This morning, Obama is back to a 1.3-point lead, 48.5-47.2.
But what's more, most of the States That Matter never looked as bleak as the national polling did. PPP's national numbers will be the most pessimistic for Obama this week, by far. Yet their Ohio poll, conducted over pretty much the same time frame, gave Obama a 51-46 lead—compared to a 49-45 lead before the debate. NBC/Marist gave Obama a 51-45 Ohio lead, while CNN a 51-47 lead. Including all the crap GOP baby Rasmussens, Obama still leads the state 48.4-45.5
Indeed, Ohio is symptomatic of the Midwest, where Romney has been unable to claw his way back into serious contention in Michigan, Pennsylvania or Wisconsin. Without those four states, Romney has to run the board on every other remaining battleground to win—Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina and Virginia. Narrow Romney leads in Florida, North Carolina and Virginia won't be enough.