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Rock Chalk
10-01-2009, 07:35 PM
CBS
Prisco SU: Dallas
Harmon SU: Denver
Prisco ATS: Dallas
Harmon ATS: Denver
Judge ATS: Denver
Urbano ATS: Dallas
Madden ATS: Denver
Richard ATS: Dallas

ESPN
Allen: Dallas
Golic: Dallas
Hoge: Dallas
Jaws: Dallas
Mort: Denver
Schefter: Dallas
Stink: Dallas
Wickersham: Denver
Accuscore: Dallas
Pick'em: Dallas

FoxSports (WhatIfSports)
Dallas: 69.8%
Schrager: Dallas

Yahoo Sports
Cole: Dallas
Robinson: Denver
Silver: Dallas
Yahoo Users: Dallas

Sporting News
Iyer: Denver
Greenberg: Dallas
Brown: Dallas
Breer: Dallas
RealScouts: Dallas
Lande: Dallas
Dillon: Denver

NFL Network
Sterling Sharpe: Denver
Brian Baldinger: Dallas
Joe Theisman: Denver

So of the picks Straight Up (which are all but the ATS picks from CBS), Denver has 8 votes of 28 total.

I get the skepticism, sorta. But why exactly is everyone so confident about Dallas? They haven't looked impressive to me.

So of the picks Straight Up (which are all but the ATS picks from CBS), Denver has 6 votes of 25 total.

I get the skepticism, sorta. But why exactly is everyone so confident about Dallas? They haven't looked impressive to me.

Chris
10-01-2009, 07:44 PM
Schefter picked Dallas. I want to see the rationale.

Gcver2ver3
10-01-2009, 07:48 PM
CBS
Prisco SU: Dallas
Harmon SU: Denver
Prisco ATS: Dallas
Harmon ATS: Denver
Judge ATS: Denver
Urbano ATS: Dallas
Madden ATS: Denver
Richard ATS: Dallas

ESPN
Allen: Dallas
Golic: Dallas
Hoge: Dallas
Jaws: Dallas
Mort: Denver
Schefter: Dallas
Stink: Dallas
Wickersham: Denver
Accuscore: Dallas
Pick'em: Dallas

FoxSports (WhatIfSports)
Dallas: 69.8%
Schrager: Dallas

Yahoo Sports
Cole: Dallas
Robinson: Denver
Silver: Dallas
Yahoo Users: Dallas

Sporting News
Iyer: Denver
Greenberg: Dallas
Brown: Dallas
Breer: Dallas
RealScouts: Dallas
Lande: Dallas
Dillon: Denver


So of the picks Straight Up (which are all but the ATS picks from CBS), Denver has 6 votes of 25 total.

I get the skepticism, sorta. But why exactly is everyone so confident about Dallas? They haven't looked impressive to me.

c'mon Stink...

Gcver2ver3
10-01-2009, 07:49 PM
NFL Network
Sterling Sharpe - Denver
Brian Baldinger - Dallas
Joe Theisman - Denver

Rock Chalk
10-01-2009, 07:49 PM
NFL Network
Sterling Sharpe - Denver
Brian Baldinger - Dallas
Joe Theisman - Denver

Damn I forgot about them and they were the reason I went and looked it all up.

Rocket 7
10-01-2009, 07:50 PM
Same experts who had us at 0-3? Matt Millen school of thought I see.

SoDak Bronco
10-01-2009, 07:52 PM
Dallas Cowboys (2-1) at Denver Broncos (3-0)
Line: Cowboys by 3. Total: 42.5.
Walt's Projected Line (Before Week 3): Cowboys -3.
Walt's Projected Line (After Week 3): Cowboys -1.
Sunday, 4:15 ET

The Game. Edge: Broncos. http://walterfootball.com/images/fball/star.gif
NFL Injuries: AFC Injuries (http://stats.walterfootball.com/merge/tsnform.aspx?c=walterfootball&page=nfl/injuries/injury.aspx?conf=AFC) | NFC Injuries (http://stats.walterfootball.com/merge/tsnform.aspx?c=walterfootball&page=nfl/injuries/injury.aspx?conf=NFC)

With the 2009 NFL Season underway, I'll be posting my Jerks of the Week on Wednesdays because I'll be tied up on Sundays. Jerks of the Week (http://walterfootball.com/jerksoftheweek.php) for Sept. 28, 2009 are up, so just click the link. This week's jerks are: 1) People Who Complain About Racism in Cartoons. 2) My Friend and Me. 3) Me.

