****in' hell man. You really think some scrub from the National Review is going to game Nate Silver?
People got a lot of learning to do about statistics. Fact is, Silver's model is likely being swayed by fickle state polls that are currently oversampling the right under pretenses that the right is more "energized". He's still winding up with a strong chance of Obama winning.
The right this year sounds A LOT like the left did in 2004. "Nah uh! our guy closed the gap big time after that first debate. You wait and see! Them polls are wrong, its' way closer, I can feel it!"
Yeah, sure. Talk to you on election night at about midnight when Ohio is called blue. That coming after Wisconsin, Iowa, Virginia, and likely New Hampshire are called blue before it.
Obama is ahead in state polls and has by far the better ground game. The GOP's only hope is massive voter disenfranchisement.