Originally Posted by Kaylore
I don't see either candidate winning in a land-slide. Surprised at both groups saying it will go that way. I guarantee it will not be a landslide. Gallup has republicans at a 2% advantage over Dems in voter identification this election cycle. They and Rassmussen have Romney ahead of Obama nationally. I honestly don't think Obama "wins in a landslid" especially with independents trending toward Romney.
Nor do I see a situation where Romney wins in landslide. Most recent polling has him down in Ohio and tied in Michigan, wisconsin and down in Pennsylvania with a sligh edge in Colorado and Iowa. Assuming those break the way they are trending, Obama would squeak by. Romney would need to steal Ohio, Michigan or Pennsylvania, or yield Ohio and steal Iowa, Wisconsin, and one other blue. That seems unlikely.
Regardless, the +300 prediction on either side is extremely unlikely.
Where in sam hell are you getting your polling information?
Let's take a look at the polls, shall we? They're on the right-hand side of the page. You can expand them to show all states and polls:
Michigan - Only ONE poll in the past 2 months has Romney up, and that's by 0.6%. Every other poll shows Obama up 5-15 points. Polling average has Obama up 6.4 points.
Wisconsin - Only ONE poll in the past 2 months has Romney tied. Every other poll has Obama up 2-8 points. Polling average has Obama up by 4.8 points.
Colorado - Polling average has Obama up 1.6 points
Iowa - Only TWO polls over the past 2 months have Romney up, and that's by 1%. Every other poll has Obama up 1-5 points. Polling average has Obama up 3 points.
Pennsylvania and Ohio polling averages have Obama up 5.6 and 3.4 points, respectively.
Even if Obama were to lose any race he's not ahead by 3 or more points (something which is unprecedented with this amount of polling information this close to an election), that would mean he takes MI, WI, OH, PA, NV and IA, which puts him at 277.
Then you still have NH (O +2.8), VA (O +1.7), NC (R +1.7) and FL (R +0.2).
But that's beside the point. Again, where
are you getting your polling information?