its close right now. Id agree with LABF on the proposition that Kerry is probably ahead in the popular and electoral vote right now. Alot of polls say he is up around 2 or 3 but in reality thats more like 6 or 7. Undecideds generally break towards the challenger and Bush has struggled to get his approval rating back up over 50. Its around 48 or something, he needs to get it up to around 54,55 by election day. While money isnt going to be the advantage that Bush thought he would have i really think the 41 or so million the White House invested very early this year in building an even better election day ground team and infrastructure is going to keep Bush right in the thick of it. Im hoping W can pull it off but it seems right now if nothing changes Kerry will win by a few percentage points. It is still early though.