Jeter. Only Pujols has a better WARP3 than him in the last 2 years. What people have to realize is that his position is being undervalued. He may have overrated defense, but he still plays the hardest position in baseball and plays it well enough.
But, he won't win it. People saying he will definitely should note that several writers believe in 3/4 hitters winning the award. Not to mention the whole, "second best ss on his own team," ordeal.
And a pitcher should be able to win MVP.