DALLAS OFFENSE: The Cowboys' offense has looked great for one half this year. Tony Romo torched Tampa Bay's awful secondary two weeks ago. Since then, all he has done is throw interceptions and dumb passes across the field that most teams would turn into a pick-six. I can't really say that Romo misses Terrell Owens because Owens isn't doing anything this year, but something seems really off.

Luckily, Felix Jones and Tashard Choice bailed out Romo on Monday night against a horrific Carolina defense. Don't count on that again. I don't know how they're doing it, but the Broncos have done a phenomenal job shutting down the run thus far, holding opposing backs to 3.2 yards per carry.

It looks like Choice will be Dallas' primary ball-carrier this week. Marion Barber has swelling in his quad and Jones has a sprained PCL. I like Choice, but what if he gets banged up? Or what if he needs a breather? The Cowboys could be in trouble here.

If Dallas has problems running the ball and Romo is consequently in long-yardage situations, the Broncos' hectic pass rush (10 sacks) should be able to force him into a turnover or two.

DENVER OFFENSE: The Cowboys' problem this year is the same one they had at the end of last season. They cannot stop the run. They're giving up 4.9 yards per carry, and it makes you wonder what Jeff Davidson was thinking by giving DeAngelo Williams only 11 rushes.

The Broncos have run the ball a lot this year and have done so effectively with Knowshon Moreno leading the way. Denver's offensive line is arguably the NFL's best, so look for them to pound the rock for tons of big gains.

Assuming Denver's ground attack is working, Kyle Orton's play-action fakes should be able to neutralize Dallas' pass rush. Orton still throws like a 12-year-old girl, but if all he has to do is convert a bunch of 3rd-and-2s and 3rd-and-3s, that's definitely not a problem.

RECAP: I can't believe I'm saying this because I've been down on them all offseason, but I love the Broncos here for three reasons:

First, this is a statement game for Denver. Every single media outlet (including this one) is saying that the team's 3-0 start is a fluke and that the Bengals should have won in Week 1. While that may be true, this is the Broncos' opportunity to let the nation know that they are for real.

Second, this is a classic matchup between overrated versus underrated. The public loves the overrated Cowboys in this game because of their offense. However, Dallas' defense is garbage and will be torn up by Denver's ground attack. The Broncos' defense has been amazing this season, so if they can keep it up, they'll win this game.

And third, this line is out of control. What have the Cowboys done to be 3-point favorites at Denver? Beat the horrific Buccaneers and squeak by the tanking Panthers? Dallas' two victories have come against teams that are a combined 0-6. We're getting a lot of value here with the Broncos because based on talent alone, this spread should be Denver -2 or -3.


The Psychology. Edge: Broncos. http://walterfootball.com/images/fball/star.gif http://walterfootball.com/images/fball/star.gif
The Broncos are 3-0, yet everyone (including myself) is saying that their record is a fluke and that they shouldn't have beaten the Bengals. While that may be true, this will definitely be a statement game for them against the Cowboys.


