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View Full Version : What are all the playoff scenarios for AFC?


Bacchus
12-30-2012, 02:25 AM
1. Houston 12-3
2. Denver 12-3
3. New England 11-4
4. Baltimore 10-5
5. Indianapolis 10-5
5. Cincinnati 9-6

The Ravens and Bengals play each other If the Ravens win they'll be 11-5 the same as Indy if they win, and New England will be 11-5 if they lose.

What exactly are all the playoff scenarios? I have not been able to find all of them. I know that Baltimore holds the head to head tie breaker over NE.

Does anyone have a link with all the scenarios?

On NFL.com they only list Denver, Houston and NE scenarios for the 1,2,3 positions.

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap1000000116250/article/week-17-nfl-playoff-scenarios?icampaign=Playoffpicture_news

Bacchus
12-30-2012, 02:53 AM
I did find this.

A Texans' loss could drop Houston to the No. 3 seed and a game against Cincinnati if the Broncos and Patriots win.

So if this happens then the Ravens and Colts would still play. Then Denver would probably play the Ravens in the divisional round and Houston would have to travel N.E.

Bacchus
12-30-2012, 03:21 AM
Houston is 0-10 all-time in road games against Colts, tied for most road losses vs an opponent without a win in NFL history.

swaiy
12-30-2012, 03:29 AM
Houston is 0-10 all-time in road games against Colts, tied for most road losses vs an opponent without a win in NFL history.

All against Peyton I presume.

Blueflame
12-30-2012, 03:43 AM
All against Peyton I presume.

Um... not last year... The Week 16 (December 22, 2011) 3-point win was with Dan Orlovsky (who???).

Ratboy
12-30-2012, 04:10 AM
Normally I would not take up for the early games (unless Denver was playing), but with no work, I'll be tuning into the houston/indy game.

Punisher
12-30-2012, 05:07 AM
Colts win + a Broncos W = 1st Seed

canadianbroncosfan
12-30-2012, 06:30 AM
You can use this to figure out any scenario you could come up with.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

Old Dude
12-30-2012, 06:40 AM
The Colts are locked into the #5 seed and the Bengals are locked into the #6 seed. Nothing that happens today can change that. (Even if the Bengals win and manage to tie the record of the Colts or the Ravens, they still lose tiebreakers for seeding purposes). So this is set in stone.

If the Texans defeat the Colts, they clinch the #1 seed, period.

If the Broncos defeat or tie the Chiefs, they clinch at least the second seed. They would get the first seed with a win or a tie coupled with a Texan loss. They would also get the first seed with a win over the Chiefs, coupled with a Texan tie or loss.

The Ravens are pretty much stuck with the fourth seed. There's only one exception, and that would be if they win while the Pats lose. That would give them both 11-5 records, and since the Ravens won their earlier meeting, the Ravens would win that tiebreaker.

So most of the complications turn on New England.

If the Texans and Broncos both win or tie, then the Pats stay at the 3 seed (unless they lose while the Ravens win, which would drop them to #4)

If the Pats lose or tie, they cannot climb any higher than the #3 seed.

If the Pats win while both the Texans and Broncos lose, then the Pats get the #1 seed, the Texans would be #2 and the Broncos would be #3.

If the Pats win while either the Broncos or Texans lose (but not both) then the Pats get the #2 seed. The losing team in that scenario would get the #3 seed.

Assuming all the favored teams win today (Houston, Denver, NE and Baltimore), then, in the wild card round, Cincy would travel to NE while the Colts travel to Baltimore.

Old Dude
12-30-2012, 07:14 AM
Under the most likely scenarios, Denver will be hosting the Pats in two weeks. Certainly not guaranteed, but most likely at his moment.

The upside to that is that Denver would have two weeks to heal and prepare while the Pats would have (1) no time off, (2) a hard-hitting game against a playoff caliber opponent, and (3) maybe even a short week [if the game is scheduled on Saturday] + travel.

And, of course, knocking them out in the divisional round would be sweet revenge on several levels.

DarkHorse
12-30-2012, 08:59 AM
We need an Indy mojo thread - GO INDY!

I would love to have 1st seed, home field thru

errand
12-30-2012, 09:07 AM
food for thought....and didn't want to make a new thread for it.

There have been only 4 teams in the entire history of the NFL that have won 10 or more consecutive games by 7 or more points (Denver Post) and Peyton Manning was the QB of two of them.....

2005 Indianapolis Colts (13) - lost to Steelers in divisional round
1942 Chicago Bears (11)- lost NFL championship game to Redskins
1997 SF 49ers (10) - lost to Packers in NFCCG
2012 Denver Broncos (10) - ????? remains to be seen how far they go....

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap1000000118373/article/broncos-qb-peyton-manning-makes-history-again

lonestar
12-30-2012, 09:35 AM
food for thought....and didn't want to make a new thread for it.

There have been only 4 teams in the entire history of the NFL that have won 10 or more consecutive games by 7 or more points (Denver Post) and Peyton Manning was the QB of two of them.....

2005 Indianapolis Colts (13) - lost to Steelers in divisional round
1942 Chicago Bears (11)- lost NFL championship game to Redskins
1997 SF 49ers (10) - lost to Packers in NFCCG
2012 Denver Broncos (10) - ????? remains to be seen how far they go....

