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Old 01-22-2008, 07:55 PM   #329
Bronx33
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Mirtle crunches the playoff numbers


The playoff push: 95 points or bust

It's back again.

This season, the eighth-place Western Conference team is on pace for right around 94 points. In the Eastern Conference, that number's about 86 or 87.

I'm going to use big round target numbers to start — 95 and 90 — and potentially make minor adjustments as we go.

Here's a look at the record each team needs to attain that projected point mark and (essentially) guarantee a playoff berth (after Sunday's games):

Western Conference (95 points)

1. Detroit - 10-22-1
2. San Jose - 19-16-0
3. Dallas - 17-14-0
4. Anaheim - 17-13-1
5. Minnesota - 19-15-0
6. Colorado - 19-14-1
7. Calgary - 19-13-1
8. Vancouver - 20-13-0
9. Columbus - 21-13-1
10. Phoenix - 21-12-1
11. Nashville - 21-12-1
12. St. Louis - 22-13-1
13. Chicago - 22-11-1
14. Edmonton - 23-9-0
15. Los Angeles - 27-5-1

Eastern Conference (90 points)

1. Ottawa - 13-21-0
2. Philadelphia - 16-19-1
3. New Jersey - 16-18-1
4. Pittsburgh - 16-18-0
5. Montreal - 17-18-0
6. Boston - 18-16-1
7. N.Y. Islanders - 19-15-0
8. N.Y. Rangers - 20-13-0
9. Washington - 20-13-1
10. Carolina - 19-12-0
11. Buffalo - 22-13-0
12. Atlanta - 20-11-1
13. Toronto - 22-11-0
14. Florida - 22-11-0
15. Tampa Bay - 23-10-1


What is this?
It's the return of the playoff push. To the chagrin of hockey-stat junkies everywhere, consider this the most basic standings watch you'll see anywhere. (Here's what it looked like last season at the end of the year.)

It's all based on the premise that, if you get 90 to 95 points in the standings (depending on conference), you'll make the playoffs. There's a chance you can sneak in with less, especially in the Eastern Conference, but under the NHL's kooky everybody-gets-a-point system, this is pretty close to what teams need to get in.

Which means we can eliminate Los Angeles.
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