down. The numbers didn't really bear that out.
The problem is that you are taking all their 1st downs into account. If you look at our 1st downs when we have the lead or are tied I'm willing to bet your theory proves correct. Just because we start throwing on 1st down when things get dicey, doesn't mean we don't have predictable tendencies otherwise.