The Vegas. Edge: Broncos. http://walterfootball.com/images/fball/star.gif http://walterfootball.com/images/fball/star.gif
It should not surprise you that the public is all over the Cowboys.
Percentage of money on Dallas: 77% (13,000 bets)


The Trends. Edge: Cowboys. http://walterfootball.com/images/fball/star.gif Cowboys are 10-5 ATS after a loss since 2006.
Tony Romo is 20-9 ATS as a starter before Dec. 1.
Tony Romo is 11-6 ATS on the road.
Wade Phillips is 1-3 ATS after a Monday night game.
Broncos are 17-10 ATS at home when the line is -3 to +3 the previous 25 instances.
Opening Line: Cowboys -3.
Opening Total: 43.5.
Weather: .
For more trends, check out the Gaming Matchups (http://stats.walterfootball.com/merge/tsnform.aspx?c=walterfootball&page=nfl/gaming/nflmatches.htm) or the Expanded NFL Analysis (http://stats.walterfootball.com/merge/tsnform.aspx?c=walterfootball&page=nfl/stats/matchuplist.aspx).


Week 4 NFL Pick: Broncos 23, Cowboys 13
Broncos +3 (5 Units)
Under 42.5 (.5 Units)

Rock Chalk
10-01-2009, 07:55 PM
I just got wood reading one of the snippets in the above post:

"the Broncos' hectic pass rush"

WHo ever would have thought hectic pass rush and Broncos would be in the same sentence?

Rulon Velvet Jones
10-01-2009, 08:36 PM
Cowboys players, today, were saying how the Denver defense reminds them of Baltimore in the way of confusion, giving a number of looks and attacking from different positions.

L.A. BRONCOS FAN
10-01-2009, 08:41 PM
No surprise re: the BSPN picks. :oyvey:

L.A. BRONCOS FAN
10-01-2009, 08:42 PM
Cowboys players, today, were saying how the Denver defense reminds them of Baltimore in the way of confusion, giving a number of looks and attacking from different positions.

Was thinking the exact same thing earlier today. If fact, the whole team reminds me of the 2000 Ravens in many ways.

BroncoMan4ever
10-01-2009, 08:45 PM
i feel really good this weekend after dropping 200 on this game. Denver +3 against Dallas just screams free money to me.

L.A. BRONCOS FAN
10-01-2009, 08:46 PM
Second, this is a classic matchup between overrated versus underrated. The public loves the overrated Cowboys in this game because of their offense. However, Dallas' defense is garbage and will be torn up by Denver's ground attack. The Broncos' defense has been amazing this season, so if they can keep it up, they'll win this game.

^ this.

wolf754life
10-01-2009, 09:11 PM
respect is earned, not given.... huge statement game for this team.

Los Broncos
10-01-2009, 09:24 PM
I just got wood reading one of the snippets in the above post:

"the Broncos' hectic pass rush"

WHo ever would have thought hectic pass rush and Broncos would be in the same sentence?

I thought it be a year or two, but good to see it back.

Archer81
10-01-2009, 09:25 PM
respect is earned, not given.... huge statement game for this team.


This phrase is quickly being overused.


:Broncos:

baja
10-01-2009, 09:49 PM
Defense = Perfect Storm.

uplink
10-01-2009, 09:52 PM
Schefter picked Dallas. I want to see the rationale.

He was asked who had the best restaurants.

cutthemdown
10-01-2009, 10:04 PM
any town with Casa Bonita wins hands down.

yerner
10-01-2009, 10:06 PM
I just want to punch it down their throat. Continue to make Orton unimportant. Its just great watching them run the ball.

Bronx33
10-01-2009, 10:11 PM
xspurts

Rock Chalk
10-01-2009, 10:38 PM
I thought it be a year or two, but good to see it back.

NeedAPassRush is going to have to change his name soon :)

Rock Chalk
10-01-2009, 10:39 PM
any town with Casa Bonita wins hands down.

You cant be serious. Casa Bonita is garbage.

Los Broncos
10-01-2009, 10:43 PM
NeedAPassRush is going to have to change his name soon :)

I hope it comes to that, how about "haveapassrush"

Rock Chalk
10-01-2009, 11:00 PM
For the record: ESPN Sunday Countdown Experts:
Ditka: Dallas
MeShawn: Dallas
Carter: Dallas
Tommy Jackson: Denver (you betcha TJ, way to represent)

Rock Chalk
10-01-2009, 11:00 PM
For the record: ESPN Sunday Countdown Experts:
Ditka: Dallas
MeShawn: Dallas
Carter: Dallas
Tommy Jackson: Denver (you betcha TJ, way to represent)

Edit: And TJ is winning his pickem pool by 4 games over his closest competitor.

