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View Full Version : The Stat: The Broncos' 84.2 percent completion percentage to tight ends


Bronco Rob
11-05-2009, 07:42 AM
The Stat: The Broncos' 84.2 percent completion percentage to tight ends.


The Breakdown: This statistic isn't as dramatic as the others. There are several tight ends with catch rates in the 80s right now, including Dallas Clark and Heath Miller. But the Broncos are getting surprising productivity from a pair of ordinary tight ends. Daniel Graham has caught 15 of 17 passes thrown to him for 176 yards. Tony Scheffler has caught 17 of 21 passes for 226 yards. Scheffler and Graham ranked first and third in the league in DVOA entering last week, though they dropped to second and seventh after the Ravens game.

For Scheffler and Graham, catch rates only tell part of the story. Tight ends, particularly blocking specialists like Graham, usually catch more than their share of micro-short passes, two-yard outlet receptions in the flat on second-and-10. However, only three receptions by the Broncos tight ends netted less than five yards, and one of those receptions was a touchdown. Scheffler and Graham have combined for 19 first downs and five plays of 20 or more yards. They've been overshadowed by Brandon Marshall and Eddie Royal, but Scheffler and Graham have kept the chains moving.


The Implications: Versatile tight ends give coaches formation flexibility. When the Broncos leave the huddle with two tight ends, two receivers, and one back, they can line up in anything from a power-running formation to a spread attack. This versatility was used to maximum advantage against the Cowboys. When the Broncos couldn't generate any offense early in the game, they started using more two-tight end power formations. Not only were they able to run the ball, but they were consistently able to isolate Graham against Keith Brooking, resulting in a pair of 15-yard gains.

Interestingly, the No. 1 tight end in the league right now, according to DVOA, is Ben Watson. It's good to be the big guy in a Patriots-style spread offense.

The Future: Tight end catch rates typically settle into the 70s by season's end. With Kyle Orton at quarterback, it's hard to project an 84 percent catch rate for any receiver for an extended period of time. For the Broncos offense to remain productive, Scheffler and Graham must remain high-percentage targets, and they must also keep averaging over 10 yards per reception.



http://www.footballoutsiders.com/walkthrough/2009/walkthrough-its-good-life

loborugger
11-05-2009, 11:34 AM
But the Broncos are getting surprising productivity from a pair of ordinary tight ends.

Scheff is much like Sharpe, a large wide out. I call BS on that line.

Bronco Warrior
11-05-2009, 12:09 PM
Scheffler coming in to the season had more catches yards and YPC that any TE in the league. Shanny took advanage of Scheff's size and speed and Cutler's arm to get Scheff plenty of deep middle seams routes against Safties or LBs for huge gains, actually Graham wasn't bad at those either. Orton doesn't have the skill or arm to take advantage of the big play striking capability of Scheffler, and that's disappointing to them I'm sure.

There is nothing ordinary about Scheffler or Graham for that matter! Graham has great hands!!

Beantown Bronco
11-05-2009, 12:17 PM
Scheffler coming in to the season had more catches yards and YPC that any TE in the league.

What?

At the end of last season, he wasn't even top 10 in catches and was only #8 in yards:

http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorystats?archive=true&conference=null&statisticPositionCategory=TIGHT_END&season=2008&seasonType=REG&experience=null&tabSeq=1&qualified=true&Submit=Go

Bronco Warrior
11-05-2009, 12:19 PM
What?

At the end of last season, he wasn't even top 10 in any of those categories:

http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorystats?archive=true&conference=null&statisticPositionCategory=TIGHT_END&season=2008&seasonType=REG&experience=null&tabSeq=1&qualified=true&Submit=Go

It was from 2006 to '08..my bad, and It was catched and Yards per average...sorry was very specific was I? My Bad!

It was a NFLN quote so don't blame me lol!

Rabb
11-05-2009, 12:21 PM
jesus christ

SoCalBronco
11-05-2009, 02:40 PM
I stopped reading when they called Tony "ordinary".

elsid13
11-05-2009, 02:49 PM
I stopped reading when they called Tony "ordinary".

I bet if he played for Dallas, NY or Steelers he wouldn't be deemed ordinary

The Joker
11-05-2009, 03:48 PM
The more two TE sets we run the better as far as I'm concerned.

Individually they're not elite players, but it's certainly one of the better duos in the league.

Swedish Extrovert
11-05-2009, 04:15 PM
Ordinary Tight Ends?

I though TE was one of our strong points ???

Archer81
11-05-2009, 04:16 PM
Graham and Sheffler are not ordinary. They both are very good at what they do.

:Broncos:

Swedish Extrovert
11-05-2009, 04:19 PM
Put it this way: Graham is a top-tier blocker at TE, and a solid receiver... Scheff might drop a few, and isn't a great blocker, but he busts a lot of big plays for a TE.

watermock
11-05-2009, 04:23 PM
It's no surprise here. McD's offense features 2 TE's, and we have 2 elite.

Say what you want about Shanny, but he left ALOT of talent for McD.

He traded Portis, and got bit by Tater, Clarret,Henry and Torain.

Altho I give alot of credit to both McD and Nolan for the D's turnaround, individual plays by remaining players on O have pulled victory from the jaws of defeat on at least 3 occasions.

God, Slowick was horrible. As good as Nolan has been, I can't help myself from wondering what a Shanny/Fisher duo might have done W/Cutler.

oubronco
11-05-2009, 04:34 PM
Graham and Sheffler are not ordinary. They both are very good at what they do.

:Broncos:

their "SPECIAL"

watermock
11-05-2009, 04:36 PM
Also, I'm not very impressed with our draft, consider this: We had 3 #1's, and traded a nother #2 for Quinn who is worthless. Moreso, we had a strength at TE.

Again considering we spent 6 of 9 on offense, I don't see much, altho the FA'd and D has been outstanding thru FA.

azbroncfan
11-05-2009, 04:42 PM
Again considering we spent 6 of 9 on offense, I don't see much, altho the FA'd and D has been outstanding thru FA.

It's hard to argue considering the offense is the weakness of this team right now. I figured you would be posting a little more after the loss last weekend.

watermock
11-05-2009, 05:00 PM
It's hard to argue considering the offense is the weakness of this team right now. I figured you would be posting a little more after the loss last weekend.


That's funny. The offense was strong, the fact is, they they were forced into the passing game because they had a cell phone rep at RB the D wasn't able to stop a grandma.

We got 2 good RB's now, 3 if they would let hillis on the field.

watermock
11-05-2009, 05:04 PM
I'm posting just fine. Mostly in the NPR room.

I'm just letting the circle jerk run it's course.

mhgaffney
11-05-2009, 05:31 PM
Too bad we don't throw to Sheff and Graham MORE often.

DeuceOfClub
11-05-2009, 07:13 PM
"Are the Broncos TEs for real?"