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DukeWoody
09-28-2007, 01:27 AM
Improved Denver secondary facing a tough task - Insider


By Scouts Inc

Thursday, September 27, 2007

Why To Watch

The Colts have dominated this matchup lately but Denver is much better equipped in the defensive secondary this season to deal with the high-powered Indianapolis defense, and new Broncos RB Travis Henry has had some success in the past running against the Colts. There will also be two great individual matchups on the outside in this game with Indianapolis WRs Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne going up against Denver CBs Champ Bailey and Dre Bly. The Colts are the defending Super Bowl champs and the Broncos are projected to be a playoff team in the AFC this season, so this should be a fun game to watch.


When the Broncos have the ball

Rushing: Denver ranked third in the league in rushing offense heading into last week's game at Jacksonville but Henry was completely neutralized bay the Jaguars, who did a great job of slanting their front seven and shooting lateral gaps. Denver runs a zone blocking scheme that relies on getting out in space, but the Jacksonville front four was quicker off the snap and as a result Jaguars were able to play on the other side of the line of scrimmage.
That has to be worrisome for head coach Mike Shanahan this week because the Broncos will face a font four this week coached John Teerlinck that thrives on using gap penetration. Teerlinck does not ask his linemen to play the run so his front four will be getting up the field all game. Denver might have to shorten their its splits on the offensive line this week to try and avoid allowing the kind of penetration that killed the Broncos last week. If they can get their cut off blocks Henry should be able to get to the second level and make Colts ILB Gary Brackett miss in the hole. Denver has to find a way to get Henry to the second level this week, so also look for a few more draws against an Indianapolis defensive front that could blow right by him on the delay or inside draw handoff.

Passing: Denver QB Jay Cutler forced a few passes last week but has been steady overall through the first three weeks of the season. Cutler has very good command of the offensive system and has done a solid job of spreading the ball around. He will have to be patient this week, though, because as Houston's Matt Schaub found out last week forcing the ball into the Colts' Cover 2 defense can mean trouble for a quarterback.

The Broncos will work on getting WR Javon Walker into holes in the seam-to-hashmark area of the field, and fellow wideout Brandon Marshall has shown the ability to make plays this season and will also be involved. Denver will also work on silent counts a lot as the RCA Dome will be very loud and Denver OTs Matt Lepsis and Erik Pears will be under a lot of pressure, and that duo will be at an athletic disadvantage on the edges against Colts DEs Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis. It is imperative that the Denver offensive line stay in synch and avoids disrupting off the timing of their precise West Coast offense.

A player to watch this week is Broncos TE Tony Scheffler. Even though Scheffler is listed as the third tight end on the depth chart he is the best receiving option at the position and the guy with the best chance of keeping Indianapolis S Bob Sanders occupied and away from the line of scrimmage. Scheffler and fellow TE Daniel Graham need to find voids in the short-to-intermediate parts of the field to take the pressure off Cutler and keep the sticks moving.

When the Colts have the ball

Rushing: If there is an Achilles heel for Denver it is the run defense. The Broncos have a lot of new players up front who are still adjusting to playing together, and the Jaguars pounded the ball between the tackles last week. The bigger issue, however, has been the release of MLB Al Wilson during the offseason. Former OLB D.J. Williams has not made a smooth transition to the middle as the game appears to be moving too quickly for him inside. Williams is not a physical, take-on player, and even though he can often recover with his speed he is often caught out of position against the run. That in turn puts pressure on WLB Ian Gold and S John Lynch in run support.

Indianapolis has not been spectacular in the running game but has done enough to keep the offense balanced. The Colts will never get too far away from their passing game but they will run the ball more this week. Running back Joseph Addai is a patient runner with very good vision and instincts and does and excellent job of seeing the cutback lane on the stretch play. Williams has been caught over-pursuing numerous times this season, so look for Addai to peer inside in search of the cutback and daylight on the inside. Denver has to be much more sound in the run game this week because even though their pass defense has been solid, the Colts throw it on everyone. The Broncos need to make the Colts more one-dimensional to limit the damage and that starts with the run defense.