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap1000000118373/article/broncos-qb-peyton-manning-makes-history-again


Now if they can win by more than 16 or 32 points they can bump that average up a point or two.

razorwire77
12-30-2012, 09:39 AM
THIS ONE'S FOR CHUCK!!!

Broncobiv
12-30-2012, 09:52 AM
I almost want Houston to win, just to ensure that NE has to play a game in the first round! 2nd seed is pretty good considering the worst case scenario would be traveling to Houston for the AFCCG.

Ratboy
12-30-2012, 10:03 AM
Let's go Colts!

baja
12-30-2012, 10:04 AM
I almost want Houston to win, just to ensure that NE has to play a game in the first round! 2nd seed is pretty good considering the worst case scenario would be traveling to Houston for the AFCCG.

You're sayin you would pass on the one seed!!!

Sacraligious man, Sacriglious

http://www.orangemane.com/BB/showthread.php?t=109455

Broncobiv
12-30-2012, 10:07 AM
You're sayin you would pass on the one seed!!!

Sacraligious man, Sacriglious

http://www.orangemane.com/BB/showthread.php?t=109455

LOL

errand
12-30-2012, 10:33 AM
You're sayin you would pass on the one seed!!!

Sacraligious man, Sacriglious

http://www.orangemane.com/BB/showthread.php?t=109455

wow...not big on grammar smack...but you edited this post and still didn't spell it correctly either time

As for him not wanting the #1 seed...guess you have a new member in the "I'm scared of NE" club....

Arkie
12-30-2012, 10:39 AM
Why is everybody so scared of the Patriots? I've always thought their dynasty (8 years ago) was over-rated anyway. The 2001 Pats were just a lucky Cinderella team at first. They won a controversial playoff tuck rule game. Then they were 14 point underdogs in the SB. They even missed the playoffs in 2002. The dynasty never really began until 2003 and it ended in 2004.

Broncobiv
12-30-2012, 10:46 AM
Why is everybody so scared of the Patriots? I've always thought their dynasty (8 years ago) was over-rated anyway. The 2001 Pats were just a lucky Cinderella team at first. They won a controversial playoff tuck rule game. Then they were 14 point underdogs in the SB. They even missed the playoffs in 2002. The dynasty never really began until 2003 and it ended in 2004.

Not counting Denver, the Pats are the best team in the AFC. Yes we should be able to beat them in the playoffs, but in no way is it a slam dunk. The harder you make it on them, the better. After Denver, they are the team to beat. They are dangerous.

baja
12-30-2012, 11:00 AM
wow...not big on grammar smack...but you edited this post and still didn't spell it correctly either time

As for him not wanting the #1 seed...guess you have a new member in the "I'm scared of NE" club....

errr I know....

But thanks for the report.

errand
12-30-2012, 11:01 AM
Not counting Denver, the Pats are the best team in the AFC. Yes we should be able to beat them in the playoffs, but in no way is it a slam dunk. The harder you make it on them, the better. After Denver, they are the team to beat. They are dangerous.

Nobody said it would be a cakewalk...however to wish that the Broncos don't get HFA throughout the playoffs is like claiming you love the US but would rather live in Mexico

Arkie
12-30-2012, 11:33 AM
I would rather play the Patriots in Denver than any NFL team on the road. The crowd noise in the playoffs is Manning's biggest obstacle.

baja
12-30-2012, 11:44 AM
Nobody said it would be a cakewalk...however to wish that the Broncos don't get HFA throughout the playoffs is like claiming you love the US but would rather live in Mexico

I always wondered why the incredibly diplomatic TJ would single out one poster out of a possible thousands to ridicule now I know why he did that to you. ;D

Carry on errand boy

Like where I chose to live could possibly matter.

Bacchus
12-30-2012, 11:57 AM
Denver NEEDS homefield advantage.

Denver 13-3 in the playoffs at home.

Denver 3-9 on the road in the playoffs

Not wanting homefield advantage doesn't make sense.

As #1 seed Denver would likely face Baltimore or Colts and then they would face either Texans or Pats.
As #2 seed Denver would likely face Pats at home and Texans on Road.

Broncobiv
12-30-2012, 12:07 PM
Clarification - the playoff brackets reset after the first weekend, right? So, the #1 seed plays the lowest remaining seed between the 2 first weekend winners, right? Or do they always play the winner of 3v6 / 4v5 regardless of who the lowest remaining seed is?

baja
12-30-2012, 12:10 PM
Clarification - the playoff brackets reset after the first weekend, right? So, the #1 seed plays the lowest remaining seed between the 2 first weekend winners, right? Or do they always play the winner of 3v6 / 4v5 regardless of who the lowest remaining seed is?

Pretty sure the highest seed always plays the lowest seed.

Old Dude
12-30-2012, 10:42 PM
Pretty sure the highest seed always plays the lowest seed.

Yes. This is correct.

Due to today's results, Denver's next game will be against Baltimore, Indy or Cincy.

It can't be against the Pats since they will be hosting their own game.

It can't be against the Texans, because if the Texans win in the wild-card round, they would be the highest seed to come out of that round and Denver is guaranteed to play the lowest seed that advances.

Bacchus
12-30-2012, 10:53 PM
old dude rocks............ whoever he is.