So...Rasmussen is pretty accurate, huh?
Bottom line is this. Either Rasmussen, or all his critics are gonna owe someone a big apology after election day. One of them will be right, and the other wrong. I'll look at history and say Rasmussen knows his stuff. Also, Rasmussen does more polling than anybody, and he nailed the party identification in 2004, 2006, 2008 and 2010. He's giving Obama a +3 in his polls at the moment with Romney polling better with Independents. All other polls are +7 and even some +11. To believe that, you have to believe Obama's increased his base. You're really saying that with a down economy, and a lackluster 3 1/2 years so far, Obama increased? Highly, highly doubtful. If Obama is up so bigt in all these stats, why does he spend so much time there? A state like IA for example. He's supposedly up big in that state according to some polls, yet he spends time there, in a state with 6 EV? Doesn't compute with reality.
In 2010 he predicted a huge R turnout, and the media and other polls turned on him. How did that turn out? Well, just the largest turnover since 1938.
Whether Rasmussen will be right or wrong remains to be seen. But based on past elections and his accuracy, he demands respect.