Originally Posted by Kaylore
I didn't know the numbers were nit-picked when I posted it, honestly. I did review it and saw this
You are aware Romney is leading Independent voters by double-digits across the board, right? And as I've always said, I think we could see an electoral win with a popular vote loss. I do not believe Obama is as safe as people around here believe, though.
I don't think it's safe or in the bag for Obama at all, but I do think the electoral breakdown favors him right now. Romney's going to dominate the vote in the Bible-belt, so he very well could take the popular vote but drop the EC. I think El Minion posted a break down that showed Obama with leads ranging from 3-5 points in the Northeast, Southwest, and Northwest, but down 22 points in the Southeast (I might be a little off on the that...maybe El Minion can repost). In other words, in the states Romney already has in the bag, he's completely dominating the vote, which could result in a popular vote edge. However, the polling in toss up states has been pretty steady the last couple of weeks. Romney tightened things after the first debate, but contrary to GOP claims the momentum appears to have stopped and the numbers in those states are remaining fairly constant. Of course, some of those Obama leads are within the margin of error, so we'll see.