Quote:
Originally Posted by DBruleU
That's the entire point. We are inundated with poll after poll showing Obama up big in these states. Both campaigns know that their own polls show the race much closer.
This thread was created in order to discredit a pollster who historically has been very accurate. A pollster who is showing Romney doing much better than all the other polls show. Going by Rasmussen's poll, Romney isn't in as bad a shape as we are led to believe. Romney doesn't have to swing 7% of the vote. That 7% was not the norm, and this election will return to the norm that we are used to seeing. If that happens, and Romney wins more of the I vote, which polling shows he is, than he has a good chance swinging some of these close states.
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Rassmussen was right on voter turnout in 2010, but he was way off on the percentages in the races by an average of 3 to 4 points. Houghtam also illustrated how off he was in the battle ground states. His national numbers were good, as were most places. He has done a poor job analyzing states with shifting electorates. I know you guys hate Obama big time, but I don't see how you can try an attempt to discredit most polls out there who by in large, have Obama leading in almost all battleground states.
I also don't think you understand how hard the electoral map will be for Mitt if he doesn't win Florida. That means he has to get states like CO, NV, NM, NH and IA to even = the electoral count that he would not receive if Obama lost Florida. And it's still not enough.