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Bronco_Beerslug
06-27-2007, 10:18 AM
Whether you think this scenario is going to happen or not, this is well worth watching.


Torrent is here (http://www.isohunt.com/download/19533411/crude).
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Supported by a powerful mix of archival footage, NASA shots of burning oil fields, and often unintentionally hilarious historical film excerpts, "A Crude Awakening" guides us on an exotic, visual journey from Houston to Caracas, the Lake of Maracaibo, the Orinoco delta, Central Asia's secretive republic of Azerbaijan with its ancient capital Baku and the Caspian Sea, via London & Zurich. "A Crude Awakening" visits cities around the world to learn of our future from such leading authorities as oil investment banker Matthew Simmons, former OPEC chairman & Iraqi Minister of Oil Fadhil Chalabhi, Caltech's head of physics, Professor David Goodstein, Stanford University political scientist, Terry Lynn Karl, peak oil expert, Matthew Savinar and many more.



http://img125.imageshack.us/img125/811/crudeki5.jpg


Produced by award-winning filmmakers Basil Gelpke and Ray McCormack, this documentary examines the world's dependency on oil and the impending chaos that's sure to follow when the resource is depleted. Straight from the headlines, this hot-button topic may represent the world's most dire crisis. Through expert interviews, the film spells out in startling detail the challenge we all face and underscores our desperate need for alternative energy.

Extras:
1 - Bonus Chapter: Petrostates ....4:22
2 - Outtakes: Colin Campbell......19:57
3 - Outtakes: Matthew Simmons..24:40
4 - Outtakes: Fadhil Chalabi........23:41
5 - Outtakes: David Goodstein....18:43


Technical Specs
Video Codec: .................................................. ...............Xvid
Video Bitrate: ..........................2293 kbps (Extras ~1500 kbps)
Video Resolution: ........................704 x 384 (Extras 672 x 368)
Video Aspect Ratio: .................................................. .......16:9
Video Framerate: .................................................. ...29.97 fps
Audio Codec: .................................................. ................AC3
Audio Bitrate: ................................224 kbps (Extras 192 kbps)
Runtime per Part: 1 hr 23 mins (Extras [5] approx 90 mins total)
Part Size: .................................1492 mb (Extras 1.15 GB total)


Also for rent at Blockbuster and Netflix .


.

Denver Crush
06-27-2007, 12:46 PM
Looks like an interesting flick. Ill have to check it out. Thanks for posting.

Bronco_Beerslug
06-27-2007, 03:53 PM
Some sites that talk about economic chaos from Peak Oil...

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The Oil Drum (http://www.theoildrum.com/)
Mission statement

We all see the petroleum economy as the fundamental linchpin of our present democratic society. As cheap oil/energy/gas quietly fades into history, lives around the world will indeed change.

This real and tangible crisis of supply and demand is now inevitable. Whether the coming crisis arrives in six months or in four years, whether the crisis arrives in a slow, secular fashion or as a cataclysmic "shock," our purpose is the same: we are here to raise awareness of the reality of the current problem and to attempt to address the real issues that are often hidden by political pandering.

We are here to talk about ideas. We're all learning here about ourselves and from each other. No perspective will be punished as long as evidence and logic are present. We want to bring brain power to bear on all of these issues; we may not come up with a solution…but we can at least say we tried.

What can be expected to happen as this crisis develops and unfolds? Stick around, because that's the kind of stuff we're talking about.

Oil Quiz - Test Your Knowledge (http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2636)

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"Are We 'Running Out'? I Thought
There Was 40 Years of the Stuff Left (http://lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/)"

Oil will not just "run out" because all oil production follows a bell curve. This is true whether we're talking about an individual field, a country, or on the planet as a whole.

Oil is increasingly plentiful on the upslope of the bell curve, increasingly scarce and expensive on the down slope. The peak of the curve coincides with the point at which the endowment of oil has been 50 percent depleted. Once the peak is passed, oil production begins to go down while cost begins to go up.

In practical and considerably oversimplified terms, this means that if 2005 was the year of global Peak Oil, worldwide oil production in the year 2030 will be the same as it was in 1980. However, the world’s population in 2030 will be both much larger (approximately twice) and much more industrialized (oil-dependent) than it was in 1980. Consequently, worldwide demand for oil will outpace worldwide production of oil by a significant margin. As a result, the price will skyrocket, oil-dependant economies will crumble, and resource wars will explode.

http://lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/Pictures/Graph1.gif

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Bronco_Beerslug
07-09-2007, 09:04 AM
It's probably past time to take this problem seriously...

