Originally posted by ZachKC
I bet the Jets beat the Patriots....you heard it here first folks.
Let's assume that happens, but that things go otherwise as I posted above.
Chiefs, Colts and Patriots would all finish 13-3.
They'd all have the same confernce record - each with 2 AFC losses and 1 NFC loss.
They'd have 3 common opponents between themselves (Denver, Buffalo and Houston). This gets funky. The tiebreaker says "minimum of 4" but I'm not sure whether they mean 4 common opponents or 4 common games. If it's 4 common opponents, we skip down tothe next tiebreaker. If it's just 4 common games, then the Chiefs would be 3-1, the Pats would be 3-1, and the Colts would be 4-0.
So Pats and Chiefs would go to "strength of victory" rules.
At the moment, the Chief's S.O.V. rating is 6 (2 over the Chargers) + 8 (two over the Raiders) + 9 (one over the Broncos) + 8 (Ravens) + 8 (Packers) + 6 (Bills) + 5 (Texans) +4 (Browns) + 4 (Lions) for total of 53.
At the moment, the Pat's S.O.V. rating is 11 (Eagles) + 6 (Jets) + 10 (Titans) + 9 (Broncos) + 4 (Browns) + 16 (2 over Dolphins), + 4 (Giants) + 5 (Texans) + 9 (Dallas) +11 (Colts) + 4 (Jags) for a total of 89.
Not even close.
Unless the Chiefs win out, they really need the Broncos to knock off the Colts this week in order to get a first round BYE.