Passing: The Colts have dominated this series lately in large part because of their ability to throw the ball all over the field against the Broncos, usually against the corner playing opposit Bailey. Bly is now on the other side, though, and the matchups are not as favorable.

And for as good as Indianapolis is in the passing game they do not have a complex system. Harrison will line up on the right side of the formation a vast majority of the time and be in a direct matchup with Bailey, who has the quickness to stay with Harrison underneath in man-to-man as well as over the top. Bailey is a tremendous athlete and a very good technician so don't look for Harrison to win many matchups this week. Wayne has dominated against the Broncos on the other side of the formation, and while Bly will gamble more than Bailey his recovery speed is not nearly as good. Look for Peyton Manning to work some pump fakes to Wayne's side this week to bait Bly.

As good as the matchups are on the outside, the guy who has really been paving the way for the Indianapolis passing game has been TE Dallas Clark. Safeties Lynch and Nick Ferguson have been better in coverage this season but have yet to face a tight end who moves around the field and creates mismatches the way Clark does. Look for the Broncos to also use the athletic Gold on Clark this week because he has the foot quickness to matchup well, an in certain packages he will get safety help over the top. This matchup will be key for Denver because the Colts' domination in this category is the reason the Broncos have been on the wrong end of the scoreboard recently against the Colts.


Special Teams

Injuries on the defensive side of the ball have caught up to the Colts' special teams, as evidenced by the kickoff return touchdown Jerome Mathis scored last week as well as a long punt return by Jacoby Jones. Denver has not been able to generate anything in the return game and their usually-solid cover units have been shaky as well, so their is potential for some big returns in this game.


Both teams have excellent kickers in the Colts' Adam Vinatieri and the Broncos' Jason Elam, but the nod goes to Vinatieri as he has never missed a kick in his career in the RCA Dome. Punters Hunter Smith of Indianapolis and Todd Sauerbrun of Denver have not kicked as well as they have in the past but the advantage goes to Smith because of his ability to keep the Broncos pinned deep in their own end. It is a close call on special teams this week, and even though the Colts were a little shaky with their cover units last week they have the better kicker and punter.





Denver pretty much has to play an entirely error free ball game in all phazes to have any chance for a victory, with the Colts playing a sloppy game to boot...

I'm a :homer: so what the hell....31-28 GO BRONCOS !!!

Los Broncos
09-28-2007, 01:54 AM
I already have butterfly's in my stomach for this one.

I just hope they don't wear us out using Wayne, its to gut wrenching.

Using Henry is a good idea, keep their offense off of the field.

broncofan2438
09-28-2007, 01:56 AM
I already have butterfly's in my stomach for this one.

I just hope they don't wear us out using Wayne, its to gut wrenching.

Using Henry is a good idea, keep their offense off of the field.

Ditto

DukeWoody
09-28-2007, 02:17 AM
I would be happy even if we came away with just a moral victory by playing a competitive, smart, limited in mistakes ball game that we could chalk up as a great learning experience for the team, players and coaches alike...8')

Los Broncos
09-28-2007, 02:48 AM
I would be happy even if we came away with just a moral victory by playing a competitive, smart, limited in mistakes ball game that we could chalk up as a great learning experience for the team, players and coaches alike...8')

Well put, if we don't run over and blown out, id be happy.

Popps
09-28-2007, 02:57 AM
Let me make a prediction:

Our secondary will have nothing to do with the outcome of this game.

Our lines will have EVERYTHING to do with it.

The only teams that have had success against Indy have been big, physical teams with bruising defenses and slow-the-game-down offenses.

Sound like us? You tell me.

maven
09-28-2007, 03:07 AM
What was the actual prediction from scouts inc, and not the homer 31-28 in Broncos favor by OP.

no-pseudo-fan
09-28-2007, 09:45 AM
I don't fear the Colts Defense unless they are ahead. Do you ever hear them say who the Colts Corners are? I think if Shanahan can make the Colts cover our WR one-on-one that would be a great advantage.