Sassy
10-01-2009, 11:07 PM
Isn't TD on NFLN anymore?

Malcontent
10-01-2009, 11:09 PM
i feel really good this weekend after dropping 200 on this game. Denver +3 against Dallas just screams free money to me.

Then why only $200?Ha!

Rock Chalk
10-01-2009, 11:17 PM
Isn't TD on NFLN anymore?

I see him from time to time but not often.

To be fair, he really doesn't have a great on air personality. He stumbles through words and thoughts a lot.

Steve Sewell
10-01-2009, 11:20 PM
Did these guys take into account the game is at Mile High?

And that the Cowboys are coached by Wade Phillips?

And that the Broncos are pretty talented on both sides of the ball and well coached?

I seriously think these guys don't put a lot of thought into these picks. Exactly what have the Cowboys done this year and in recent years to make them such a lock? Build a stadium?

cutthemdown
10-01-2009, 11:31 PM
You cant be serious. Casa Bonita is garbage.

Yeah maybe, but when I was 5 yrs old living in Denver man it was like the best thing ever!!!!

Rock Chalk
10-01-2009, 11:38 PM
Yeah maybe, but when I was 5 yrs old living in Denver man it was like the best thing ever!!!!

Oh well its ok for kids. I went there when I was like 8 or something but the food was terrible.

Archer81
10-02-2009, 12:33 AM
Did these guys take into account the game is at Mile High?

And that the Cowboys are coached by Wade Phillips?

And that the Broncos are pretty talented on both sides of the ball and well coached?

I seriously think these guys don't put a lot of thought into these picks. Exactly what have the Cowboys done this year and in recent years to make them such a lock? Build a stadium?


The official memo states that the Broncos are devoid of talent or innovation, and only won because Cinci was off key all game, and cleveland was tired from flying west, and the Raiders were up late doing coke and boning male hookers.

:Broncos:

Vegas_Bronco
10-02-2009, 12:50 AM
Okay, heres how we win this!

Dallas is going into this game with short yardage passing game and play action in mind...along with running the ball w/lots of traps and off the bootleg - THEY MUST USE SMOKE AND MIRRORS if they want to have a chance against the defense. So, I'd look to their backs to be a huge part of the game and throw 2 on Witten...

If we get Romo off his game early, this one will be over! Offensively, we need to have the best game yet, no more 4th and 1's. We need 2nd and 2-3's...moving the ball forward on each play will win this whether its through the pass or run - I like the run. Defensively, Dallas is going to stack the box...and tighten up their Def coverages 5-7 off the LOS just like Raiders 'tried' to do. Josh needs to hit a long pass in the first 1-5 plays of the game to really shake their scheme up and keep hitting it hard if they don't change....

Defensively, getting to Romo will win this but only after we stop the running game.

Offensively, converting 2-3 long pass plays wins this - Dallas adjusts quickly and once they adjust, it's over for their defense...McD can call a typical patriot 5 yard gain lovin gameplan from here on out.

HAT
10-02-2009, 01:01 AM
Never mind the short week.....

Dallas is coming off of back to back prime time games and will be flat as hell. Nothing to worry about until at least next weak.

Carmelo15
10-02-2009, 04:59 AM
Inside the NFL Warren Sapp - Denver. Simms & Collinsworth - Dallas

cousinal11
10-02-2009, 06:11 AM
c'mon Stink...

I loved Stink the player as much as the next guy, but he is a horrible analyst. Reminds me of Sean Salsbury in that he is constantly making emphatic statements and getting them very wrong.

"Talked with my buddy Tom Cable and believe me folks, he 100% did not punch his assistant coach in the face!"

"Denver's front 7 is garbage."

Along with Stink, add Trey Wingo and Colin Cowherd to the list picking Dallas.