Originally Posted by TheReverend
Will you post your thought process leading to those bets so we can maintain generating discussion?
St Louis Rams (-1) over Carolina Panthers.
The line for this game look very weak to me. The Rams defense got a lot better last year under new head-coach and I expect them to improve this year and despite a very mediocre preseason their offense is still good IMO. Steven Jackson and Bulger to Holt / Bruce can control the clock and score points.
On the other hand the Panthers look like a declining team. Other than Smith no one scares me in the lineup, their defense is still good (in the NFC) but not enough to take over a game.
Add the fact that it is Rams home opener and on turf and I just can’t understand how the Rams are not at least -3.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans. Under 38
I will avoid the spread in this game but will take the under.
Both teams are much different than last year and both coaches will be conservative trying not to lose the first game. Kubiak will put the ball in his ‘new toy’ hand’s Green while Herm will be Herm.
Both QBs are not scoring machine and both defenses might be good enough to slow each other.
Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars. Under 38
Once again I will go with Under 38 on this game (trendy pick for me).
The Jaguars defense is good enough to slow down whatever is left on the Titans offense, while Tennessee can focus on stopping Taylor/Jones with 8-9 in the box. Gerrard have almost no threats to work with.
Should be a hot and humid weather that will not help.
Minnesota Vikings (-3) over Atlanta Falcons.
Atlanta problem are well documented. The coaching change in Atlanta will also help the #1 rush defense of last year to stop the ground game which look very anemic in preseason. Harrington to Horn just doesn’t sound dangerous.
The Vikings will rely heavily on the ground game and defense. If they can rattle Harrington they will sail for an easy win.
New England Patriots @ New York Jets. Under 41
Not much reasoning here, I just have a feeling of a low scoring, field position battle. Wouldn’t invest much here.
Chicago Bears (+6) over San Diego Chargers.
It will take the Chargers few weeks to adjust to the new coaches, the Bears defense is still very strong and I see them going after Rivers with multiply packages. Chicago can score in many ways against an unorganized, undisciplined Norv’s squad.
6 points is just too much IMO.