I say we line up in 4 wide all day, and just move Graham in motion back towards the line. I think that we have the personnel to cause a lot of problems for the Colts. What have they done this year anyway? The beat up on the Aints. Stop the mightly Titans WR's, and beat the Texans with the best WR on the sidelines. I think that we are giving too much credit to the Colts Defense, I understand that kind of respect for the offense. I think that we will win this game. 35-21.

HorseHead
09-28-2007, 10:20 AM
only because they run it to perfection...that no huddle sh-t scares the beejezus out of me...they start clicking on that, and it's "look forward to the night game on NBC time".....

jmz313
09-28-2007, 10:28 AM
If we can't keep Addai from killing us with 7 in the box, obviously we will have another blowout on our hands. The play fakes will kill us. Champ, bly, lynch, who ever, the D will be kept so off balance they will get beat.

However, If the front 7 plays big, it will be a really fun game to watch.

Broncoman13
09-28-2007, 10:46 AM
We will see the screen pass come back on Sunday. Mathis and Freeney are very tough matchups. I have faith (a little) in Lepsis but very little in Pears. I do have faith that Shanny will use the screen passes a little more to slow down that pass rush. You could tell he was concerned about the Bills pass rush (Schobel in particular) and used the screens to slow that down... and it was pretty effective for the most part. Not many screens vs the Faid and Jags... they're coming back this weekend for sure!!!

Travis Henry with 120 yards rushing and 80 yards receiving!!!

Rulon Velvet Jones
09-28-2007, 10:55 AM
Simeon Rice needs to school Ugoh a bit to get Pumpkinhead rattled.

dbfan4life
09-28-2007, 10:58 AM
I don't know what's wrong with me but I'm having trouble getting up for this game. I'll watch and cheer just as hard during the game, I guess my expectations aren't what they usually are for a big game like this. Maybe come Sunday the feeling will change.

Rulon Velvet Jones
09-28-2007, 10:59 AM
Part 2 of the Scouts Inc preview:

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Earlier this week, our scouts filed their advance scouting report on this week's matchup between the Broncos and Colts. Now they're back with a second look.

Matchup to watch
Denver CB Champ Bailey vs. Indianapolis WR Marvin Harrison
We already talked about the Bly-Wayne matchup, which will be critical, but this one will be great as well because it features two players that will eventually be in the Hall of Fame. It is a matchup that Bailey has gotten the best of as of late, but that has been in large part because of Manning's success with his other receivers.

Denver can't let Wayne beat them this week and with them shifting the coverage to the left side of their defense it will only create more opportunities for Harrison. As a QB you never want to challenge Bailey, but we think Manning will go after him a little more this week as they try to get Harrison a little more involved offensively than he has been to this point of the season.


Will Denver and its No. 8 ranked run offense be able to run the ball versus the Colts?
Denver cannot afford to have another dismal Sunday running the ball, like they did last week where they only totaled 47 yards on 18 carries. the Broncos always runs the football and one of the issues last week was it appeared they got away from the run a little too early. For that reason, the defense will have to come up big and keep the Broncos in the game so they don't get away from the run. That said, when they did run the ball, they just were not getting it done up front. Jaguars head coach Jack Del Rio and his defensive staff did an excellent job last week of tweaking their scheme to give problems to the Denver front and the Broncos never adjusted. Jacksonville did a very good job of slanting its front-four into gaps and that allowed it to get good penetration because the Jaguars were quicker off the ball than Denver's offensive line.

No defensive front in the NFL reads the snap as well as the Indianapolis front. Defensive line coach John Teerlinck teaches his front four to come off the ball, get up the field, forget about the run and play the pass. This will allow them to penetrate into the backfield and Denver RB Travis Henry is going to have to be able to make the first defender miss in the backfield. We would also look for Denver to use more delays and draws in this game. They may be able to hit some big runs if Henry can slide underneath the penetration and get himself to the second level. It will be difficult for Denver to run the ball versus a surprising No. 14 ranked Colts' run defense, but they must be able to stick with it and keep that explosive Colts offense on the sidelines.