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IEA sees oil supply crunch looming (http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20070709/ts_nm/iea_energy_dc_2;_ylt=AlH3KI0vhUW2YLQAwOQ23WQE1vAI)
By Alex Lawler

LONDON (Reuters) - World oil demand will rise faster than expected to 2012 while production lags, leading to a supply crunch, the International Energy Agency said on Monday.

http://d.yimg.com/us.yimg.com/p/nm/20070709/2007_07_09t074721_450x289_us_iea_energy.jpg?x=380&y=243&sig=47ELYLV50K_.b2n12fWzxw--
A general view of Sheaiba oil refinery in Basra, 550 km (340 miles) south of Baghdad, March 29, 2007. (Atef Hassan/Reuters)

In its Medium-Term Oil Market Report, the adviser to 26 industrialized countries said demand will rise by an average 2.2 percent a year between 2007 and 2012, up from a previous medium-term forecast of 2 percent.

The outlook, which updates an IEA forecast last issued in February, coincides with a jump in oil prices to more than $75 a barrel, closing in on a record high near $79, on concerns of a tightening market.

"Despite four years of high oil prices, this report sees increasing market tightness beyond 2010," the IEA said.

"It is possible that the supply crunch could be deferred -- but not by much."

The IEA's previous Medium-Term report called for world demand growth of two percent a year between 2006 and 2011.

It now expects global demand to reach 95.8 million barrels per day (bpd) from 86.1 million bpd in 2007. The forecast assumes average global GDP growth of 4.5 percent annually.

"The results of our analysis are quite strong," said Lawrence Eagles, head of the IEA's Oil Industry and Markets Division. "Something needs to happen."

"Either we need to have more supplies coming on stream or we need to have lower demand growth."

The Paris-based IEA also said additional global refining capacity over the next five years will lag earlier expectations as rising costs and a shortage of engineers delay construction.

It said world production of biofuels would reach 1.75 million bpd by 2012, more than double 2006 levels, but the fuel will remain marginal as economics hobble further growth.

LOWER OPEC CAPACITY

Oil prices pared earlier losses after the report was released. Brent crude was down 21 cents at $75.41 a barrel as of 1030 GMT.

The report points to a greater reliance on the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, source of more than a third of the world's oil.

While foreseeing higher demand, the IEA expects less supply to come from producers outside OPEC and the agency also trimmed a forecast for the 12-member group's unused production capacity.

"A stronger demand outlook, together with project slippage and geopolitical problems has led to downward revisions of OPEC spare capacity by 2 million bpd in 2009," said the report.

The forecast assumes no net expansion of capacity from Iran, Iraq and Venezuela and that the 500,000 bpd of Nigerian production that has been shut for a year will not reopen during the next five years.

Ten OPEC members began cutting production last year to stem a drop in prices. The IEA in its Monthly Oil Market Report has for the past four months urged OPEC to open the taps to avoid over-tightening the market.

Some analysts say the agency is being alarmist and that its warnings about supplies are actually leading to higher prices.

"The International Energy Agency has put such a fear premium in the market that crude futures remain bought no matter what," said Olivier Jakob of Petromatrix.

The IEA said the fundamentals of oil supply and demand are prompting price gains.

"The simple thing is we are there to project the market as we see it," Eagles said. "The price response is due to fundamentals. We are simply pointing out the fundamentals. That's our job."

PLATEAU OIL

The IEA trimmed its forecast for supply from non-OPEC producers by 800,000 bpd in 2011, partly because of project delays, and touched on the thorny subject that oil supplies are nearing a peak.

"Certainly our forecast suggests that the non-OPEC, conventional crude component of global production appears, for now, to have reached an effective plateau, rather than a peak," the report said.

Falling output at ageing fields and setbacks such as 2005's hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico have slowed growth in non-OPEC output in recent years.

Lower supply from non-OPEC countries and rising demand will boost the requirement for OPEC oil.

The IEA said demand for OPEC crude, or the call on OPEC, will rise to 34.7 million bpd in 2011, up 1.3 million bpd from the previous projection.