View Full Version : 2012 schedule and why I am not too worried

02-10-2012, 11:18 AM
Broncos 2012 opponents with their 2011 record:

Kansas City Chiefs (7-9)
Oakland Raiders (8-8)
San Diego Chargers (8-8)
Cleveland Browns (4-12)
Pittsburgh Steelers (12-4)
Houston Texans (10-6)
New Orleans Saints (13-3)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-12)
Kansas City Chiefs (7-9)
Oakland Raiders (8-8)
San Diego Chargers (8-8)
Baltimore Ravens (12-4)
Cincinnati Bengals (9-7)
New England Patriots (13-3)
Atlanta Falcons (10-6)
Carolina Panthers (6-10)

In no particular order.

The total record of those teams is 139-117 (0.54) which is a smidge easier than the Giants schedule which will feature opponents who went 140-116 and is the toughest in the league. This on paper looks terrifying, so let me put you a bit at ease.

Here is a simple comparison of the Broncos 2011 schedule and the strength of said schedule compared to the expected strength of said schedule by the 2010 records of those teams. The teams we played in 2011 had a total record in 2011 of 133-123, the same teams had a record of ...... 133-123 in 2010, however only a single team of the 13 we played had the same record in 2011 as they did in 2010 (the Raiders who were 8-8 both years).

Only 2 of the 13 teams managed to post double digit wins in both years, the Packers at 10-6 and 15-1 and the Patriots at 14-2 and 13-3. 4 of the remaining 11 teams managed to post double digit wins in one of the two years (Detroit, Kansas City, NY Jets, Chicago) with two doing it in 2010 (Kansas City, Chicago and Jets 10, 11 and 11 respecitively) and one doing it in 2011 (Detroit at 10).

Interestingly only 5 of the 13 teams improved their records in 2011 over 2010 (Cincinati up by 5 wins, Green Bay up by 5 wins, Detroit up by 4, Tennessee up by 3 and Buffalo up by 2), 7 of the remaining 8 teams won fewer games in 2011 and 2010 (Minnesota NY Jets, Chicago and Kansas City all down by 3, New England, San Diego and Miami down by 1).

What I take from this is that it is extremely difficult to maintain a constant level of performance from one year to the next. So when you look at the schedule for 2012, just remember it only takes a few crucial injuries to knock a 10-6 team down to a much more manageable 7-9 or 6-10.

02-10-2012, 12:16 PM
What I took from that is our schedule is still gonna blow but its because the panthers bucs and browns will be good instead of steelers saints and ravens. So we'll be able to look back and say, "at least we beat Pit, Bal, and NO"

02-10-2012, 12:16 PM
This deserved it's own thread.

Drunk Monkey
02-10-2012, 01:16 PM
9-7 next year and we win the AFCW for yet another playoff berth.

Beantown Bronco
02-10-2012, 01:39 PM
I'm not sure which is more useless:

Trying to grade a team's draft right after it happens
Trying to grade the difficulty of a team's schedule 6 months before it even starts its preseason

02-10-2012, 02:39 PM

02-10-2012, 02:44 PM
Without Tebow this team doesn't even register

02-10-2012, 02:46 PM
Like every year, some teams are better than they were the previous season and some teams falter from the pervious season, so which teams will do either and happen to be on your schedule determines how easy or tough the schedule will be, much less how better or worse your team happens to be as well.

02-10-2012, 07:15 PM
If you know how to read the Mayan calendar you will know exactly how every team will do next season.

02-10-2012, 07:53 PM
Without Tebow this team doesn't even register.

02-10-2012, 08:13 PM
Without Tebow this team doesn't even register

I smell troll.