Will Broncos CB Dre Bly be able to contain Colts WR Reggie Wayne in this game?
Here are some numbers for you (23, 449 and 6). Those represent the numbers Wayne has put up in terms of receptions, yards and touchdowns in the last three games these two teams have met. It almost makes you feel like the Broncos went out and got Bly for the sole purpose of trying to slow Wayne down when the teams meet. WR Marvin Harrison will align on the right side over 90 percent of the time versus LCB Champ Bailey. That means it will be Bly versus Wayne on the other side and while Bailey has done his part, Denver has been at the mercy of Peyton Manning and Wayne.

While Bly is extremely talented, he must not fall into the trap of guessing this week. Manning does an outstanding job on pump-action and Bly tends to play a little too aggressive at times in terms of biting on underneath routes. Look for the Colts to come out and try to hit Wayne on some underneath routes early. Everything the Colts run on offense is to set the defense up from something later in the game. The Colts will eventually test Bly deep in this football game. Look for Denver to roll the safety opposite of Bailey to Bly's side. The safety on Bailey's side of the field will be more of a center fielder to help with TE Dallas Clark, who has actually been carrying the passing game at times this season. That will leave Bailey in one-on-one coverage outside witth Harrison and Denver's defensive staff and head coach Mike Shanahan are just going to have to hope Bailey can contain him. Wayne has dominated this series. They have to treat him like he is the No. 1 receiver and Harrison as the No. 2 this week.

Can Denver's No. 29 ranked run defense contain Colts RB Joseph Addai?
While Denver has been excellent versus the pass this season it has really struggled to stop the run. Denver has also not faced a pass offense like the Colts, so its pass defense is likely overrated. That said, the Colts will throw the ball, but the big key for them could be Addai and the run game. The Colts have the No. 16 ranked run offense in the NFL and they have run the ball effectively when they wanted to, but like any team that has Manning at the controls, there is not a big emphasis on running the football. The Colts will surely run this week by using their zone-blocking type of offense. This should help Denver, but they are going to have to be much more disciplined in the front seven.

MLB D.J. Williams is an excellent athlete, but he has struggled in his transition from the weak side to the middle. He can often recover because of his speed and quickness, but he is not seeing the game as quickly inside and has found himself out of position and slow to react. That has put a lot of pressure on the back end of the defense. Denver will not be able to get seven into the box with all the Colts weapons outside, so they must control the line of scrimmage. If the Broncos can't take away the Colts' run game it will be a long day for them because when the Colts are multi-dimensional on offense they dictate the flow and are nearly impossible to beat.

Scouts' Edge

The Scouts Inc. Position Advantage

QB RB WR OL DL LB DB ST Coach
Ind Ind Ind Ind Ind Den Den Ind Ind


Denver has been a bit of an "enigma" this season. The Broncos sit atop the AFC West standings at 2-1, but this team was very lucky to escape with victories at Buffalo and versus Oakland and could just as easily be 0-3 right now. They were completely dominated last week and now have to go play in a tough environment versus a Colts team that has been on the road the past two weeks.

Denver did not run the ball well last week and the Colts' front can present some problems versus Denver's offensive line because of its ability to play on the other side of the line of scrimmage. This is going to put a lot of pressure on QB Jay Cutler. Denver has the No. 1 ranked pass defense in the NFL, but that ranking is more reflective of the offensive teams they have played. Indianapolis will be able to move the ball on the ground and through the air. The Colts have dominated this matchup and that is not going to change this week as the Colts have way too much offensive firepower for this Denver defense. We like the Colts at home.


Prediction: Colts 27, Broncos 20

oubronco
09-28-2007, 11:11 AM
i just hope that bly doesn't get burned too many times with the pumpfake like the raider game, and please somebody...........

KNOCK JUGHEADS BLOCK OFF !!!!!!!

broncsyanks
09-28-2007, 11:44 AM
I already have butterfly's in my stomach for this one.

I just hope they don't wear us out using Wayne, its to gut wrenching.

Using Henry is a good idea, keep their offense off of the field.

agreed!! i would love to see double coverage on him and let me take my chances with the slot mand and the TE beating us. champ will hold his ground.